Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 401.61 KAITO at 0.453$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4317 (4.74 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4731 (4.39 %)
12 Aug 2026 at 17:15:07
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_pullback_v1
hyperliquid
12 Aug 2026 17:15
→ 05:15
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.4532$
Qty 401.6064 KAITO
Size 182.004$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4317 (+4.74%)
TP $ 8.63$
SL 0.4731 (-4.39%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 1.08
Status
loss
PnL
-1.09%
/ -1.98$
MAE -3.48%
MFE +3.80%
0.9R
expires
13 Aug 05:15
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 67303)
#52 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 17:00
score du 12/08/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0152
Quality Score
0.366
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
27.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 17:02
12/08 17:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#52 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.39 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#52 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.39 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.12×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 17:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_exhausted (+2) 12/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 12/08 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3659
Score SMA
0.3830
Rank
#52
/ 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0152
Rank Norm SMA
0.0381
Calculé le
12/08/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1248 | r1h: -1.273% · r4h: -0.481% · r1d: -26.75% · r3d: -31.47% · ema21_slope: -1.3516% · dist_ema21: -11.168% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1780 | rs_1h: -1.445% · rs_4h: -0.566% · rs_1d: -26.46% · rs_3d: -29.04% · beta_24h: 0.037 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2772 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.254 · trend: 13.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 1.0000 | ADX: 64.7 (trend) · Chop: 12.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7847 | ATR%: 3.646% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.391%
(0.0199)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.030% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.030% | 0.5R | -1.408% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.800% | 0.9R | -1.408% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.800% | 0.9R | -1.408% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.800% | 0.9R | -3.480% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.58
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.36 | bear_high | -4.85% | -1.00 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high_exhausted |
33%
|
choppy 48% | late | — | — | -0.01 | bear_medium | -1.16% | -1.00 | 12/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
48%
|
choppy 55% | late | — | — | -0.07 | bear_low | -0.96% | -0.99 | 12/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.01 | range_low | -0.26% | +0.10 | 12/08 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 7.307×ATR | p83 | -2.781×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 67b | — | 22.826×ATR | p100 | -4.863×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 0.8×ATR | p0 | -2.665×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 0.735×ATR | p0 | -0.528×ATR | p27 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_pullback_v1 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.47311
- tp_price: 0.43171893
- atr: 0.00858843
- expires_at: 2026-08-13T09:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 52
- total: 52
- score: 0.1248
- avg_rank_8h: 49.4
- rank_velocity: 2.6
- pullback_depth_atr: 3.11
- trigger_price: 0.45369
- fip_24h: -0.333
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:15 | 0.45319000 | -0.002% |
| 2 | 17:30 | 0.45150000 | -0.375% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4532 | 0.4731 | 0.4317 | 1.08 | 0.3002 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4532
- Stop Loss: 0.4731
- Take Profit: 0.4317
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4731 - 0.4532 = 0.0199
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4532 - 0.4317 = 0.0215
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0215 / 0.0199 = 1.0804
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 182.004 | 100 | 401.6064 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0199
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0199 = 402.01
Taille de position USD = 402.01 x 0.4532 = 182.19
Donc, tu peux acheter 402.01 avec un stoploss a 0.4731
Avec un position size USD de 182.19$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 402.01 x 0.0199 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 402.01 x 0.0215 = 8.64
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.64$
Résumé
- Taille de position 402.01
- Taille de position USD 182.19
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 8.64
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.0804
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.74 % | 8.63 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.39 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.98 $ | -1.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.4797 % | 79.25 % | 22 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4532 | 0.4731 | 0.4317 | 1.08 | 0.3002 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4532
- Stop Loss: 0.4731
- Take Profit: 0.4317
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4731 - 0.4532 = 0.0199
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4532 - 0.4317 = 0.0215
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0215 / 0.0199 = 1.0804
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.391%
(0.0199)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.030% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.030% | 0.5R | -1.408% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.800% | 0.9R | -1.408% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.800% | 0.9R | -1.408% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.800% | 0.9R | -3.480% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.