Long Trade on MON (CatchTheWave)
With 127429.12 MON at 0.0217$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02187 (0.55 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02168 (0.32 %)
Long Trade on MON (CatchTheWave)
With 127429.12 MON at 0.0217$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02187 (0.55 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02168 (0.32 %)
Position
Entry 0.02175$
Qty 127429.1176 MON
Size 2771.201$ (margin 100$) (leverage 28)
Risk Setup
TP 0.02187 (+0.55%)
TP $ 15.29$
SL 0.02168 (-0.32%)
SL $ 8.92$
RR 1.71
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6467
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.08×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.59×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.91×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 21:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.321493 15m : 0.25651 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 12/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 12/08 21:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5685 | r1h: 0.302% · r4h: 0.533% · r1d: 2.10% · r3d: 3.75% · ema21_slope: 0.0516% · dist_ema21: 0.472% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6059 | rs_1h: 0.268% · rs_4h: 0.684% · rs_1d: 2.46% · rs_3d: 5.97% · beta_24h: 0.953 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1651 | rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.524 · trend: -65.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4947 | ADX: 13.0 (weak) · Chop: 52.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.876% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.018% | 0.1R | -1.476% | 4.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.092% | 0.3R | -1.476% | 4.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.699% | 2.2R | -1.476% | 4.6R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.699% | 2.2R | -1.476% | 4.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.699% | 2.2R | -1.476% | 4.6R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -4.58% | +0.09 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_medium | -0.99% | +0.55 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.33 | bear_low | -1.07% | +0.13 | 12/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.34 | range_low | -0.32% | +0.03 | 12/08 21:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 1.717×ATR | p0 | +0.557×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 1.67×ATR | p0 | +0.628×ATR | p49 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.289×ATR | p2 | +0.056×ATR | p5 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.412×ATR | p28 | -0.559×ATR | p32 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63473.6
-0.000420456
63447
0.321493
63620
-0.00305021
63426
0.25651
64120.7
-0.0114751
63385
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0.02156
196
0.6964
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0.4048
0.2499
0.5317
0.8639
0.1198
0.6176
0.6754
0.4447
0.6325
0.4452
-0.0027
0.0143
1
0.0522
0.4217
0.65
0.35
1
9
1
0.5003
0.6351
3.6221
0.5
0.8639
3.1291
0.4217
0.0541
0.2452
0.24
0.151
0.5012
0.4906
0.5252
0.4452
-8.0524
6.4615
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:59 | 0.02174700 | -0.014% |
| 2 | 22:06 | 0.02175300 | +0.014% |
| 3 | 22:12 | 0.02173900 | -0.051% |
| 4 | 22:18 | 0.02172200 | -0.129% |
| 5 | 22:24 | 0.02171200 | -0.175% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 17:40:00 | 0.022096 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 20:15:00 | 0.021781 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 20:30:00 | 0.021855 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:45:00 | 0.021822 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 0.02156 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 23:00:00 | 0.021737 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 23:05:00 | 0.021661 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 00:50:00 | 0.021974 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 01:55:00 | 0.021747 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.021826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 05:00:00 | 0.021694 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:30:00 | 0.021447 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 0.021562 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:30:00 | 0.021779 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:45:00 | 0.021553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:30:00 | 0.022277 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 0.02156 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 00:45:00 | 0.021974 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 01:45:00 | 0.02178 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 23:00:00 | 0.02087 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 11:00:00 | 0.023288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 0.021628 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 0.021825 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 10:00:00 | 0.022342 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 0.02119 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.021826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 0.021553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:00:00 | 0.022277 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 0.02156 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02175 | 0.02168 | 0.02187 | 1.71 | 0.02655 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02168 - 0.02175 = -6.9999999999997E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02175 - 0.02187 = -0.00012
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00012 / -6.9999999999997E-5 = 1.7143
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2771.201 | 100 | 127429.1176 | 28.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -6.9999999999997E-5 = -114285.71
Taille de position USD = -114285.71 x 0.02175 = -2485.71
Donc, tu peux acheter -114285.71 avec un stoploss a 0.02168
Avec un position size USD de -2485.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -114285.71 x -6.9999999999997E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -114285.71 x -0.00012 = 13.71
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 13.71$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.55 % | 15.29 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.32 % | 8.92 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.92 $ | -0.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4759 % | 458.64 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02175 | 0.02168 | 0.02187 | 1.71 | 0.02655 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02168 - 0.02175 = -6.9999999999997E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02175 - 0.02187 = -0.00012
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00012 / -6.9999999999997E-5 = 1.7143
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.018% | 0.1R | -1.476% | 4.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.092% | 0.3R | -1.476% | 4.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.699% | 2.2R | -1.476% | 4.6R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.699% | 2.2R | -1.476% | 4.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.699% | 2.2R | -1.476% | 4.6R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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