Long Trade on MON (CatchTheWave)
With 121747.07 MON at 0.0219$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02202 (0.64 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02182 (0.27 %)
Long Trade on MON (CatchTheWave)
With 121747.07 MON at 0.0219$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02202 (0.64 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02182 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 0.02188$
Qty 121747.0705 MON
Size 2664.3129$ (margin 100$) (leverage 27)
Risk Setup
TP 0.02202 (+0.64%)
TP $ 17.04$
SL 0.02182 (-0.27%)
SL $ 7.3$
RR 2.33
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6985
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.55×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.26×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.59×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 15:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.247751 15m : 0.261659 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 12/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 12/08 15:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5659 | r1h: -0.376% · r4h: 1.300% · r1d: 2.98% · r3d: 4.25% · ema21_slope: 0.0737% · dist_ema21: 0.806% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6041 | rs_1h: -0.326% · rs_4h: 1.168% · rs_1d: 2.86% · rs_3d: 6.92% · beta_24h: 0.955 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2151 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.568 · trend: -10.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5779 | ADX: 17.1 (weak) · Chop: 46.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.989% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.453% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.919% | 3.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.463% | 5.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.430% | 1.6R | -2.061% | 7.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.430% | 1.6R | -2.061% | 7.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -4.85% | +0.10 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.26% | +0.59 | 12/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.34 | bear_low | -1.22% | +0.26 | 12/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | compression | range_medium |
43%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.58% | +0.08 | 12/08 15:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 1.722×ATR | p0 | +0.677×ATR | p46 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.777×ATR | p0 | +0.788×ATR | p56 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.608×ATR | p9 | +0.603×ATR | p43 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 3.547×ATR | p59 | -0.869×ATR | p52 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63625.6
-0.00431616
63351
-0.247751
63641.1
-0.00455978
63351
0.261659
64224.5
-0.0133987
63364
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 15:00:00
[1] => 0.021368
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 23:00:00
[1] => 0.02087
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 11:00:00
[1] => 0.023288
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 22:00:00
[1] => 0.021628
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 07:00:00
[1] => 0.021825
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 10:00:00
[1] => 0.022342
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 15:00:00
[1] => 0.02119
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 03:00:00
[1] => 0.021826
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 14:00:00
[1] => 0.021553
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 16:00:00
[1] => 0.022277
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.5127710194371
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7955737020368
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3591611376607
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 00:00:00
[1] => 0.021383
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 02:00:00
[1] => 0.02143
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 03:00:00
[1] => 0.021826
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 05:00:00
[1] => 0.021694
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 06:30:00
[1] => 0.021447
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 09:00:00
[1] => 0.021562
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 09:30:00
[1] => 0.021779
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 14:45:00
[1] => 0.021553
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 16:30:00
[1] => 0.022277
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 19:30:00
[1] => 0.02186
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.7731292364322
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10064043915827
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.907593778591
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 11:45:00
[1] => 0.021756
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 12:30:00
[1] => 0.021727
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 13:20:00
[1] => 0.021946
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 13:40:00
[1] => 0.021583
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 14:15:00
[1] => 0.022025
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 14:55:00
[1] => 0.021553
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 15:10:00
[1] => 0.022032
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 16:30:00
[1] => 0.022277
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 17:20:00
[1] => 0.022013
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 19:30:00
[1] => 0.02186
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.7641513668806
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10978956999085
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 37
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.69990850869168
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.022277
196
0.7351
0.4799
0.3389
0.2153
0.44
1
0.3046
0.5777
0.6969
0.4195
0.549
0.494
0.1331
0.0662
1
0.6055
1.0546
0.65
0.35
1
3
1
0.5694
0.3166
3.6221
0.55
2.19
4.2502
1.0546
0.3475
0.2933
0.3
0.0593
0.4412
0.5502
0.7785
0.494
-6.4779
6.3241
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:35 | 0.02188400 | +0.018% |
| 2 | 15:41 | 0.02185100 | -0.133% |
| 3 | 15:47 | 0.02185900 | -0.096% |
| 4 | 15:53 | 0.02184400 | -0.165% |
| 5 | 15:59 | 0.02184400 | -0.165% |
| 6 | 16:06 | 0.02181800 | -0.283% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 11:45:00 | 0.021756 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:30:00 | 0.021727 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 13:20:00 | 0.021946 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 13:40:00 | 0.021583 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 14:15:00 | 0.022025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:55:00 | 0.021553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:10:00 | 0.022032 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 16:30:00 | 0.022277 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 17:20:00 | 0.022013 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 19:30:00 | 0.02186 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 00:00:00 | 0.021383 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:00:00 | 0.02143 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.021826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 05:00:00 | 0.021694 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:30:00 | 0.021447 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 0.021562 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:30:00 | 0.021779 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:45:00 | 0.021553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:30:00 | 0.022277 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 19:30:00 | 0.02186 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 0.021368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 23:00:00 | 0.02087 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 11:00:00 | 0.023288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 0.021628 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 0.021825 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 10:00:00 | 0.022342 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 0.02119 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.021826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 0.021553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:00:00 | 0.022277 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02188 | 0.02182 | 0.02202 | 2.33 | 0.02694 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02182 - 0.02188 = -6.0000000000001E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02188 - 0.02202 = -0.00014
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00014 / -6.0000000000001E-5 = 2.3333
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2664.3129 | 100 | 121747.0705 | 27.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -6.0000000000001E-5 = -133333.33
Taille de position USD = -133333.33 x 0.02188 = -2917.33
Donc, tu peux acheter -133333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.02182
Avec un position size USD de -2917.33$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -133333.33 x -6.0000000000001E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -133333.33 x -0.00014 = 18.67
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 18.67$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.64 % | 17.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 7.3 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.31 $ | -0.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2834 % | 103.36 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02188 | 0.02182 | 0.02202 | 2.33 | 0.02694 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02182 - 0.02188 = -6.0000000000001E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02188 - 0.02202 = -0.00014
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00014 / -6.0000000000001E-5 = 2.3333
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02202
[entry_price] => 0.02188
[stop_loss] => 0.021814
[rr_ratio] => 2.12
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 20:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02202
[entry_price] => 0.02188
[stop_loss] => 0.021808
[rr_ratio] => 1.94
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 20:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02202
[entry_price] => 0.02188
[stop_loss] => 0.021802
[rr_ratio] => 1.79
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 20:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02202
[entry_price] => 0.02188
[stop_loss] => 0.02179
[rr_ratio] => 1.56
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 20:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.453% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.919% | 3.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.463% | 5.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.430% | 1.6R | -2.061% | 7.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.430% | 1.6R | -2.061% | 7.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Aucun commentaire.