Short Trade on JUP (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 1882.35 JUP at 0.17$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1683 (1.23 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1747 (2.52 %)
12 Aug 2026 at 12:45:10
hyperliquid
JUP
SHORT
momentum_pullback_v1
hyperliquid
12 Aug 2026 12:45
→ 00:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1704$
Qty 1882.3529 JUP
Size 320.7718$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1683 (+1.23%)
TP $ 3.95$
SL 0.1747 (-2.52%)
SL $ 8.09$
RR 0.49
Status
loss
PnL
-1.56%
/ -5.01$
MAE -1.73%
MFE +0.99%
0.4R
expires
13 Aug 00:45
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 67041)
#43 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 12:00
score du 12/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2391
Quality Score
0.485
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 12:31
12/08 12:31
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#43 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#43 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.27×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 0.91×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 12/08 12:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 12/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 12/08 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4851
Score SMA
0.4906
Rank
#43
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2391
Rank Norm SMA
0.2413
Calculé le
12/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3665 | r1h: 0.281% · r4h: -1.017% · r1d: -3.02% · r3d: -8.80% · ema21_slope: -0.1394% · dist_ema21: -1.703% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4135 | rs_1h: 0.008% · rs_4h: 0.064% · rs_1d: -2.91% · rs_3d: -6.21% · beta_24h: 1.363 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2822 | rvol_20: 0.72× · zscore_50: -0.243 · trend: -2.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7692 | ADX: 33.0 (trend) · Chop: 38.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.010% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.524%
(0.0043)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.534% | 0.2R | -0.663% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.534% | 0.2R | -0.663% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.546% | 0.2R | -0.663% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.992% | 0.4R | -1.068% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.992% | 0.4R | -1.725% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.18
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -3.70% | -0.58 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.56 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.21% | -0.46 | 12/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.48 | bear_low | -1.12% | -0.18 | 12/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.38 | range_low | -0.44% | -0.02 | 12/08 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 41b | — | 8.685×ATR | p94 | -1.946×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 5.523×ATR | p90 | -2.238×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 1.873×ATR | p26 | -1.432×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.127×ATR | p24 | -1.718×ATR | p78 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_pullback_v1 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.17466
- tp_price: 0.16827319
- atr: 0.00085472
- expires_at: 2026-08-13T04:45:10+00:00
Details
- rank: 44
- total: 49
- score: 0.3665
- avg_rank_8h: 44.8
- rank_velocity: -0.8
- pullback_depth_atr: 6.62
- trigger_price: 0.17074
- fip_24h: -0.25
- confidence: 0.896
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1704 | 0.1747 | 0.1683 | 0.49 | 0.2132 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1704
- Stop Loss: 0.1747
- Take Profit: 0.1683
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1747 - 0.1704 = 0.0043
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1704 - 0.1683 = 0.0021
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0021 / 0.0043 = 0.4884
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 320.7718 | 100 | 1882.3529 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0043
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0043 = 1860.47
Taille de position USD = 1860.47 x 0.1704 = 317.02
Donc, tu peux acheter 1860.47 avec un stoploss a 0.1747
Avec un position size USD de 317.02$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1860.47 x 0.0043 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1860.47 x 0.0021 = 3.91
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.91$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1860.47
- Taille de position USD 317.02
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.91
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4884
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.23 % | 3.95 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.52 % | 8.09 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -5.01 $ | -1.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6901 % | 66.97 % | 30 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1704 | 0.1747 | 0.1683 | 0.49 | 0.2132 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1704
- Stop Loss: 0.1747
- Take Profit: 0.1683
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1747 - 0.1704 = 0.0043
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1704 - 0.1683 = 0.0021
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0021 / 0.0043 = 0.4884
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.524%
(0.0043)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.534% | 0.2R | -0.663% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.534% | 0.2R | -0.663% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.546% | 0.2R | -0.663% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.992% | 0.4R | -1.068% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.992% | 0.4R | -1.725% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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