Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1776.37 2Z at 0.0491$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0479 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.05363 (9.16 %)
12 Aug 2026 at 19:10:05
hyperliquid
2Z
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
12 Aug 2026 19:10
→ 22:35
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 0.04913$
Qty 1776.3725 2Z
Size 87.2679$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.0479 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.18$
SL 0.05363 (-9.16%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.27
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +2.18$
MAE -1.02%
MFE +3.16%
0.4R
expires
13 Aug 01:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 67410)
#50 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 19:00
score du 12/08/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5177
Quality Score
0.410
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 19:02
12/08 19:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#50 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.16 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#50 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.16 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 19:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 12/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 12/08 18:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4101
Score SMA
0.5713
Rank
#50
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5177
Rank Norm SMA
0.4906
Calculé le
12/08/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2128 | r1h: -2.290% · r4h: -14.296% · r1d: -5.67% · r3d: -12.87% · ema21_slope: -0.0005% · dist_ema21: -6.032% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1325 | rs_1h: -2.175% · rs_4h: -14.323% · rs_1d: -5.27% · rs_3d: -10.32% · beta_24h: -0.268 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6032 | rvol_20: 1.44× · zscore_50: 0.786 · trend: 190.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8160 | ADX: 37.9 (trend) · Chop: -7.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7012 | ATR%: 3.896% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -9.159%
(0.0045)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.429% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.972% | 0.2R | -1.018% | 0.1R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.110% | 0.3R | -1.018% | 0.1R | 3.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.163% | 0.4R | -1.018% | 0.1R | 3.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.163% | 0.4R | -1.018% | 0.1R | 3.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.220% | 0.4R | -1.018% | 0.1R | 3.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.94
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
46%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.37 | bear_medium | -1.13% | -0.67 | 12/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
42%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.19 | bear_low | -1.14% | -0.56 | 12/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 52% | late | — | — | 0.09 | range_low | -0.44% | -0.65 | 12/08 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 6.6×ATR | p83 | -1.207×ATR | p67 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 8.528×ATR | p98 | -1.35×ATR | p80 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 17b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -2.85×ATR | p95 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.05363056
- tp_price: 0.04789882
- atr: 0.00180142
- expires_at: 2026-08-13T05:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 51
- total: 52
- score: 0.2128
- delta_2h: -0.2675
- extension_atr: -1.66
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5177
- confidence: 0.98
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04913 | 0.05363 | 0.0479 | 0.27 | 0.05123 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04913
- Stop Loss: 0.05363
- Take Profit: 0.0479
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.05363 - 0.04913 = 0.0045
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04913 - 0.0479 = 0.00123
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00123 / 0.0045 = 0.2733
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87.2679 | 87.2679 | 1776.3725 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0045
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0045 = 1777.78
Taille de position USD = 1777.78 x 0.04913 = 87.34
Donc, tu peux acheter 1777.78 avec un stoploss a 0.05363
Avec un position size USD de 87.34$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1777.78 x 0.0045 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1777.78 x 0.00123 = 2.19
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.19$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1777.78
- Taille de position USD 87.34
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.19
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2733
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.18 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.16 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.18 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0177 % | 11.11 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04913 | 0.05363 | 0.0479 | 0.27 | 0.05123 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04913
- Stop Loss: 0.05363
- Take Profit: 0.0479
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.05363 - 0.04913 = 0.0045
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04913 - 0.0479 = 0.00123
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00123 / 0.0045 = 0.2733
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -9.159%
(0.0045)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.429% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.972% | 0.2R | -1.018% | 0.1R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.110% | 0.3R | -1.018% | 0.1R | 3.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.163% | 0.4R | -1.018% | 0.1R | 3.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.163% | 0.4R | -1.018% | 0.1R | 3.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.220% | 0.4R | -1.018% | 0.1R | 3.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
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