Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 197.21 KAITO at 0.446$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4868 (9.1 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 02:10:04
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 02:10
→ 05:05
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.4462$
Qty 197.2137 KAITO
Size 88.0066$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 88$
SL 0.4868 (-9.1%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR
Status
loss
PnL
-2.37%
/ -2.08$
MAE -5.10%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
13 Aug 05:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 67761)
#50 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 02:00
score du 13/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0000
Quality Score
0.363
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
24.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 02:02
13/08 02:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#50 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.10 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#50 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.10 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.04×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 02:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_exhausted (+2) 13/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 13/08 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 02:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3632
Score SMA
0.3618
Rank
#50
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.0182
Calculé le
13/08/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2127 | r1h: 0.410% · r4h: 0.885% · r1d: -26.24% · r3d: -33.95% · ema21_slope: -0.9355% · dist_ema21: -6.414% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2546 | rs_1h: 0.036% · rs_4h: 0.148% · rs_1d: -26.37% · rs_3d: -32.11% · beta_24h: -0.464 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1316 | rvol_20: 0.13× · zscore_50: -1.026 · trend: -65.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7556 | ADX: 66.8 (trend) · Chop: 68.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9611 | ATR%: 3.117% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -9.099%
(0.0406)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.770% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.103% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.103% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.103% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.051% | 0.1R | -5.103% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.051% | 0.1R | -6.945% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.08
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.36 | bear_high | -4.58% | -1.00 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high_exhausted |
34%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | — | -0.01 | range_medium | -0.51% | -1.00 | 13/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | -0.07 | range_low | -0.22% | -0.95 | 13/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.1ATR | near -1.0ATR | 0.00 | range_low | +0.39% | +0.12 | 13/08 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 7.902×ATR | p83 | -3.076×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 69b | — | 24.545×ATR | p100 | -4.56×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 1.982×ATR | p20 | -2.401×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.786×ATR | p16 | +0.336×ATR | p16 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4462 | 0.4868 | 0.3309 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4462
- Stop Loss: 0.4868
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4868 - 0.4462 = 0.0406
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4462 - = 0.4462
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4462 / 0.0406 = 10.9901
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88.0066 | 88.0066 | 197.2137 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0406
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0406 = 197.04
Taille de position USD = 197.04 x 0.4462 = 87.92
Donc, tu peux acheter 197.04 avec un stoploss a 0.4868
Avec un position size USD de 87.92$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 197.04 x 0.0406 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 197.04 x 0.4462 = 87.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 87.92$
Résumé
- Taille de position 197.04
- Taille de position USD 87.92
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 87.92
- Risk-Reward Ratio 10.9901
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 88 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.1 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.08 $ | -2.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.1031 % | 56.08 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4462 | 0.4868 | 0.3309 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4462
- Stop Loss: 0.4868
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4868 - 0.4462 = 0.0406
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4462 - = 0.4462
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4462 / 0.0406 = 10.9901
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -9.099%
(0.0406)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.770% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.103% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.103% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.103% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.051% | 0.1R | -5.103% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.051% | 0.1R | -6.945% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
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