Short Trade on AAVE (BosPullback)
With 12.04 AAVE at 88.989$ per unit. Take profit: 87.608 (1.55 %) & Stop Loss: 89.6537 (0.75 %)
Short Trade on AAVE (BosPullback)
With 12.04 AAVE at 88.989$ per unit. Take profit: 87.608 (1.55 %) & Stop Loss: 89.6537 (0.75 %)
Position
Entry 88.989$
Qty 12.0354 AAVE
Size 1071.0192$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 87.608 (+1.55%)
TP $ 16.62$
SL 89.6537 (-0.75%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.08
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3135
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 4.31×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.91×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.66×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 04:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 13/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 13/08 04:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5070 | r1h: -0.153% · r4h: 1.195% · r1d: 0.08% · r3d: -3.15% · ema21_slope: -0.0406% · dist_ema21: 0.654% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5068 | rs_1h: -0.048% · rs_4h: 0.846% · rs_1d: 0.03% · rs_3d: -1.10% · beta_24h: 1.395 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1629 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.556 · trend: -50.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5032 | ADX: 18.2 (weak) · Chop: 56.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.689% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.307% | 0.4R | -0.143% | 0.2R | 2.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.505% | 0.7R | -0.143% | 0.2R | 3.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.961% | 1.3R | -0.143% | 0.2R | 6.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.235% | 3.0R | -0.143% | 0.2R | 15.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.383% | 3.2R | -0.143% | 0.2R | 16.7× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -1.7ATR | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -4.24% | -0.40 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.47 | range_medium | -0.45% | -0.09 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.52 | range_low | -0.36% | -0.03 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
45%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.62 | range_low | +0.12% | +0.07 | 13/08 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 17b | — | 3.494×ATR | p40 | -0.691×ATR | p44 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 2.288×ATR | p5 | -0.121×ATR | p9 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 2.322×ATR | p46 | +0.398×ATR | p28 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.309×ATR | p32 | +0.691×ATR | p32 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
87.535
139
0.4929
0.5071
0.3273
0.2252
0.4108
1
0.2597
0.4943
0.3412
0.2087
0.5461
0.415
0.0584
0
0.6667
0.428
0.0125
0.35
0.65
-1
10
1
0.5497
0.4694
3.0223
0.5
1.7051
2.9563
0.0125
0.4454
0.3218
0.16
-0.1309
0.4678
0.4546
0.4883
0.415
-7.0552
5.0044
1
1
0
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-09 08:00:00
[price] => 91.868
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-09 11:00:00
[price] => 90.815
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-09 16:00:00
[price] => 91.9
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-09 18:00:00
[price] => 90.962
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-09 22:00:00
[price] => 92.312
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-09 23:00:00
[price] => 90.162
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-10 01:00:00
[price] => 92.124
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-10 03:00:00
[price] => 91.084
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-10 07:00:00
[price] => 92.875
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-10 17:00:00
[price] => 88.89
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-10 19:00:00
[price] => 90.04
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 07:00:00
[price] => 88.205
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 11:00:00
[price] => 89.304
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 16:00:00
[price] => 86.13
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 05:00:00
[price] => 90.301
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 06:00:00
[price] => 88.8
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 12:00:00
[price] => 90.257
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 14:00:00
[price] => 88.391
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 16:00:00
[price] => 89.605
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 22:00:00
[price] => 87.535
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 10:00:00
[price] => 89.894
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 10:30:00
[price] => 89.397
[kind] => low
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 12:15:00
[price] => 90.257
[kind] => high
[label] =>
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 12:45:00
[price] => 89.394
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 14:30:00
[price] => 88.391
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
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[time] => 2026-08-12 16:00:00
[price] => 89.605
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 19:45:00
[price] => 88.386
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 21:00:00
[price] => 88.843
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 22:45:00
[price] => 87.535
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 00:15:00
[price] => 88.469
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 02:30:00
[price] => 87.599
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 07:00:00
[price] => 89.601
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
87.535
89.605
89.605
87.535
87.681
87.535
87.608
0.5214
90.257
89.394
89.8255
0.9087
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:32 | 88.98900000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:37 | 88.89200000 | -0.109% |
| 3 | 04:43 | 88.89200000 | -0.109% |
| 4 | 05:08 | 88.87200000 | -0.131% |
| 5 | 05:14 | 88.80700000 | -0.205% |
| 6 | 06:02 | 88.87100000 | -0.133% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88.989 | 89.6537 | 87.608 | 2.08 | 129.02 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 89.6537 - 88.989 = 0.6647
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 88.989 - 87.608 = 1.381
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.381 / 0.6647 = 2.0776
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1071.0192 | 100 | 12.0354 | 11.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.6647 = 12.04
Taille de position USD = 12.04 x 88.989 = 1071.43
Donc, tu peux acheter 12.04 avec un stoploss a 89.6537
Avec un position size USD de 1071.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 12.04 x 0.6647 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 12.04 x 1.381 = 16.63
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.63$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.55 % | 16.62 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.75 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.62 $ | 1.55 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1427 % | 19.11 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88.989 | 89.6537 | 87.608 | 2.08 | 129.02 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 89.6537 - 88.989 = 0.6647
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 88.989 - 87.608 = 1.381
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.381 / 0.6647 = 2.0776
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 87.6596
[stop_loss] => 89.6537
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 14:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.307% | 0.4R | -0.143% | 0.2R | 2.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.505% | 0.7R | -0.143% | 0.2R | 3.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.961% | 1.3R | -0.143% | 0.2R | 6.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.235% | 3.0R | -0.143% | 0.2R | 15.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.383% | 3.2R | -0.143% | 0.2R | 16.7× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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