12 Aug 2026 at 18:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on UNI (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 75.63 UNI at 3.537$ per unit. Take profit: 3.4485 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.6427 (2.99 %)

UNI SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 12 Aug 2026 18:10 → 00:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 3.5369$

Qty 75.6256 UNI

Size 267.4801$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 3.4485 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.69$

SL 3.6427 (-2.99%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.84

Status loss PnL -0.58% / -1.54$ MAE -1.49% MFE +0.40% 0.1R expires 13 Aug 00:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 67333)
#51 / 52 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0960

Quality Score
0.425
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
12.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 18:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#51 / 52 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#51 / 52 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.29×ATR
4h near -0.33×ATR
1d clear 1.89×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

12/08 18:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

11/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

12/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

12/08 17:00

Score : +3 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.4245
Score SMA
0.4635
Rank
#51 / 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0960
Rank Norm SMA
0.1296
Calculé le
12/08/2026 18:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2637 r1h: -0.883% · r4h: 0.292% · r1d: -5.97% · r3d: -13.59% · ema21_slope: -0.2793% · dist_ema21: -1.591%
Force Relative 25% 0.3073 rs_1h: -0.776% · rs_4h: 0.194% · rs_1d: -5.79% · rs_3d: -11.05% · beta_24h: 1.647
Volume 20% 0.3171 rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: 0.125 · trend: -7.93%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7013 ADX: 49.0 (trend) · Chop: 63.8 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.267% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.991% (0.1058)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -0.551% 0.2R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.490% 0.5R 0.0× 24
4h +0.167% 0.1R -1.490% 0.5R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.404% 0.1R -1.490% 0.5R 0.3× 72
8h +0.404% 0.1R -1.490% 0.5R 0.3× 96
12h +0.404% 0.1R -2.171% 0.7R 0.2× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.16
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion range_high
35%
noisy_chop 36% mid 0.64 bear_high -4.85% -0.37 11/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading expansion bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 45% late near -0.3ATR 0.52 bear_medium -1.03% -0.80 12/08 16:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading expansion bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 48% mid 0.38 bear_low -0.95% -0.56 12/08 17:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind normal bear_medium
60%
noisy_chop 39% early range_low -0.27% +0.05 12/08 17:30
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 12b 4.284×ATR p38 -1.248×ATR p65
4h ↓ down late 18b 6.065×ATR p94 -2.238×ATR p93
1h ↑ up mid 6b 1.312×ATR p2 -1.327×ATR p71
15m ↓ down early 3b 2.162×ATR p19 -0.001×ATR p1

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 3.64268433
  2. tp_price: 3.4484775
  3. atr: 0.04231373
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-13T04:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 51
  2. total: 52
  3. score: 0.2637
  4. delta_2h: -0.0381
  5. extension_atr: -1.08
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.096
  9. confidence: 0.98

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 18:10 3.53690000 0%
2 19:10 3.54780000 +0.308%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.5369 3.6427 3.4485 0.84 6.1819
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.5369
  • Stop Loss: 3.6427
  • Take Profit: 3.4485

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.6427 - 3.5369 = 0.1058

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.5369 - 3.4485 = 0.0884

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0884 / 0.1058 = 0.8355

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
267.4801 100 75.6256 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1058

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1058 = 75.61

Taille de position USD = 75.61 x 3.5369 = 267.43

Donc, tu peux acheter 75.61 avec un stoploss a 3.6427

Avec un position size USD de 267.43$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 75.61 x 0.1058 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 75.61 x 0.0884 = 6.68

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.68$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 75.61
  • Taille de position USD 267.43
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.68
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8355

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 6.69 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.99 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.54 $ -0.58
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.49 % 49.81 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.5369 3.6427 3.4485 0.84 6.1819
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.5369
  • Stop Loss: 3.6427
  • Take Profit: 3.4485

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.6427 - 3.5369 = 0.1058

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.5369 - 3.4485 = 0.0884

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0884 / 0.1058 = 0.8355

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.991% (0.1058)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -0.551% 0.2R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.490% 0.5R 0.0× 24
4h +0.167% 0.1R -1.490% 0.5R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.404% 0.1R -1.490% 0.5R 0.3× 72
8h +0.404% 0.1R -1.490% 0.5R 0.3× 96
12h +0.404% 0.1R -2.171% 0.7R 0.2× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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