Short Trade on kBONK

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12 Aug 2026 at 11:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_score)

With 108607.11 kBONK at 0.00224$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002317 (3.3 %)

kBONK SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 12 Aug 2026 11:10 → 14:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.002243$

Qty 108607.1138 kBONK

Size 243.6058$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 243.61$

SL 0.002317 (-3.3%)

SL $ 8.04$

Status loss PnL -0.76% / -1.85$ MAE -1.11% MFE +0.76% 0.2R expires 12 Aug 14:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 66992)

#43 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2000

Quality Score

0.487

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

2 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

939,124 $

volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 11:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#43 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+7 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.30 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#43 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+7 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.30 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	—
1d	clear	—

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	late	BLOCKED

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 2	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 12/08 11:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1)

12/08 11:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 12/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 12/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

11/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

12/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

12/08 10:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.4873

Score SMA

0.4766

Rank

#43 / 49

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2000

Rank Norm SMA

0.1542

Calculé le

12/08/2026 11:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2793	r1h: -1.156% · r4h: -1.940% · r1d: -2.97% · r3d: -10.54% · ema21_slope: -0.1519% · dist_ema21: -2.983%
Force Relative	25%	0.3427	rs_1h: -0.794% · rs_4h: -1.121% · rs_1d: -2.72% · rs_3d: -8.02% · beta_24h: 0.850
Volume	20%	0.4585	rvol_20: 1.57× · zscore_50: 0.451 · trend: -7.48%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8407	ADX: 40.9 (trend) · Chop: 34.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.142% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.299% (0.0001)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.758%	0.2R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+0.758%	0.2R	-0.089%	0.0R	8.5×	24
3h ★	+0.758%	0.2R	-1.115%	0.3R	0.7×	36
4h	+0.758%	0.2R	-1.115%	0.3R	0.7×	48
8h	+0.936%	0.3R	-2.274%	0.7R	0.4×	96
12h	+0.936%	0.3R	-2.274%	0.7R	0.4×	144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 4.26

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	—	0.67	bear_high	-3.70%	-0.98	11/08 20:00
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 46%	late	—	—	0.46	bear_medium	-0.96%	-0.67	12/08 08:00
1h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 45%	late	—	—	0.27	bear_low	-1.01%	-0.37	12/08 10:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	normal	bear_medium	61%	noisy_chop 47%	late	—	—	—	range_low	-0.45%	-0.20	12/08 10:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	late	39b	—	14.853×ATR	p100	-3.287×ATR	p98
4h	↓ down	late	25b	—	6.312×ATR	p94	-3.044×ATR	p95
1h	↓ down	late	9b	—	4.959×ATR	p88	-2.704×ATR	p94
15m	↓ down	late	6b	—	2.231×ATR	p25	-2.381×ATR	p90

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.00231666
atr: 2.455E-5
expires_at: 2026-08-12T18:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 46
total: 49
score: 0.2793
confidence: 0.938

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.002243	0.002317			0.002957

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.002243
Stop Loss: 0.002317
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.002317 - 0.002243 = 7.4E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.002243 - = 0.002243
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.002243 / 7.4E-5 = 30.3108

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
243.6058	100	108607.1138	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 7.4E-5

Taille de position = 8 / 7.4E-5 = 108108.11

Taille de position USD = 108108.11 x 0.002243 = 242.49

Donc, tu peux acheter 108108.11 avec un stoploss a 0.002317

Avec un position size USD de 242.49$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 108108.11 x 7.4E-5 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 108108.11 x 0.002243 = 242.49

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 242.49$

Résumé

Taille de position 108108.11
Taille de position USD 242.49
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 242.49
Risk-Reward Ratio 30.3108

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	243.61 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.3 %	8.04 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.85 $	-0.76

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.1146 %	33.78 %	4

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.002243	0.002317			0.002957

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.002243
Stop Loss: 0.002317
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.002317 - 0.002243 = 7.4E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.002243 - = 0.002243
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.002243 / 7.4E-5 = 30.3108

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.299% (0.0001)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.758%	0.2R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+0.758%	0.2R	-0.089%	0.0R	8.5×	24
3h ★	+0.758%	0.2R	-1.115%	0.3R	0.7×	36
4h	+0.758%	0.2R	-1.115%	0.3R	0.7×	48
8h	+0.936%	0.3R	-2.274%	0.7R	0.4×	96
12h	+0.936%	0.3R	-2.274%	0.7R	0.4×	144

computed 2 weeks ago

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