Short Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 2865.35 ADA at 0.183$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1765 (3.76 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1862 (1.53 %)
12 Aug 2026 at 14:08:51
hyperliquid
ADA
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
12 Aug 2026 14:08
→ 02:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1834$
Qty 2865.35 ADA
Size 525.5912$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1765 (+3.76%)
TP $ 19.77$
SL 0.1862 (-1.53%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.46
Status
loss
PnL
-0.69%
/ -3.61$
MAE -0.89%
MFE +1.60%
1.1R
expires
13 Aug 02:08
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 67134)
#31 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 14:00
score du 12/08/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3657
Quality Score
0.499
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 14:00
12/08 14:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#31 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.53 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#31 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.53 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.86×ATR |
| 4h | near | -2.72×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.82×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 14:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 12/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 12/08 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4989
Score SMA
0.4908
Rank
#31
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3657
Rank Norm SMA
0.2593
Calculé le
12/08/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4167 | r1h: 0.308% · r4h: -0.366% · r1d: -1.40% · r3d: -7.86% · ema21_slope: -0.1043% · dist_ema21: -1.235% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4592 | rs_1h: 0.331% · rs_4h: 0.203% · rs_1d: -1.21% · rs_3d: -5.24% · beta_24h: 0.589 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2209 | rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.679 · trend: -0.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7658 | ADX: 35.5 (trend) · Chop: 41.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.751% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.527%
(0.0028)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.294% | 0.2R | -0.153% | 0.1R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.294% | 0.2R | -0.153% | 0.1R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.603% | 1.1R | -0.153% | 0.1R | 10.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.603% | 1.1R | -0.153% | 0.1R | 10.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.603% | 1.1R | -0.894% | 0.6R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.712% | 1.1R | -1.663% | 1.1R | 1.0× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.96
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -3.70% | +0.80 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near -2.7ATR | — | 0.57 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.12% | -0.49 | 12/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late_trend | bear_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | near -1.9ATR | — | 0.25 | bear_low | -1.13% | -0.19 | 12/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_low |
50%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.50% | +0.02 | 12/08 13:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.772×ATR | p17 | +0.186×ATR | p16 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 36b | — | 9.14×ATR | p97 | -2.401×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 3.509×ATR | p73 | -1.696×ATR | p80 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.809×ATR | p14 | -0.671×ATR | p25 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8079
- reason: down_bo width=2.63×ATR dur=28b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.18622198
- tp_price: 0.17645006
- atr:
- score: 0.80792627125183
- expires_at: 2026-08-13T06:08:43.679354
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80792627125183
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0172
- obi_top10 : 0.0463
- micro_price : 0.18339923
- spread_pct : 0.054555
- mid_price : 0.18335
- bid_wall_price : 0.183
- bid_wall_size : 9628175.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.184
- ask_wall_size : 10003074.2
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0172
- obi_top5_std : 0
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7262
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.187855
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.18432
- balance_zone_mid:
0.1860875
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786460400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786557600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.6287
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
28
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8079
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786539600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.18432
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7857
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
5
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.6618
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
2
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00134476 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
28
inside_close_ratio
0.7857
bars_since_breakout
5
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6618
Signaux confirmants (37)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:08 | 0.18343000 | +0.016% |
| 2 | 14:14 | 0.18343000 | +0.016% |
| 3 | 14:20 | 0.18326000 | -0.076% |
| 4 | 14:26 | 0.18326000 | -0.076% |
| 5 | 14:33 | 0.18326000 | -0.076% |
| 6 | 14:38 | 0.18352000 | +0.065% |
| 7 | 14:44 | 0.18352000 | +0.065% |
| 8 | 14:50 | 0.18342000 | +0.011% |
| 9 | 14:56 | 0.18342000 | +0.011% |
| 10 | 15:03 | 0.18342000 | +0.011% |
| 11 | 15:09 | 0.18336000 | -0.022% |
| 12 | 15:14 | 0.18336000 | -0.022% |
| 13 | 15:21 | 0.18316000 | -0.131% |
| 14 | 15:26 | 0.18316000 | -0.131% |
| 15 | 15:33 | 0.18316000 | -0.131% |
| 16 | 15:38 | 0.18351000 | +0.06% |
| 17 | 15:44 | 0.18351000 | +0.06% |
| 18 | 15:50 | 0.18305000 | -0.191% |
| 19 | 15:56 | 0.18305000 | -0.191% |
| 20 | 16:03 | 0.18305000 | -0.191% |
| 21 | 16:09 | 0.18318000 | -0.12% |
| 22 | 16:14 | 0.18318000 | -0.12% |
| 23 | 16:20 | 0.18299000 | -0.224% |
| 24 | 16:26 | 0.18299000 | -0.224% |
| 25 | 16:33 | 0.18299000 | -0.224% |
| 26 | 16:38 | 0.18342000 | +0.011% |
| 27 | 16:44 | 0.18342000 | +0.011% |
| 28 | 16:50 | 0.18329000 | -0.06% |
| 29 | 16:56 | 0.18329000 | -0.06% |
| 30 | 17:03 | 0.18329000 | -0.06% |
| 31 | 17:09 | 0.18249000 | -0.496% |
| 32 | 17:15 | 0.18249000 | -0.496% |
| 33 | 19:39 | 0.18247000 | -0.507% |
| 34 | 19:45 | 0.18247000 | -0.507% |
| 35 | 19:51 | 0.18240000 | -0.545% |
| 36 | 19:57 | 0.18240000 | -0.545% |
| 37 | 20:04 | 0.18240000 | -0.545% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7262ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.017
avg 0.017
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.046
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1834
Micro Price
0.1834
Spread
0.0546%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1830
Size
9,628,175.20
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1840
Size
10,003,074.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1834 | 0.1862 | 0.1765 | 2.46 | 0.2049 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1834
- Stop Loss: 0.1862
- Take Profit: 0.1765
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1862 - 0.1834 = 0.0028
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1834 - 0.1765 = 0.0069
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0069 / 0.0028 = 2.4643
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 525.5912 | 100 | 2865.35 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0028
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0028 = 2857.14
Taille de position USD = 2857.14 x 0.1834 = 524
Donc, tu peux acheter 2857.14 avec un stoploss a 0.1862
Avec un position size USD de 524$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2857.14 x 0.0028 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2857.14 x 0.0069 = 19.71
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.71$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2857.14
- Taille de position USD 524
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.71
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4643
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.76 % | 19.77 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.53 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.61 $ | -0.69 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8942 % | 58.57 % | 19 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1834 | 0.1862 | 0.1765 | 2.46 | 0.2049 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1834
- Stop Loss: 0.1862
- Take Profit: 0.1765
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1862 - 0.1834 = 0.0028
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1834 - 0.1765 = 0.0069
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0069 / 0.0028 = 2.4643
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.527%
(0.0028)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.294% | 0.2R | -0.153% | 0.1R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.294% | 0.2R | -0.153% | 0.1R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.603% | 1.1R | -0.153% | 0.1R | 10.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.603% | 1.1R | -0.153% | 0.1R | 10.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.603% | 1.1R | -0.894% | 0.6R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.712% | 1.1R | -1.663% | 1.1R | 1.0× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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