Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1757.48 NEAR at 1.665$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6744 (0.55 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6607 (0.28 %)
Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1757.48 NEAR at 1.665$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6744 (0.55 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6607 (0.28 %)
Position
Entry 1.6653$
Qty 1757.477 NEAR
Size 2926.7264$ (margin 100$) (leverage 29)
Risk Setup
TP 1.6744 (+0.55%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 1.6607 (-0.28%)
SL $ 8.08$
RR 1.98
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6171
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.47×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.70×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.92×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 04:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.41823 15m : 0.426081 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 13/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 04:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5735 | r1h: -0.036% · r4h: 1.148% · r1d: 1.56% · r3d: 1.19% · ema21_slope: 0.0660% · dist_ema21: 1.558% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5654 | rs_1h: 0.069% · rs_4h: 0.799% · rs_1d: 1.51% · rs_3d: 3.24% · beta_24h: 1.557 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2013 | rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.528 · trend: -22.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5607 | ADX: 18.3 (weak) · Chop: 49.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.929% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.216% | 0.8R | -0.655% | 2.4R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.216% | 0.8R | -0.655% | 2.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.216% | 0.8R | -1.069% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.438% | 1.6R | -2.048% | 7.4R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.438% | 1.6R | -2.516% | 9.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -4.24% | -0.62 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_high |
44%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.62 | range_medium | -0.45% | +0.50 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.45 | range_low | -0.36% | +0.13 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
50%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.35 | range_low | +0.12% | +0.03 | 13/08 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 29b | — | 5.445×ATR | p75 | -0.415×ATR | p22 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.05×ATR | p0 | +1.114×ATR | p64 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 3.605×ATR | p71 | +1.342×ATR | p69 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.289×ATR | p32 | +0.089×ATR | p6 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63719.8
0.000629535
63760
0.41823
63673.2
0.00111076
63744
0.426081
64054.5
-0.00480063
63747
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1.9972
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2.2178
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0.18
-0.2565
0.5018
0.5292
0.5356
0.8762
-1.2682
8.9756
1
0
2
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:38 | 1.66530000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:56 | 1.66300000 | -0.138% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 03:40:00 | 1.6586 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 05:05:00 | 1.6715 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 05:20:00 | 1.6626 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 06:05:00 | 1.6634 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 06:15:00 | 1.674 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 06:40:00 | 1.6644 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 06:55:00 | 1.675 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 07:15:00 | 1.6661 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:00:00 | 1.6806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 08:30:00 | 1.6652 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 11:30:00 | 1.6411 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:30:00 | 1.6607 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:30:00 | 1.6106 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 18:00:00 | 1.6556 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 19:00:00 | 1.6322 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 21:45:00 | 1.6141 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 00:00:00 | 1.6527 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 02:30:00 | 1.6337 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:00:00 | 1.6806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 08:30:00 | 1.6652 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 1.649 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 23:00:00 | 1.5955 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 08:00:00 | 1.6681 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 1.5903 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 06:00:00 | 1.6173 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 14:00:00 | 1.5371 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:00:00 | 1.6833 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 1.6106 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 1.6141 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:00:00 | 1.6806 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6653 | 1.6607 | 1.6744 | 1.98 | 2.5622 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6607 - 1.6653 = -0.0045999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6653 - 1.6744 = -0.0091000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0091000000000001 / -0.0045999999999999 = 1.9783
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2926.7264 | 100 | 1757.477 | 29.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0045999999999999 = -1739.13
Taille de position USD = -1739.13 x 1.6653 = -2896.17
Donc, tu peux acheter -1739.13 avec un stoploss a 1.6607
Avec un position size USD de -2896.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1739.13 x -0.0045999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1739.13 x -0.0091000000000001 = 15.83
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.83$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.55 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.28 % | 8.08 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.08 $ | -0.28 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5344 % | 193.48 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6653 | 1.6607 | 1.6744 | 1.98 | 2.5622 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6607 - 1.6653 = -0.0045999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6653 - 1.6744 = -0.0091000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0091000000000001 / -0.0045999999999999 = 1.9783
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.216% | 0.8R | -0.655% | 2.4R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.216% | 0.8R | -0.655% | 2.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.216% | 0.8R | -1.069% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.438% | 1.6R | -2.048% | 7.4R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.438% | 1.6R | -2.516% | 9.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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