Long Trade on JUP (BosPullback)
With 5873.28 JUP at 0.171$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1743 (1.99 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1695 (0.82 %)
Long Trade on JUP (BosPullback)
With 5873.28 JUP at 0.171$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1743 (1.99 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1695 (0.82 %)
Position
Entry 0.1709$
Qty 5873.2839 JUP
Size 1003.568$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1743 (+1.99%)
TP $ 19.97$
SL 0.1695 (-0.82%)
SL $ 8.22$
RR 2.43
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2894
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.32×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 5.23×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 7.73×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 06:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 13/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (-1) 13/08 06:00 Score : -6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3955 | r1h: -0.141% · r4h: -0.775% · r1d: -1.90% · r3d: -7.44% · ema21_slope: -0.0454% · dist_ema21: -0.741% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4262 | rs_1h: -0.050% · rs_4h: -0.498% · rs_1d: -1.26% · rs_3d: -5.48% · beta_24h: 0.985 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1776 | rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -0.684 · trend: -32.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5776 | ADX: 28.8 (trend) · Chop: 58.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.794% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.240% | 0.3R | -0.655% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.240% | 0.3R | -0.796% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.240% | 0.3R | -0.796% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.240% | 0.3R | -2.288% | 2.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.240% | 0.3R | -2.288% | 2.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -4.24% | -0.67 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.56 | bear_medium | -0.75% | -0.34 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.48 | range_low | -0.67% | -0.04 | 13/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.13% | -0.02 | 13/08 06:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 42b | — | 9.216×ATR | p94 | -1.965×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 23b | — | 5.986×ATR | p90 | -1.79×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.96×ATR | p30 | -0.636×ATR | p35 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.532×ATR | p0 | -0.302×ATR | p17 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.17334
143
0.3952
0.6608
0.3016
0.2578
0.3375
1
0.4821
0.3884
0.5999
0.012
0.6706
0.1042
-0.0552
-0.1056
0
-0.6016
-2.5777
0.5
0.5
1
6
1
0.4844
0.8267
2.4083
0.55
1.4308
2.4313
-2.5777
0.4701
0.274
0.02
-0.3744
0.4361
0.515
0.4717
0.1042
-15.2236
1.7706
1
1
0
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0.16962
0.17334
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0.16962
0.17222
0.16962
0.17092
0.8072
0.17466
0.17097
0.172815
0.6691
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:33 | 0.17087000 | -0.018% |
| 2 | 06:38 | 0.17098000 | +0.047% |
| 3 | 06:44 | 0.17098000 | +0.047% |
| 4 | 06:50 | 0.17097000 | +0.041% |
| 5 | 06:56 | 0.17097000 | +0.041% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1709 | 0.1695 | 0.1743 | 2.43 | 0.2313 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1695 - 0.1709 = -0.0014
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1709 - 0.1743 = -0.0034
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0034 / -0.0014 = 2.4286
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1003.568 | 100 | 5873.2839 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0014 = -5714.29
Taille de position USD = -5714.29 x 0.1709 = -976.57
Donc, tu peux acheter -5714.29 avec un stoploss a 0.1695
Avec un position size USD de -976.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5714.29 x -0.0014 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5714.29 x -0.0034 = 19.43
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.43$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.99 % | 19.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.82 % | 8.22 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.22 $ | -0.82 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9713 % | 118.57 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1709 | 0.1695 | 0.1743 | 2.43 | 0.2313 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1695 - 0.1709 = -0.0014
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1709 - 0.1743 = -0.0034
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0034 / -0.0014 = 2.4286
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.240% | 0.3R | -0.655% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.240% | 0.3R | -0.796% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.240% | 0.3R | -0.796% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.240% | 0.3R | -2.288% | 2.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.240% | 0.3R | -2.288% | 2.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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