Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 1.34 ETH at 1897.1$ per unit. Take profit: 1909.0231 (0.63 %) & Stop Loss: 1891.1385 (0.31 %)
Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 1.34 ETH at 1897.1$ per unit. Take profit: 1909.0231 (0.63 %) & Stop Loss: 1891.1385 (0.31 %)
Position
Entry 1897.1$
Qty 1.3419 ETH
Size 2545.7895$ (margin 100$) (leverage 25)
Risk Setup
TP 1909.0231 (+0.63%)
TP $ 16$
SL 1891.1385 (-0.31%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6828
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.72×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.22×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.87×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 09:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.809738 15m : 0.79503 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 12/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 12/08 09:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5234 | r1h: -0.313% · r4h: 1.000% · r1d: 1.19% · r3d: -0.41% · ema21_slope: 0.0575% · dist_ema21: 0.894% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5327 | rs_1h: -0.109% · rs_4h: 0.511% · rs_1d: 1.53% · rs_3d: 0.89% · beta_24h: 1.047 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7010 | rvol_20: 2.27× · zscore_50: 1.098 · trend: 58.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7142 | ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 33.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.468% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.306% | 1.0R | -0.696% | 2.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.306% | 1.0R | -0.701% | 2.2R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.306% | 1.0R | -0.701% | 2.2R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.306% | 1.0R | -1.291% | 4.1R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.306% | 1.0R | -1.291% | 4.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 33% | late | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -3.70% | +0.31 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.88 | range_medium | -0.01% | +0.07 | 12/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | range_medium |
43%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.82 | range_low | -0.44% | +0.15 | 12/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_low |
35%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.10% | +0.04 | 12/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 47b | — | 7.515×ATR | p85 | +0.606×ATR | p39 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 3.844×ATR | p58 | +1.071×ATR | p64 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 2.126×ATR | p17 | +1.312×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.68×ATR | p65 | -0.474×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63972.9
-0.00279779
63794
0.809738
63883
-0.00139361
63794
0.79503
64320.1
-0.00550625
63966
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1924.3
198
0.7296
0.5913
0.3193
0.1984
0.4183
1
0.1878
0.6105
0.672
0.6717
0.5799
0.612
0.191
0.0766
1
1.0395
1.2957
0.6
0.4
1
1
1
0.6033
0.364
7.872
0.65
1.6273
7.4742
1.2957
0
0.2976
0.76
0.0236
0.4521
0.598
0.7644
0.612
-3.2376
5.1073
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 07:45:00 | 1886 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 08:05:00 | 1895.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 1889.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:30:00 | 1909.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 10:00:00 | 1915 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 10:20:00 | 1915 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 11:05:00 | 1906.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:30:00 | 1924.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 12:45:00 | 1904.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 1897.1 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 22:00:00 | 1886.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 23:15:00 | 1878 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:00:00 | 1887.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 1882.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 04:15:00 | 1892.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 05:45:00 | 1892.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:30:00 | 1885.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 10:00:00 | 1915 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 12:30:00 | 1924.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 1897.1 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 1911.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 1927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 1937.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 1905.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 07:00:00 | 1929.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 18:00:00 | 1867 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 1870.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 12:00:00 | 1896.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 1852.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 1924.3 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1897.1 | 1891.1385 | 1909.0231 | 2 | 2523.6 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1891.1385 - 1897.1 = -5.9614999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1897.1 - 1909.0231 = -11.9231
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -11.9231 / -5.9614999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2545.7895 | 100 | 1.3419 | 25.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -5.9614999999999 = -1.34
Taille de position USD = -1.34 x 1897.1 = -2542.11
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.34 avec un stoploss a 1891.1385
Avec un position size USD de -2542.11$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.34 x -5.9614999999999 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.34 x -11.9231 = 15.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.63 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.31 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4639 % | 147.64 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1897.1 | 1891.1385 | 1909.0231 | 2 | 2523.6 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1891.1385 - 1897.1 = -5.9614999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1897.1 - 1909.0231 = -11.9231
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -11.9231 / -5.9614999999999 = 2
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(
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.306% | 1.0R | -0.696% | 2.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.306% | 1.0R | -0.701% | 2.2R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.306% | 1.0R | -0.701% | 2.2R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.306% | 1.0R | -1.291% | 4.1R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.306% | 1.0R | -1.291% | 4.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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