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Short Trade on JUP

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12 Aug 2026 at 11:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on JUP (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1542.76 JUP at 0.171$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1767 (3.03 %)

JUP SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 12 Aug 2026 11:10 → 14:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.1715$

Qty 1542.7575 JUP

Size 264.6138$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 264.58$

SL 0.1767 (-3.03%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR

Status win PnL +0.38% / +1.02$ MAE -0.46% MFE +1.18% 0.4R expires 12 Aug 14:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 66993)
#42 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2308

Quality Score
0.495
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 11:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#42 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.03 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#42 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.03 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.16×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear 0.91×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1)

12/08 11:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

11/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

12/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

12/08 10:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.4947
Score SMA
0.4962
Rank
#42 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2308
Rank Norm SMA
0.2719
Calculé le
12/08/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3432 r1h: -1.005% · r4h: -0.730% · r1d: -3.00% · r3d: -7.85% · ema21_slope: -0.1263% · dist_ema21: -1.884%
Force Relative 25% 0.3961 rs_1h: -0.643% · rs_4h: 0.089% · rs_1d: -2.76% · rs_3d: -5.34% · beta_24h: 1.288
Volume 20% 0.3919 rvol_20: 1.15× · zscore_50: 0.228 · trend: 4.78%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7623 ADX: 31.9 (trend) · Chop: 38.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.019% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.032% (0.0052)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.408% 0.1R -0.461% 0.2R 0.9× 12
2h +1.184% 0.4R -0.461% 0.2R 2.6× 24
3h ★ +1.184% 0.4R -0.461% 0.2R 2.6× 36
4h +1.184% 0.4R -0.461% 0.2R 2.6× 48
8h +1.627% 0.5R -0.461% 0.2R 3.5× 96
12h +1.627% 0.5R -0.461% 0.2R 3.5× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.62
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 36% late — — 0.65 bear_high -3.70% -0.58 11/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind expansion bear_high_confirmed
53%
noisy_chop 42% late — — 0.56 bear_medium -0.96% -0.51 12/08 08:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 43% late near 0.2ATR — 0.47 bear_low -1.01% -0.17 12/08 10:00
15m ↓ down range range strong fading compression bear_medium
58%
noisy_chop 44% late near -0.1ATR — 0.38 range_low -0.45% -0.07 12/08 10:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 41b — 8.685×ATR p94 -1.946×ATR p90
4h ↓ down late 18b — 4.956×ATR p87 -2.112×ATR p95
1h ↓ down late 2b — 1.908×ATR p26 -1.882×ATR p88
15m ↓ down late 9b — 4.493×ATR p76 -2.127×ATR p87

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.17670552
  2. atr: 0.00172851
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-12T18:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 45
  2. total: 49
  3. score: 0.3432
  4. confidence: 0.917

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1715 0.1767 0.2084
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1715
  • Stop Loss: 0.1767
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1767 - 0.1715 = 0.0052

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1715 - = 0.1715

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1715 / 0.0052 = 32.9808

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
264.6138 100 1542.7575 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0052

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0052 = 1538.46

Taille de position USD = 1538.46 x 0.1715 = 263.85

Donc, tu peux acheter 1538.46 avec un stoploss a 0.1767

Avec un position size USD de 263.85$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1538.46 x 0.0052 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1538.46 x 0.1715 = 263.85

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 263.85$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1538.46
  • Taille de position USD 263.85
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 263.85
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 32.9808

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 264.58 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.03 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
1.02 $ 0.38
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4606 % 15.19 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1715 0.1767 0.2084
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1715
  • Stop Loss: 0.1767
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1767 - 0.1715 = 0.0052

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1715 - = 0.1715

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1715 / 0.0052 = 32.9808

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.032% (0.0052)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.408% 0.1R -0.461% 0.2R 0.9× 12
2h +1.184% 0.4R -0.461% 0.2R 2.6× 24
3h ★ +1.184% 0.4R -0.461% 0.2R 2.6× 36
4h +1.184% 0.4R -0.461% 0.2R 2.6× 48
8h +1.627% 0.5R -0.461% 0.2R 3.5× 96
12h +1.627% 0.5R -0.461% 0.2R 3.5× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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