Long Trade on MON (CatchTheWave)
With 158071.53 MON at 0.0217$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02185 (0.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0217 (0.23 %)
Long Trade on MON (CatchTheWave)
With 158071.53 MON at 0.0217$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02185 (0.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0217 (0.23 %)
Position
Entry 0.02175$
Qty 158071.5274 MON
Size 3438.0557$ (margin 100$) (leverage 34)
Risk Setup
TP 0.02185 (+0.46%)
TP $ 15.81$
SL 0.0217 (-0.23%)
SL $ 7.9$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7574
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.17×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.77×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.59×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 17:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.279201 15m : 0.261509 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 12/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 12/08 16:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5149 | r1h: -0.243% · r4h: -1.514% · r1d: 1.84% · r3d: 3.28% · ema21_slope: 0.0741% · dist_ema21: -0.037% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5237 | rs_1h: -0.415% · rs_4h: -1.599% · rs_1d: 2.13% · rs_3d: 5.71% · beta_24h: 0.925 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1541 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -0.689 · trend: -51.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5355 | ADX: 15.6 (weak) · Chop: 49.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.938% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.331% | 1.4R | -0.874% | 3.8R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.331% | 1.4R | -0.874% | 3.8R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.030% | 4.5R | -0.874% | 3.8R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.030% | 4.5R | -1.476% | 6.4R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.030% | 4.5R | -1.476% | 6.4R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -4.85% | +0.10 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_medium | -1.16% | +0.49 | 12/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.5ATR | near 0.2ATR | 0.33 | bear_low | -0.96% | +0.19 | 12/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.31 | range_low | -0.26% | -0.13 | 12/08 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 1.722×ATR | p0 | +0.677×ATR | p46 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.453×ATR | p0 | +0.455×ATR | p37 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.378×ATR | p36 | -0.038×ATR | p2 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 5.444×ATR | p97 | -1.819×ATR | p88 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63555.6
0.000508742
63588
-0.279201
63665.6
-0.00122013
63588
0.261509
64193.4
-0.00980627
63564
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0.022277
195
0.6458
0.4624
0.3436
0.2309
0.4358
1
0.2414
0.5609
0.6969
0.4315
0.5567
0.4381
0.0931
0.0528
0.6667
-0.0633
0.36
0.65
0.35
1
4
1
0.5382
0.3166
3.6221
0.5
2.19
4.2502
0.36
0.3475
0.2838
0.3
0.0773
0.4639
0.507
0.8391
0.4381
-7.5579
5.8918
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:06 | 0.02175000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:12 | 0.02176500 | +0.069% |
| 3 | 17:29 | 0.02172600 | -0.11% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 13:20:00 | 0.021946 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 13:40:00 | 0.021583 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 14:15:00 | 0.022025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:55:00 | 0.021553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:10:00 | 0.022032 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 16:30:00 | 0.022277 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 17:20:00 | 0.022013 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 20:15:00 | 0.021781 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 20:30:00 | 0.021855 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:05:00 | 0.02175 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 00:00:00 | 0.021383 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:00:00 | 0.02143 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.021826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 05:00:00 | 0.021694 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:30:00 | 0.021447 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 0.021562 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:30:00 | 0.021779 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:45:00 | 0.021553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:30:00 | 0.022277 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 0.02175 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 0.021368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 23:00:00 | 0.02087 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 11:00:00 | 0.023288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 0.021628 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 0.021825 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 10:00:00 | 0.022342 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 0.02119 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.021826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 0.021553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:00:00 | 0.022277 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02175 | 0.0217 | 0.02185 | 2 | 0.02704 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0217 - 0.02175 = -4.9999999999998E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02175 - 0.02185 = -0.0001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0001 / -4.9999999999998E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3438.0557 | 100 | 158071.5274 | 34.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -4.9999999999998E-5 = -160000
Taille de position USD = -160000 x 0.02175 = -3480
Donc, tu peux acheter -160000 avec un stoploss a 0.0217
Avec un position size USD de -3480$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -160000 x -4.9999999999998E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -160000 x -0.0001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 15.81 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.23 % | 7.9 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.9 $ | -0.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2575 % | 112.01 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02175 | 0.0217 | 0.02185 | 2 | 0.02704 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0217 - 0.02175 = -4.9999999999998E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02175 - 0.02185 = -0.0001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0001 / -4.9999999999998E-5 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.331% | 1.4R | -0.874% | 3.8R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.331% | 1.4R | -0.874% | 3.8R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.030% | 4.5R | -0.874% | 3.8R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.030% | 4.5R | -1.476% | 6.4R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.030% | 4.5R | -1.476% | 6.4R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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