Short Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 698.94 CRV at 0.255$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2486 (2.47 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2664 (4.51 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 03:10:05
hyperliquid
CRV
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 03:10
→ 09:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.2549$
Qty 698.9396 CRV
Size 178.1807$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2486 (+2.47%)
TP $ 4.4$
SL 0.2664 (-4.51%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 0.55
Status
win
PnL
+0.32%
/ +0.57$
MAE -1.79%
MFE +2.25%
0.5R
expires
13 Aug 09:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 67782)
#36 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 03:00
score du 13/08/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3256
Quality Score
0.477
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
9.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 03:00
13/08 03:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#36 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#36 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.07×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.34×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.04×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 03:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 13/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 13/08 02:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 03:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4766
Score SMA
0.5656
Rank
#36
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3256
Rank Norm SMA
0.6519
Calculé le
13/08/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3461 | r1h: -0.307% · r4h: -3.395% · r1d: -7.86% · r3d: 5.54% · ema21_slope: -0.2323% · dist_ema21: -4.317% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3842 | rs_1h: -0.121% · rs_4h: -3.714% · rs_1d: -7.93% · rs_3d: 7.89% · beta_24h: 1.210 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4135 | rvol_20: 1.48× · zscore_50: -0.038 · trend: -5.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6266 | ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 49.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.931% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.512%
(0.0115)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.459% | 0.1R | -0.408% | 0.1R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.549% | 0.1R | -0.408% | 0.1R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.745% | 0.2R | -1.785% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.252% | 0.5R | -1.785% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.252% | 0.5R | -1.785% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.907% | 0.6R | -1.785% | 0.4R | 1.6× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.78
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -4.24% | +0.98 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.40 | range_medium | -0.55% | +0.71 | 13/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.22 | range_low | -0.48% | -0.70 | 13/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
ranging_calm 49% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.13% | -0.45 | 13/08 02:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 4.133×ATR | p40 | +1.897×ATR | p91 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.297×ATR | p53 | -0.331×ATR | p26 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 5.206×ATR | p89 | -2.778×ATR | p93 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 23b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -2.834×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.26637591
- tp_price: 0.24855675
- atr: 0.00457836
- expires_at: 2026-08-13T13:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 48
- total: 50
- score: 0.3461
- delta_2h: -0.0682
- extension_atr: -1.87
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3256
- confidence: 0.959
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2549 | 0.2664 | 0.2486 | 0.55 | 0.3644 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2549
- Stop Loss: 0.2664
- Take Profit: 0.2486
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2664 - 0.2549 = 0.0115
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2549 - 0.2486 = 0.0063
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0063 / 0.0115 = 0.5478
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 178.1807 | 100 | 698.9396 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0115
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0115 = 695.65
Taille de position USD = 695.65 x 0.2549 = 177.32
Donc, tu peux acheter 695.65 avec un stoploss a 0.2664
Avec un position size USD de 177.32$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 695.65 x 0.0115 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 695.65 x 0.0063 = 4.38
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.38$
Résumé
- Taille de position 695.65
- Taille de position USD 177.32
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.38
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5478
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.47 % | 4.4 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.51 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.57 $ | 0.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.785 % | 39.56 % | 19 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2549 | 0.2664 | 0.2486 | 0.55 | 0.3644 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2549
- Stop Loss: 0.2664
- Take Profit: 0.2486
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2664 - 0.2549 = 0.0115
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2549 - 0.2486 = 0.0063
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0063 / 0.0115 = 0.5478
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.512%
(0.0115)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.459% | 0.1R | -0.408% | 0.1R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.549% | 0.1R | -0.408% | 0.1R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.745% | 0.2R | -1.785% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.252% | 0.5R | -1.785% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.252% | 0.5R | -1.785% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.907% | 0.6R | -1.785% | 0.4R | 1.6× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
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