Short Trade on TRUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 290.16 TRUMP at 1.397$ per unit. Take profit: 1.3617 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.4242 (1.98 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 07:10:04
hyperliquid
TRUMP
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 07:10
→ 13:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 1.3966$
Qty 290.1552 TRUMP
Size 405.2308$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 1.3617 (+2.5%)
TP $ 10.13$
SL 1.4242 (-1.98%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 1.26
Status
win
PnL
+1.05%
/ +4.24$
MAE -0.64%
MFE +2.26%
1.1R
expires
13 Aug 13:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 67992)
#33 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 07:00
score du 13/08/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3652
Quality Score
0.466
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 07:02
13/08 07:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#33 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#33 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.77×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 07:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 13/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 13/08 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 07:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4658
Score SMA
0.4918
Rank
#33
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3652
Rank Norm SMA
0.3124
Calculé le
13/08/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3424 | r1h: -0.371% · r4h: -0.569% · r1d: -5.37% · r3d: -6.50% · ema21_slope: -0.2049% · dist_ema21: -1.305% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3973 | rs_1h: -0.157% · rs_4h: -0.106% · rs_1d: -4.59% · rs_3d: -4.39% · beta_24h: 1.375 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1872 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.498 · trend: -34.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8421 | ADX: 43.1 (trend) · Chop: 40.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.833% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -1.976%
(0.0276)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.387% | 0.2R | -0.029% | 0.0R | 13.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.387% | 0.2R | -0.315% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.387% | 0.2R | -0.644% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.263% | 1.1R | -0.644% | 0.3R | 3.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.263% | 1.1R | -0.644% | 0.3R | 3.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.263% | 1.1R | -0.644% | 0.3R | 3.5× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.84
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -4.24% | -0.79 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_medium | -0.75% | -0.41 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.43 | range_low | -0.63% | -0.46 | 13/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_low |
46%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.41 | range_low | -0.08% | +0.04 | 13/08 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 40b | — | 7.762×ATR | p75 | -1.691×ATR | p73 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 5.542×ATR | p89 | -1.997×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 0.971×ATR | p0 | -1.425×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.31×ATR | p4 | -0.41×ATR | p19 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1.42417145
- tp_price: 1.361685
- atr: 0.01102858
- expires_at: 2026-08-13T17:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 43
- total: 47
- score: 0.3424
- delta_2h: -0.0176
- extension_atr: -1.49
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3652
- confidence: 0.913
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:10 | 1.39660000 | 0% |
| 2 | 08:10 | 1.39320000 | -0.243% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3966 | 1.4242 | 1.3617 | 1.26 | 2.0018 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.3966
- Stop Loss: 1.4242
- Take Profit: 1.3617
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.4242 - 1.3966 = 0.0276
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.3966 - 1.3617 = 0.0349
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0349 / 0.0276 = 1.2645
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 405.2308 | 100 | 290.1552 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0276
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0276 = 289.86
Taille de position USD = 289.86 x 1.3966 = 404.82
Donc, tu peux acheter 289.86 avec un stoploss a 1.4242
Avec un position size USD de 404.82$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 289.86 x 0.0276 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 289.86 x 0.0349 = 10.12
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 10.12$
Résumé
- Taille de position 289.86
- Taille de position USD 404.82
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 10.12
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.2645
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 10.13 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.98 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.24 $ | 1.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6444 % | 32.61 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3966 | 1.4242 | 1.3617 | 1.26 | 2.0018 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.3966
- Stop Loss: 1.4242
- Take Profit: 1.3617
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.4242 - 1.3966 = 0.0276
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.3966 - 1.3617 = 0.0349
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0349 / 0.0276 = 1.2645
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -1.976%
(0.0276)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.387% | 0.2R | -0.029% | 0.0R | 13.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.387% | 0.2R | -0.315% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.387% | 0.2R | -0.644% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.263% | 1.1R | -0.644% | 0.3R | 3.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.263% | 1.1R | -0.644% | 0.3R | 3.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.263% | 1.1R | -0.644% | 0.3R | 3.5× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
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