Long Trade on XMR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.93 XMR at 403.41$ per unit. Take profit: 424.8301 (5.31 %) & Stop Loss: 394.842 (2.12 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 05:12:30
hyperliquid
XMR
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 05:12
→ 15:05
· 9 hours
Position
Entry 403.41$
Qty 0.9337 XMR
Size 376.6647$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 424.8301 (+5.31%)
TP $ 20$
SL 394.842 (-2.12%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.12%
/ -8$
MAE -2.45%
MFE +1.45%
0.7R
expires
13 Aug 17:12
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 67912)
#4 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 05:00
score du 13/08/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5096
Quality Score
0.597
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 05:02
13/08 05:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#4 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.13×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.07×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.38×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 05:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 05:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5965
Score SMA
0.5229
Rank
#4
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5096
Rank Norm SMA
0.5291
Calculé le
13/08/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6070 | r1h: 1.072% · r4h: 1.903% · r1d: 1.43% · r3d: 2.46% · ema21_slope: 0.0468% · dist_ema21: 1.898% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6416 | rs_1h: 1.167% · rs_4h: 1.737% · rs_1d: 1.42% · rs_3d: 4.68% · beta_24h: 0.295 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3734 | rvol_20: 1.35× · zscore_50: 0.069 · trend: -25.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5285 | ADX: 14.0 (weak) · Chop: 49.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.815% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.124%
(8.5680)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.170% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.383% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.445% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +1.445% | 0.7R | -0.972% | 0.5R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.445% | 0.7R | -2.449% | 1.2R | 0.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.445% | 0.7R | -2.695% | 1.3R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.87
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -4.24% | +0.69 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.36 | range_medium | -0.45% | +0.26 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.11 | range_low | -0.41% | +0.25 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_low |
54%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.25 | range_low | +0.12% | +0.11 | 13/08 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 1.388×ATR | p0 | +1.6×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 3.599×ATR | p58 | +0.99×ATR | p59 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 3.195×ATR | p71 | +2.589×ATR | p95 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 7.515×ATR | p93 | +3.245×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8325
- reason: up_bo width=2.85×ATR dur=48b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_moderate(+0.05)
- stop_price: 394.8419555
- tp_price: 424.83011124
- atr:
- score: 0.71249964961468
- expires_at: 2026-08-13T21:12:22.790951
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.71249964961468
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2771
- obi_top10 : 0.142
- micro_price : 404.45173913
- spread_pct : 0.074178
- mid_price : 404.58
- bid_wall_price : 402
- bid_wall_size : 630.41
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 406
- ask_wall_size : 474.76
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2988
- obi_top5_std : 0.0121
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7113
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
399.955
- balance_zone_bottom:
390.4
- balance_zone_mid:
395.1775
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786442400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786611600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8476
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
48
- balance_zone_quality: drifting
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7125
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786608000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
399.955
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6458
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.0297
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 3.35544497 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
48
inside_close_ratio
0.6458
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0297
Signaux confirmants (18)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:12 | 403.41000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 05:18 | 403.41000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 06:23 | 405.19000000 | +0.441% |
| 4 | 06:29 | 405.19000000 | +0.441% |
| 5 | 06:35 | 405.19000000 | +0.441% |
| 6 | 09:53 | 404.67000000 | +0.312% |
| 7 | 09:59 | 404.67000000 | +0.312% |
| 8 | 10:07 | 404.67000000 | +0.312% |
| 9 | 10:13 | 405.38000000 | +0.488% |
| 10 | 10:20 | 404.67000000 | +0.312% |
| 11 | 10:25 | 404.67000000 | +0.312% |
| 12 | 10:32 | 404.67000000 | +0.312% |
| 13 | 10:37 | 404.67000000 | +0.312% |
| 14 | 10:43 | 403.01000000 | -0.099% |
| 15 | 10:49 | 404.25000000 | +0.208% |
| 16 | 10:55 | 404.25000000 | +0.208% |
| 17 | 11:00 | 404.25000000 | +0.208% |
| 18 | 11:07 | 404.25000000 | +0.208% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7113ms
Confidence avant OB :
71%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.277
avg 0.299
± 0.012
OBI Top 10
0.142
Microstructure
Mid Price
404.5800
Micro Price
404.4517
Spread
0.0742%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
402.0000
Size
630.41
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
406.0000
Size
474.76
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403.41 | 394.842 | 424.8301 | 2.5 | 505.18 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 403.41
- Stop Loss: 394.842
- Take Profit: 424.8301
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 394.842 - 403.41 = -8.568
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 403.41 - 424.8301 = -21.4201
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -21.4201 / -8.568 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 376.6647 | 100 | 0.9337 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -8.568
Taille de position = 8 / -8.568 = -0.93
Taille de position USD = -0.93 x 403.41 = -375.17
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.93 avec un stoploss a 394.842
Avec un position size USD de -375.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.93 x -8.568 = 7.97
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.97$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.93 x -21.4201 = 19.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.92$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.93
- Taille de position USD -375.17
- Perte potentielle 7.97
- Gain potentiel 19.92
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.31 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.12 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.12 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1269 % | 100.14 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403.41 | 394.842 | 424.8301 | 2.5 | 505.18 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 403.41
- Stop Loss: 394.842
- Take Profit: 424.8301
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 394.842 - 403.41 = -8.568
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 403.41 - 424.8301 = -21.4201
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -21.4201 / -8.568 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.124%
(8.5680)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.170% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.383% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.445% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +1.445% | 0.7R | -0.972% | 0.5R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.445% | 0.7R | -2.449% | 1.2R | 0.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.445% | 0.7R | -2.695% | 1.3R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
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