Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2187.74 2Z at 0.0477$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04651 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.05136 (7.67 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 00:10:05
hyperliquid
2Z
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 00:10
→ 06:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.0477$
Qty 2187.735 2Z
Size 104.355$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04651 (+2.49%)
TP $ 2.6$
SL 0.05136 (-7.67%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.33
Status
loss
PnL
-0.13%
/ -0.14$
MAE -2.40%
MFE +0.14%
0.0R
expires
13 Aug 06:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 67665)
#49 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 00:00
score du 13/08/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1597
Quality Score
0.388
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 00:02
13/08 00:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#49 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#49 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 00:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 12/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 12/08 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 00:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3878
Score SMA
0.5130
Rank
#49
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1597
Rank Norm SMA
0.3750
Calculé le
13/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2452 | r1h: -0.346% · r4h: -1.745% · r1d: -8.54% · r3d: -12.55% · ema21_slope: -0.2343% · dist_ema21: -5.857% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2561 | rs_1h: -0.387% · rs_4h: -1.881% · rs_1d: -8.16% · rs_3d: -10.40% · beta_24h: -0.629 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2006 | rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -0.345 · trend: -32.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7927 | ADX: 35.1 (trend) · Chop: 4.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9117 | ATR%: 3.265% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.673%
(0.0037)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.061% | 0.0R | -0.832% | 0.1R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.061% | 0.0R | -2.398% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.145% | 0.0R | -2.398% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.145% | 0.0R | -2.398% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.319% | 0.0R | -2.398% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.254% | 0.2R | -2.398% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.08
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -4.58% | -0.97 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
44%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.35 | bear_medium | -1.04% | -0.93 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.19 | bear_low | -0.78% | -0.69 | 12/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.09% | -0.33 | 12/08 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 32b | — | 7.483×ATR | p91 | -2.257×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 7.594×ATR | p90 | -1.988×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 11.388×ATR | p100 | -1.221×ATR | p70 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 37b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -2.445×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.05135675
- tp_price: 0.0465075
- atr: 0.0014627
- expires_at: 2026-08-13T10:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 50
- total: 51
- score: 0.2452
- delta_2h: -0.0057
- extension_atr: -1.88
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1597
- confidence: 0.98
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0477 | 0.05136 | 0.04651 | 0.33 | 0.05079 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0477
- Stop Loss: 0.05136
- Take Profit: 0.04651
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.05136 - 0.0477 = 0.00366
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0477 - 0.04651 = 0.00119
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00119 / 0.00366 = 0.3251
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104.355 | 100 | 2187.735 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00366
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00366 = 2185.79
Taille de position USD = 2185.79 x 0.0477 = 104.26
Donc, tu peux acheter 2185.79 avec un stoploss a 0.05136
Avec un position size USD de 104.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2185.79 x 0.00366 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2185.79 x 0.00119 = 2.6
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.6$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2185.79
- Taille de position USD 104.26
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.6
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3251
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 2.6 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.67 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.14 $ | -0.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.3983 % | 31.26 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0477 | 0.05136 | 0.04651 | 0.33 | 0.05079 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0477
- Stop Loss: 0.05136
- Take Profit: 0.04651
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.05136 - 0.0477 = 0.00366
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0477 - 0.04651 = 0.00119
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00119 / 0.00366 = 0.3251
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.673%
(0.0037)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.061% | 0.0R | -0.832% | 0.1R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.061% | 0.0R | -2.398% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.145% | 0.0R | -2.398% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.145% | 0.0R | -2.398% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.319% | 0.0R | -2.398% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.254% | 0.2R | -2.398% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.