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Short Trade on ARB

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13 Aug 2026 at 05:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ARB (momentum_rotation_score)

With 3351.99 ARB at 0.0747$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0771 (3.2 %)

ARB SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 13 Aug 2026 05:10 → 08:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.07471$

Qty 3351.9928 ARB

Size 250.4274$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 250.43$

SL 0.0771 (-3.2%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status win PnL +0.03% / +0.067$ MAE -0.21% MFE +0.41% 0.1R expires 13 Aug 08:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 67873)
#38 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4440

Quality Score
0.469
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 05:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#38 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.20 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#38 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.20 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.24×ATR
4h near -0.92×ATR
1d near -0.85×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

13/08 05:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

12/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

13/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

13/08 04:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear transition — 0
Tactical range range — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.80
Transition risk : 0.20
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.63
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 05:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.4687
Score SMA
0.5159
Rank
#38 / 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4440
Rank Norm SMA
0.4616
Calculé le
13/08/2026 05:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3204 r1h: -0.716% · r4h: -1.526% · r1d: -4.00% · r3d: -6.42% · ema21_slope: -0.2345% · dist_ema21: -1.800%
Force Relative 25% 0.3538 rs_1h: -0.620% · rs_4h: -1.692% · rs_1d: -4.01% · rs_3d: -4.20% · beta_24h: 1.143
Volume 20% 0.3478 rvol_20: 0.91× · zscore_50: 0.250 · trend: -0.76%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7637 ADX: 31.6 (trend) · Chop: 34.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.138% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.199% (0.0024)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.187% 0.1R -0.214% 0.1R 0.9× 12
2h +0.415% 0.1R -0.214% 0.1R 1.9× 24
3h ★ +0.415% 0.1R -0.214% 0.1R 1.9× 36
4h +0.415% 0.1R -0.308% 0.1R 1.4× 48
8h +0.750% 0.2R -1.405% 0.4R 0.5× 96
12h +0.750% 0.2R -1.405% 0.4R 0.5× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.82
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 39% late near -0.8ATR — 0.71 bear_high -4.24% -0.68 12/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong explosive expansion_after_compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 36% mid near -0.9ATR — 0.57 range_medium -0.45% -0.21 13/08 04:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 51% mid near -0.2ATR — 0.43 range_low -0.41% -0.45 13/08 04:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced compression bear_medium
59%
noisy_chop 45% mid — — — range_low +0.16% -0.17 13/08 04:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 32b — 6.53×ATR p83 -1.156×ATR p53
4h ↓ down mid 8b — 3.434×ATR p68 -1.379×ATR p78
1h ↓ down mid 1b — 2.101×ATR p16 -1.309×ATR p71
15m ↓ down mid 6b — 4.874×ATR p73 -2.368×ATR p77

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.07709664
  2. atr: 0.00079555
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-13T12:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 46
  2. total: 48
  3. score: 0.3204
  4. confidence: 0.957

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07471 0.0771 0.1643
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07471
  • Stop Loss: 0.0771
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0771 - 0.07471 = 0.00239

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07471 - = 0.07471

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.07471 / 0.00239 = 31.2594

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
250.4274 100 3351.9928 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00239

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00239 = 3347.28

Taille de position USD = 3347.28 x 0.07471 = 250.08

Donc, tu peux acheter 3347.28 avec un stoploss a 0.0771

Avec un position size USD de 250.08$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3347.28 x 0.00239 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3347.28 x 0.07471 = 250.08

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 250.08$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3347.28
  • Taille de position USD 250.08
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 250.08
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 31.2594

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 250.43 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.2 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
0.067 $ 0.03
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2142 % 6.7 % 13
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07471 0.0771 0.1643
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07471
  • Stop Loss: 0.0771
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0771 - 0.07471 = 0.00239

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07471 - = 0.07471

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.07471 / 0.00239 = 31.2594

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.199% (0.0024)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.187% 0.1R -0.214% 0.1R 0.9× 12
2h +0.415% 0.1R -0.214% 0.1R 1.9× 24
3h ★ +0.415% 0.1R -0.214% 0.1R 1.9× 36
4h +0.415% 0.1R -0.308% 0.1R 1.4× 48
8h +0.750% 0.2R -1.405% 0.4R 0.5× 96
12h +0.750% 0.2R -1.405% 0.4R 0.5× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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