Long Trade on LDO (CatchTheWave)
With 12872.5 LDO at 0.292$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2937 (0.44 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2918 (0.21 %)
Long Trade on LDO (CatchTheWave)
With 12872.5 LDO at 0.292$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2937 (0.44 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2918 (0.21 %)
Position
Entry 0.2924$
Qty 12872.4979 LDO
Size 3764.0471$ (margin 100$) (leverage 38)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2937 (+0.44%)
TP $ 16.73$
SL 0.2918 (-0.21%)
SL $ 7.72$
RR 2.17
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4329
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.62×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.41×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.27×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 05:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.495175 15m : 0.434459 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 13/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 13/08 05:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5186 | r1h: -0.208% · r4h: 0.401% · r1d: 2.24% · r3d: -0.56% · ema21_slope: 0.0411% · dist_ema21: 0.524% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5419 | rs_1h: -0.112% · rs_4h: 0.234% · rs_1d: 2.23% · rs_3d: 1.66% · beta_24h: 1.769 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1491 | rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -0.764 · trend: -74.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5571 | ADX: 17.1 (weak) · Chop: 48.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.911% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.804% | 3.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.804% | 3.9R | -0.058% | 0.3R | 13.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.843% | 9.0R | -0.058% | 0.3R | 31.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.404% | 11.7R | -0.332% | 1.6R | 7.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.404% | 11.7R | -0.332% | 1.6R | 7.3× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.68 | bear_high | -4.24% | -0.98 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.31 | bear_medium | -0.77% | +0.14 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.19 | range_low | -0.68% | -0.00 | 13/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.44 | range_low | -0.07% | +0.01 | 13/08 05:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 21b | — | 5.962×ATR | p69 | -0.988×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 1.683×ATR | p3 | +0.216×ATR | p14 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 3.158×ATR | p66 | +0.421×ATR | p29 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 4.223×ATR | p50 | -0.503×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63688.6
-0.000716456
63643
0.495175
63666.4
0.000118018
63674
0.434459
64053
-0.00591724
63674
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0.4553
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0.2182
0
-0.2643
0.5212
0.4999
0.6829
0.6548
-3.2599
6.1841
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 05:15:00 | 0.29362 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 05:30:00 | 0.29245 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:55:00 | 0.29377 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 06:35:00 | 0.29246 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 07:05:00 | 0.2965 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 08:15:00 | 0.29289 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:40:00 | 0.29363 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 08:50:00 | 0.29283 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 09:00:00 | 0.29363 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:35:00 | 0.29239 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 14:45:00 | 0.28891 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:00:00 | 0.29254 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 19:15:00 | 0.28502 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 0.291 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 0.28497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 00:45:00 | 0.29384 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 02:30:00 | 0.29076 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 04:15:00 | 0.29364 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 07:00:00 | 0.2965 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:15:00 | 0.29264 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 15:00:00 | 0.29076 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 00:00:00 | 0.29318 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 02:00:00 | 0.30009 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 0.28335 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 00:00:00 | 0.29568 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 08:00:00 | 0.28662 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 0.29765 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 0.28497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 00:00:00 | 0.29384 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 07:00:00 | 0.2965 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2924 | 0.2918 | 0.2937 | 2.17 | 0.3716 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2918 - 0.2924 = -0.00059999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2924 - 0.2937 = -0.0013
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0013 / -0.00059999999999999 = 2.1667
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3764.0471 | 100 | 12872.4979 | 38.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00059999999999999 = -13333.33
Taille de position USD = -13333.33 x 0.2924 = -3898.67
Donc, tu peux acheter -13333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.2918
Avec un position size USD de -3898.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -13333.33 x -0.00059999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -13333.33 x -0.0013 = 17.33
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 17.33$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.44 % | 16.73 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.21 % | 7.72 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.73 $ | 0.44 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2924 | 0.2918 | 0.2937 | 2.17 | 0.3716 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2918 - 0.2924 = -0.00059999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2924 - 0.2937 = -0.0013
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0013 / -0.00059999999999999 = 2.1667
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.804% | 3.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.804% | 3.9R | -0.058% | 0.3R | 13.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.843% | 9.0R | -0.058% | 0.3R | 31.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.404% | 11.7R | -0.332% | 1.6R | 7.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.404% | 11.7R | -0.332% | 1.6R | 7.3× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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