Long Trade on NIL

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12 Aug 2026 at 17:10:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2414.82 NIL at 0.0431$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04423 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03984 (7.67 %)

NIL LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 12 Aug 2026 17:10 → 23:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.04315$

Qty 2414.8173 NIL

Size 104.2114$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.04423 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.61$

SL 0.03984 (-7.67%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.33

Status loss PnL -3.34% / -3.48$ MAE -4.24% MFE +1.36% 0.2R expires 12 Aug 23:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 67304)

#1 / 52 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1359

Quality Score

0.709

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 17:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#1 / 52 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.67 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#1 / 52 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.67 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.47×ATR
4h	near	0.37×ATR
1d	clear	—

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
1d	—	—	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 17:00 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

12/08 17:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 12/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 12/08 16:00 Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

12/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

12/08 16:00

Score : +3 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.7091

Score SMA

0.3990

Rank

#1 / 52

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1359

Rank Norm SMA

0.1409

Calculé le

12/08/2026 17:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.8523	r1h: 1.535% · r4h: 0.620% · r1d: 21.68% · r3d: 5.26% · ema21_slope: 0.9175% · dist_ema21: 6.152%
Force Relative	25%	0.7570	rs_1h: 1.363% · rs_4h: 0.535% · rs_1d: 21.97% · rs_3d: 7.69% · beta_24h: 0.098
Volume	20%	0.2877	rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.239 · trend: 18.58%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7836	ADX: 34.0 (trend) · Chop: 25.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.8909	ATR%: 3.327% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.671% (0.0033)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.258%	0.2R	-1.815%	0.2R	0.7×	12
2h	+1.258%	0.2R	-1.815%	0.2R	0.7×	24
4h	+1.363%	0.2R	-3.495%	0.5R	0.4×	48
6h ★	+1.363%	0.2R	-4.243%	0.6R	0.3×	72
8h	+1.363%	0.2R	-6.327%	0.8R	0.2×	96
12h	+1.363%	0.2R	-6.327%	0.8R	0.2×	144

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.71

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	—
4h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion	bull_high	69%	noisy_chop 39%	late	—	near 0.4ATR	0.33	bear_medium	-1.16%	+0.86	12/08 16:00
1h	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 48%	mid	—	near 0.5ATR	0.04	bear_low	-0.96%	+0.97	12/08 16:00
15m	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	compression	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	near 0.4ATR	—	range_low	-0.26%	-0.24	12/08 16:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
4h	↑ up	late	6b	—	2.891×ATR	p41	+1.557×ATR	p85
1h	↑ up	mid	3b	—	1.732×ATR	p12	+1.51×ATR	p69
15m	↑ up	early	8b	—	1.192×ATR	p3	+0.282×ATR	p15

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.03984212
tp_price: 0.04423387
atr: 0.00132515
expires_at: 2026-08-13T03:10:07+00:00

Details

rank: 1
total: 52
score: 0.8523
delta_2h: 0
extension_atr: 1.75
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1359
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.04315	0.03984	0.04423	0.33	0.04706

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.04315
Stop Loss: 0.03984
Take Profit: 0.04423

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.03984 - 0.04315 = -0.00331
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.04315 - 0.04423 = -0.00108
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00108 / -0.00331 = 0.3263

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
104.2114	100	2414.8173	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.00331

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00331 = -2416.92

Taille de position USD = -2416.92 x 0.04315 = -104.29

Donc, tu peux acheter -2416.92 avec un stoploss a 0.03984

Avec un position size USD de -104.29$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2416.92 x -0.00331 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2416.92 x -0.00108 = 2.61

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.61$

Résumé

Taille de position -2416.92
Taille de position USD -104.29
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 2.61
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3263

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	2.61 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
7.67 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
-3.48 $	-3.34

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.2433 %	55.32 %	15

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.04315	0.03984	0.04423	0.33	0.04706

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.04315
Stop Loss: 0.03984
Take Profit: 0.04423

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.03984 - 0.04315 = -0.00331
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.04315 - 0.04423 = -0.00108
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00108 / -0.00331 = 0.3263

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.671% (0.0033)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.258%	0.2R	-1.815%	0.2R	0.7×	12
2h	+1.258%	0.2R	-1.815%	0.2R	0.7×	24
4h	+1.363%	0.2R	-3.495%	0.5R	0.4×	48
6h ★	+1.363%	0.2R	-4.243%	0.6R	0.3×	72
8h	+1.363%	0.2R	-6.327%	0.8R	0.2×	96
12h	+1.363%	0.2R	-6.327%	0.8R	0.2×	144

computed 3 weeks ago

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