Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 40.82 HYPE at 56.845$ per unit. Take profit: 57.237 (0.69 %) & Stop Loss: 56.649 (0.34 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 40.82 HYPE at 56.845$ per unit. Take profit: 57.237 (0.69 %) & Stop Loss: 56.649 (0.34 %)
Position
Entry 56.845$
Qty 40.819 HYPE
Size 2320.3532$ (margin 100$) (leverage 23)
Risk Setup
TP 57.237 (+0.69%)
TP $ 16$
SL 56.649 (-0.34%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9363
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.46×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.71×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.84×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 04:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.311038 15m : 0.269424 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 13/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6301 | r1h: -0.131% · r4h: 1.511% · r1d: 3.93% · r3d: 4.67% · ema21_slope: 0.1056% · dist_ema21: 1.643% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6276 | rs_1h: -0.026% · rs_4h: 1.163% · rs_1d: 3.88% · rs_3d: 6.72% · beta_24h: 0.734 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2624 | rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: -0.197 · trend: -9.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7726 | ADX: 44.3 (trend) · Chop: 50.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.699% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.445% | 1.3R | -0.032% | 0.1R | 14.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.601% | 4.6R | -0.032% | 0.1R | 50.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.601% | 4.6R | -0.032% | 0.1R | 50.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.911% | 8.4R | -0.032% | 0.1R | 91.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.911% | 8.4R | -0.032% | 0.1R | 91.8× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -4.24% | +0.02 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -1.7ATR | 0.55 | range_medium | -0.45% | +0.64 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.51 | range_low | -0.36% | +0.27 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_low |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.28 | range_low | +0.16% | +0.06 | 13/08 04:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 37b | — | 5.887×ATR | p79 | +0.407×ATR | p28 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 4.412×ATR | p69 | +2.11×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 2.925×ATR | p53 | +1.688×ATR | p80 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.564×ATR | p3 | +0.425×ATR | p21 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63716.1
0.000783009
63766
0.311038
63652.9
0.00182344
63769
0.269424
64055.5
-0.00397423
63801
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55.896
190
0.7524
0.472
0.3635
0.2252
0.4767
0.6691
0.5594
0.5081
0.6908
0.4159
0.576
0.8889
0.2351
0.1567
1
1.5664
3.3127
0.6
0.4
1
15
1
0.5496
0.3506
3.4808
0.5
0.6691
2.329
3.3127
0.495
0.2863
0.32
0.0358
0.4766
0.527
0.8194
0.8889
-1.1006
8.8021
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 02:30:00 | 56.265 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 02:45:00 | 56.624 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 03:10:00 | 56.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 03:30:00 | 56.642 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 56.365 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:25:00 | 57.383 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 06:50:00 | 57.159 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 07:05:00 | 57.476 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 07:40:00 | 57.252 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:25:00 | 56.82 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 12:45:00 | 55.472 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 13:30:00 | 56.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:15:00 | 55.393 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 17:45:00 | 56.913 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:15:00 | 56.444 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 23:15:00 | 55.896 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 56.365 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:15:00 | 57.383 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 07:00:00 | 57.476 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 08:00:00 | 57.028 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 55.244 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 16:00:00 | 53.947 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 20:00:00 | 56.079 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 54.765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 04:00:00 | 55.615 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 54.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 53.737 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 17:00:00 | 56.913 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 23:00:00 | 55.896 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 07:00:00 | 57.476 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.845 | 56.649 | 57.237 | 2 | 86.501 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 56.649 - 56.845 = -0.196
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 56.845 - 57.237 = -0.392
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.392 / -0.196 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2320.3532 | 100 | 40.819 | 23.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.196 = -40.82
Taille de position USD = -40.82 x 56.845 = -2320.41
Donc, tu peux acheter -40.82 avec un stoploss a 56.649
Avec un position size USD de -2320.41$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -40.82 x -0.196 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -40.82 x -0.392 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.69 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.34 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.69 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0317 % | 9.19 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.845 | 56.649 | 57.237 | 2 | 86.501 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 56.649 - 56.845 = -0.196
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 56.845 - 57.237 = -0.392
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.392 / -0.196 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.445% | 1.3R | -0.032% | 0.1R | 14.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.601% | 4.6R | -0.032% | 0.1R | 50.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.601% | 4.6R | -0.032% | 0.1R | 50.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.911% | 8.4R | -0.032% | 0.1R | 91.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.911% | 8.4R | -0.032% | 0.1R | 91.8× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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