Long Trade on MON (CatchTheWave)
With 130441.87 MON at 0.0218$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02195 (0.6 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02176 (0.27 %)
Long Trade on MON (CatchTheWave)
With 130441.87 MON at 0.0218$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02195 (0.6 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02176 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 0.02182$
Qty 130441.8718 MON
Size 2846.8939$ (margin 100$) (leverage 28)
Risk Setup
TP 0.02195 (+0.6%)
TP $ 16.96$
SL 0.02176 (-0.27%)
SL $ 7.83$
RR 2.17
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7419
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.22×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.26×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.59×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 16:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.166758 15m : 0.261177 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 12/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 12/08 15:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5185 | r1h: -0.591% · r4h: -0.812% · r1d: 2.66% · r3d: 3.74% · ema21_slope: 0.0748% · dist_ema21: 0.323% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5562 | rs_1h: -0.520% · rs_4h: -0.651% · rs_1d: 2.95% · rs_3d: 6.55% · beta_24h: 1.076 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1800 | rvol_20: 0.17× · zscore_50: -0.634 · trend: -33.29% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5701 | ADX: 16.5 (weak) · Chop: 46.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.980% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.160% | 0.6R | -0.435% | 1.6R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.160% | 0.6R | -1.192% | 4.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.298% | 1.1R | -1.192% | 4.3R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.706% | 2.6R | -1.792% | 6.5R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.706% | 2.6R | -1.792% | 6.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -4.85% | +0.10 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.26% | +0.59 | 12/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.34 | bear_low | -1.29% | +0.24 | 12/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_medium |
41%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.31 | range_low | -0.57% | +0.08 | 12/08 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 1.722×ATR | p0 | +0.677×ATR | p46 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.777×ATR | p0 | +0.788×ATR | p56 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.884×ATR | p16 | +0.317×ATR | p25 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 4.181×ATR | p82 | -1.248×ATR | p64 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63602.8
-0.00212034
63468
0.166758
63631
-0.0025621
63468
0.261177
64214.5
-0.0112829
63490
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 15:00:00
[1] => 0.021368
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 23:00:00
[1] => 0.02087
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 11:00:00
[1] => 0.023288
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 22:00:00
[1] => 0.021628
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 07:00:00
[1] => 0.021825
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 10:00:00
[1] => 0.022342
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 15:00:00
[1] => 0.02119
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 03:00:00
[1] => 0.021826
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 14:00:00
[1] => 0.021553
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 16:00:00
[1] => 0.022277
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.0873546707366
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2016888600195
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3591611376607
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 00:00:00
[1] => 0.021383
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 02:00:00
[1] => 0.02143
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 03:00:00
[1] => 0.021826
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 05:00:00
[1] => 0.021694
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 06:30:00
[1] => 0.021447
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 09:00:00
[1] => 0.021562
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 09:30:00
[1] => 0.021779
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 14:45:00
[1] => 0.021553
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 16:30:00
[1] => 0.022277
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 20:00:00
[1] => 0.021793
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.0289985186515
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.14683614004497
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2208966181802
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 11:55:00
[1] => 0.021783
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 12:30:00
[1] => 0.021727
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 13:20:00
[1] => 0.021946
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 13:40:00
[1] => 0.021583
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 14:15:00
[1] => 0.022025
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 14:55:00
[1] => 0.021553
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 15:10:00
[1] => 0.022032
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 16:30:00
[1] => 0.022277
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 17:20:00
[1] => 0.022013
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 20:05:00
[1] => 0.021793
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.0289985186515
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.14683614004497
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 44
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0094984628092
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.022277
195
0.7298
0.4624
0.3444
0.2327
0.4358
1
0.2521
0.5913
0.6969
0.4031
0.5529
0.4459
0.0973
0.0549
1
0.0334
0.4727
0.65
0.35
1
4
1
0.5346
0.3166
3.6221
0.5
2.19
4.2502
0.4727
0.3475
0.287
0.28
0.0527
0.4588
0.5002
0.8393
0.4459
-7.6264
6.1383
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:11 | 0.02182500 | +0.023% |
| 2 | 16:17 | 0.02179200 | -0.128% |
| 3 | 16:23 | 0.02180400 | -0.073% |
| 4 | 16:40 | 0.02180200 | -0.082% |
| 5 | 16:53 | 0.02177400 | -0.211% |
| 6 | 16:59 | 0.02177300 | -0.215% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 11:55:00 | 0.021783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:30:00 | 0.021727 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 13:20:00 | 0.021946 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 13:40:00 | 0.021583 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 14:15:00 | 0.022025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:55:00 | 0.021553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:10:00 | 0.022032 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 16:30:00 | 0.022277 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 17:20:00 | 0.022013 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 20:05:00 | 0.021793 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 00:00:00 | 0.021383 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:00:00 | 0.02143 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.021826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 05:00:00 | 0.021694 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:30:00 | 0.021447 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 0.021562 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:30:00 | 0.021779 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:45:00 | 0.021553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:30:00 | 0.022277 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 20:00:00 | 0.021793 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 0.021368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 23:00:00 | 0.02087 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 11:00:00 | 0.023288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 0.021628 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 0.021825 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 10:00:00 | 0.022342 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 0.02119 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.021826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 0.021553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:00:00 | 0.022277 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02182 | 0.02176 | 0.02195 | 2.17 | 0.02663 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02176 - 0.02182 = -5.9999999999998E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02182 - 0.02195 = -0.00013
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00013 / -5.9999999999998E-5 = 2.1667
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2846.8939 | 100 | 130441.8718 | 28.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -5.9999999999998E-5 = -133333.33
Taille de position USD = -133333.33 x 0.02182 = -2909.33
Donc, tu peux acheter -133333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.02176
Avec un position size USD de -2909.33$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -133333.33 x -5.9999999999998E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -133333.33 x -0.00013 = 17.33
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 17.33$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.6 % | 16.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 7.83 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.83 $ | -0.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2979 % | 108.33 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02182 | 0.02176 | 0.02195 | 2.17 | 0.02663 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02176 - 0.02182 = -5.9999999999998E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02182 - 0.02195 = -0.00013
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00013 / -5.9999999999998E-5 = 2.1667
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02195
[entry_price] => 0.02182
[stop_loss] => 0.021754
[rr_ratio] => 1.97
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 21:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02195
[entry_price] => 0.02182
[stop_loss] => 0.021748
[rr_ratio] => 1.81
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 21:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02195
[entry_price] => 0.02182
[stop_loss] => 0.021742
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 21:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02195
[entry_price] => 0.02182
[stop_loss] => 0.02173
[rr_ratio] => 1.44
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 21:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.160% | 0.6R | -0.435% | 1.6R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.160% | 0.6R | -1.192% | 4.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.298% | 1.1R | -1.192% | 4.3R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.706% | 2.6R | -1.792% | 6.5R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.706% | 2.6R | -1.792% | 6.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Aucun commentaire.