Long Trade on MON (CatchTheWave)
With 148643.63 MON at 0.0217$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0218 (0.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02163 (0.28 %)
Long Trade on MON (CatchTheWave)
With 148643.63 MON at 0.0217$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0218 (0.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02163 (0.28 %)
Position
Entry 0.02169$
Qty 148643.6269 MON
Size 3223.783$ (margin 100$) (leverage 32)
Risk Setup
TP 0.0218 (+0.51%)
TP $ 16.35$
SL 0.02163 (-0.28%)
SL $ 8.92$
RR 1.83
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7574
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.34×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.82×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.59×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 17:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.236109 15m : 0.271549 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 12/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 12/08 17:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5149 | r1h: -0.243% · r4h: -1.514% · r1d: 1.84% · r3d: 3.28% · ema21_slope: 0.0741% · dist_ema21: -0.037% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5237 | rs_1h: -0.415% · rs_4h: -1.599% · rs_1d: 2.13% · rs_3d: 5.71% · beta_24h: 0.925 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1541 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -0.689 · trend: -51.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5355 | ADX: 15.6 (weak) · Chop: 49.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.938% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.609% | 2.2R | -0.599% | 2.2R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.636% | 2.3R | -0.599% | 2.2R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.309% | 4.7R | -0.599% | 2.2R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.309% | 4.7R | -1.203% | 4.4R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.309% | 4.7R | -1.203% | 4.4R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -4.85% | +0.10 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_medium | -1.03% | +0.47 | 12/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.3ATR | near 0.3ATR | 0.33 | bear_low | -0.89% | +0.17 | 12/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.42% | -0.22 | 12/08 17:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 1.722×ATR | p0 | +0.677×ATR | p46 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.363×ATR | p0 | +0.378×ATR | p31 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.633×ATR | p43 | -0.178×ATR | p13 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 6.209×ATR | p97 | -2.231×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63551.9
-0.00209143
63419
-0.236109
63665.7
-0.00387538
63419
0.271549
64191.6
-0.0112571
63469
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0.022277
194
0.6396
0.4624
0.3449
0.2388
0.4317
1
0.223
0.5639
0.6969
0.4357
0.5624
0.4257
0.0516
0.0384
0.6667
-0.2192
0.2002
0.65
0.35
1
5
1
0.5225
0.3166
3.6221
0.5
2.19
4.2502
0.2002
0.3475
0.2659
0.28
0.1015
0.4746
0.5091
0.844
0.4257
-8.2613
6.1231
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 13:20:00 | 0.021946 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 13:40:00 | 0.021583 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 14:15:00 | 0.022025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:55:00 | 0.021553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:10:00 | 0.022032 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 16:30:00 | 0.022277 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 17:20:00 | 0.022013 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 20:15:00 | 0.021781 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 20:30:00 | 0.021855 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:30:00 | 0.021679 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 00:00:00 | 0.021383 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:00:00 | 0.02143 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.021826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 05:00:00 | 0.021694 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:30:00 | 0.021447 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 0.021562 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:30:00 | 0.021779 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:45:00 | 0.021553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:30:00 | 0.022277 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:30:00 | 0.021679 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 23:00:00 | 0.02087 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 11:00:00 | 0.023288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 0.021628 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 0.021825 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 10:00:00 | 0.022342 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 0.02119 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.021826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 0.021553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:00:00 | 0.022277 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 0.021725 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02169 | 0.02163 | 0.0218 | 1.83 | 0.02759 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02163 - 0.02169 = -6.0000000000001E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02169 - 0.0218 = -0.00011
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00011 / -6.0000000000001E-5 = 1.8333
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3223.783 | 100 | 148643.6269 | 32.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -6.0000000000001E-5 = -133333.33
Taille de position USD = -133333.33 x 0.02169 = -2892
Donc, tu peux acheter -133333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.02163
Avec un position size USD de -2892$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -133333.33 x -6.0000000000001E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -133333.33 x -0.00011 = 14.67
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 14.67$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.51 % | 16.35 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.28 % | 8.92 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.35 $ | 0.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02169 | 0.02163 | 0.0218 | 1.83 | 0.02759 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02163 - 0.02169 = -6.0000000000001E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02169 - 0.0218 = -0.00011
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00011 / -6.0000000000001E-5 = 1.8333
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.609% | 2.2R | -0.599% | 2.2R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.636% | 2.3R | -0.599% | 2.2R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.309% | 4.7R | -0.599% | 2.2R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.309% | 4.7R | -1.203% | 4.4R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.309% | 4.7R | -1.203% | 4.4R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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