13 Aug 2026 at 06:08:45 hyperliquid

Long Trade on WLD (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 647.82 WLD at 0.345$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3762 (8.95 %) & Stop Loss: 0.333 (3.56 %)

WLD LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 13 Aug 2026 06:08 → 18:05 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.3453$

Qty 647.8231 WLD

Size 223.7257$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3762 (+8.95%)

TP $ 20.02$

SL 0.333 (-3.56%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR 2.51

Status loss PnL -1.23% / -2.76$ MAE -2.02% MFE +2.37% 0.7R expires 13 Aug 18:08 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 67929)
#6 / 45 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6069

Quality Score
0.548
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 06:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#6 / 45 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.56 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#6 / 45 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.56 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.50×ATR
4h near 0.22×ATR
1d clear 14.55×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

13/08 06:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

12/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

13/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

13/08 05:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression 0
Operational bear transition 0
Tactical range range 0
Micro
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.80
Transition risk : 0.20
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
Impulse :
% Positive (universe)
15m
1h
4h
24h
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m
4h
24h
Dispersion :
Universe :
Regime confidence : 0.63
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 06:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.5476
Score SMA
0.5091
Rank
#6 / 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6069
Rank Norm SMA
0.4299
Calculé le
13/08/2026 06:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5724 r1h: 0.331% · r4h: 1.344% · r1d: 1.98% · r3d: -0.15% · ema21_slope: 0.0302% · dist_ema21: 1.993%
Force Relative 25% 0.5991 rs_1h: 0.422% · rs_4h: 1.621% · rs_1d: 2.61% · rs_3d: 1.81% · beta_24h: 1.335
Volume 20% 0.2076 rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.742 · trend: -13.80%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5641 ADX: 17.3 (weak) · Chop: 48.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.230% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.562% (0.0123)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.014% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -2.024% 0.6R 0.0× 24
4h +1.654% 0.5R -2.024% 0.6R 0.8× 48
8h +2.375% 0.7R -2.024% 0.6R 1.2× 96
12h ★ +2.375% 0.7R -2.024% 0.6R 1.2× 144
24h +2.375% 0.7R -3.270% 0.9R 0.7× 288

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.74
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 40% late 0.49 bear_high -4.24% -0.21 12/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate balanced normal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 35% early near 0.2ATR 0.44 bear_medium -0.77% +0.55 13/08 04:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced normal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 39% late 0.45 range_low -0.55% +0.22 13/08 05:00
15m ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong explosive expansion bull_medium
66%
noisy_chop 48% late range_low +0.00% +0.25 13/08 05:30
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 57b 16.652×ATR p100 +0.255×ATR p9
4h ↓ down early 8b 0.899×ATR p0 +0.893×ATR p50
1h ↑ up late 7b 3.484×ATR p77 +1.566×ATR p82
15m ↑ up late 7b 2.251×ATR p24 +1.636×ATR p83

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 1
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.91×ATR dur=59b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_moderate(+0.05)
  4. stop_price: 0.33300095
  5. tp_price: 0.37622263
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.88037600866387
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-13T22:08:37.797866
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.88037600866387
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.4035
  14. obi_top10 : 0.124
  15. micro_price : 0.34507859
  16. spread_pct : 0.028986
  17. mid_price : 0.34505
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.338
  19. bid_wall_size : 1307249
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.35
  22. ask_wall_size : 1795827.4
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.2907
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0935
  27. pressure_side : bid
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7025
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.33994
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.326955
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.3334475
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1786406400
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1786615200
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.9078
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    59
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8804
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1786608000
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.33994
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8305
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    2
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    1.2115
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    1
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    1
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    9
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    5
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.0044655
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
59
inside_close_ratio
0.8305
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
1.2115

Signaux confirmants (37)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 06:08 0.34535000 +0.014%
2 06:14 0.34535000 +0.014%
3 06:20 0.34434000 -0.278%
4 06:26 0.34434000 -0.278%
5 06:32 0.34434000 -0.278%
6 06:38 0.34427000 -0.298%
7 06:43 0.34427000 -0.298%
8 06:50 0.34394000 -0.394%
9 06:56 0.34394000 -0.394%
10 07:03 0.34394000 -0.394%
11 07:08 0.34315000 -0.623%
12 07:14 0.34315000 -0.623%
13 07:20 0.34388000 -0.411%
14 07:26 0.34388000 -0.411%
15 07:33 0.34388000 -0.411%
16 07:38 0.34033000 -1.439%
17 07:44 0.34033000 -1.439%
18 08:09 0.34098000 -1.251%
19 08:15 0.34098000 -1.251%
20 08:21 0.34287000 -0.704%
21 08:27 0.34287000 -0.704%
22 08:32 0.34287000 -0.704%
23 08:38 0.34068000 -1.338%
24 08:43 0.34068000 -1.338%
25 08:50 0.34052000 -1.384%
26 08:56 0.34052000 -1.384%
27 09:03 0.34052000 -1.384%
28 09:08 0.34191000 -0.982%
29 09:14 0.34191000 -0.982%
30 09:20 0.34239000 -0.843%
31 09:26 0.34239000 -0.843%
32 09:32 0.34239000 -0.843%
33 09:38 0.34284000 -0.712%
34 09:43 0.34284000 -0.712%
35 09:50 0.34587000 +0.165%
36 09:56 0.34587000 +0.165%
37 10:03 0.34587000 +0.165%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7025ms Confidence avant OB : 88%100%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.404
avg 0.291 ± 0.094
OBI Top 10 0.124

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.3451
Micro Price
0.3451
Spread
0.0290%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.3380
Size
1,307,249.00

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.3500
Size
1,795,827.40

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3453 0.333 0.3762 2.51 0.4149
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3453
  • Stop Loss: 0.333
  • Take Profit: 0.3762

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.333 - 0.3453 = -0.0123

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3453 - 0.3762 = -0.0309

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0309 / -0.0123 = 2.5122

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
223.7257 100 647.8231 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0123

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0123 = -650.41

Taille de position USD = -650.41 x 0.3453 = -224.59

Donc, tu peux acheter -650.41 avec un stoploss a 0.333

Avec un position size USD de -224.59$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -650.41 x -0.0123 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -650.41 x -0.0309 = 20.1

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.1$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -650.41
  • Taille de position USD -224.59
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.1
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5122

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
8.95 % 20.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.56 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
-2.76 $ -1.23
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.0243 % 56.83 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3453 0.333 0.3762 2.51 0.4149
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3453
  • Stop Loss: 0.333
  • Take Profit: 0.3762

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.333 - 0.3453 = -0.0123

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3453 - 0.3762 = -0.0309

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0309 / -0.0123 = 2.5122

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.562% (0.0123)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.014% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -2.024% 0.6R 0.0× 24
4h +1.654% 0.5R -2.024% 0.6R 0.8× 48
8h +2.375% 0.7R -2.024% 0.6R 1.2× 96
12h ★ +2.375% 0.7R -2.024% 0.6R 1.2× 144
24h +2.375% 0.7R -3.270% 0.9R 0.7× 288

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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