Short Trade on KAITO

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13 Aug 2026 at 06:00:13 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_pullback_v1)

With 575.13 KAITO at 0.455$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4393 (3.47 %) & Stop Loss: 0.469 (3.05 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_pullback_v1 hyperliquid 13 Aug 2026 06:00 → 11:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.4551$

Qty 575.1258 KAITO

Size 261.7168$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4393 (+3.47%)

TP $ 9.09$

SL 0.469 (-3.05%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 1.14

Status loss PnL -3.05% / -7.99$ MAE -4.85% MFE +7.89% 2.6R expires 13 Aug 18:00

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 67904)

#47 / 47 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0106

Quality Score

0.354

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

1 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

18.2M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 05:47

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#47 / 47 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+7 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.05 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#47 / 47 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+7 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.05 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	—
1d	near	0.03×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	late	BLOCKED

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 05:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

13/08 05:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 13/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 13/08 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

12/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

13/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

13/08 05:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)

range compression range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	bear	transition	—	+1
Tactical	range	range	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.80

Transition risk : 0.20

Score contribution (this trade) +1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.63

Snapshot évalué : 13/08 06:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.3536

Score SMA

0.3576

Rank

#47 / 47

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0106

Rank Norm SMA

0.0086

Calculé le

13/08/2026 05:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.1560	r1h: -1.295% · r4h: 2.684% · r1d: -18.27% · r3d: -31.27% · ema21_slope: -0.7334% · dist_ema21: -3.375%
Force Relative	25%	0.2525	rs_1h: -1.200% · rs_4h: 2.517% · rs_1d: -18.28% · rs_3d: -29.05% · beta_24h: -1.027
Volume	20%	0.1478	rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.783 · trend: -61.20%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7609	ADX: 60.3 (trend) · Chop: 67.8 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.988% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.054% (0.0139)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.600%	0.2R	-1.224%	0.4R	0.5×	12
2h	+2.986%	1.0R	-1.224%	0.4R	2.4×	24
4h	+2.986%	1.0R	-1.224%	0.4R	2.4×	48
8h	+2.986%	1.0R	-4.854%	1.6R	0.6×	96
12h ★	+7.886%	2.6R	-4.854%	1.6R	1.6×	144

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 3.23

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	52%	noisy_chop 48%	late	near 0.0ATR	—	0.36	bear_high	-4.24%	-1.00	12/08 20:00
4h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	51%	choppy 49%	late	—	—	-0.03	bear_medium	-0.77%	-1.00	13/08 04:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 37%	early	—	—	-0.07	range_low	-0.55%	-0.21	13/08 05:00
15m	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	normal	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 42%	early	—	—	0.01	range_low	+0.00%	+0.29	13/08 05:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	late	15b	—	7.858×ATR	p83	-3.063×ATR	p100
4h	↓ down	late	70b	—	24.167×ATR	p100	-3.56×ATR	p96
1h	↑ up	early	8b	—	1.802×ATR	p18	-0.916×ATR	p40
15m	↑ up	early	9b	—	0.09×ATR	p0	+0.37×ATR	p14

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_pullback_v1 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.46897
tp_price: 0.43931776
atr: 0.0062969
expires_at: 2026-08-13T22:00:13+00:00

Details

rank: 48
total: 48
score: 0.156
avg_rank_8h: 49.1
rank_velocity: -1.1
pullback_depth_atr: 4.95
trigger_price: 0.45672
fip_24h: 0
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.4551	0.469	0.4393	1.14	0.3092

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.4551
Stop Loss: 0.469
Take Profit: 0.4393

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.469 - 0.4551 = 0.0139
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.4551 - 0.4393 = 0.0158
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0158 / 0.0139 = 1.1367

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
261.7168	100	575.1258	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0139

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0139 = 575.54

Taille de position USD = 575.54 x 0.4551 = 261.93

Donc, tu peux acheter 575.54 avec un stoploss a 0.469

Avec un position size USD de 261.93$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 575.54 x 0.0139 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 575.54 x 0.0158 = 9.09

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 9.09$

Résumé

Taille de position 575.54
Taille de position USD 261.93
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 9.09
Risk-Reward Ratio 1.1367

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
3.47 %	9.09 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.05 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
-7.99 $	-3.05

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.8539 %	158.92 %	9

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.4551	0.469	0.4393	1.14	0.3092

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.4551
Stop Loss: 0.469
Take Profit: 0.4393

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.469 - 0.4551 = 0.0139
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.4551 - 0.4393 = 0.0158
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0158 / 0.0139 = 1.1367

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4393
            [entry_price] => 0.4551
            [stop_loss] => 0.47039
            [rr_ratio] => 1.03
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-13 15:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4393
            [entry_price] => 0.4551
            [stop_loss] => 0.47178
            [rr_ratio] => 0.95
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-13 15:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4393
            [entry_price] => 0.4551
            [stop_loss] => 0.47317
            [rr_ratio] => 0.87
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-13 15:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4393
            [entry_price] => 0.4551
            [stop_loss] => 0.47595
            [rr_ratio] => 0.76
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-13 15:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.054% (0.0139)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.600%	0.2R	-1.224%	0.4R	0.5×	12
2h	+2.986%	1.0R	-1.224%	0.4R	2.4×	24
4h	+2.986%	1.0R	-1.224%	0.4R	2.4×	48
8h	+2.986%	1.0R	-4.854%	1.6R	0.6×	96
12h ★	+7.886%	2.6R	-4.854%	1.6R	1.6×	144

computed 3 weeks ago

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