Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 461.64 AVAX at 6.485$ per unit. Take profit: 6.5193 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 6.4673 (0.27 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 461.64 AVAX at 6.485$ per unit. Take profit: 6.5193 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 6.4673 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 6.4846$
Qty 461.6358 AVAX
Size 2993.5233$ (margin 100$) (leverage 30)
Risk Setup
TP 6.5193 (+0.54%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 6.4673 (-0.27%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8430
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.79×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.74×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.50×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 09:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.477348 15m : 0.551751 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 09:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5713 | r1h: 0.397% · r4h: 0.243% · r1d: 1.71% · r3d: -0.05% · ema21_slope: 0.1511% · dist_ema21: 1.216% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5677 | rs_1h: 0.228% · rs_4h: 0.497% · rs_1d: 2.54% · rs_3d: 1.93% · beta_24h: 1.663 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3386 | rvol_20: 1.22× · zscore_50: -0.071 · trend: -29.40% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7247 | ADX: 31.9 (trend) · Chop: 43.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.769% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.575% | 2.2R | -0.258% | 1.0R | 2.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.575% | 2.2R | -1.103% | 4.1R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.575% | 2.2R | -1.868% | 7.0R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.575% | 2.2R | -1.868% | 7.0R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.575% | 2.2R | -1.868% | 7.0R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near -0.1ATR | near -0.5ATR | 0.78 | bear_high | -4.65% | +0.42 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.62 | range_medium | -0.58% | +0.23 | 13/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.52 | range_low | -0.44% | +0.22 | 13/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.52 | range_low | -0.16% | -0.01 | 13/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.592×ATR | p0 | +0.173×ATR | p14 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.392×ATR | p32 | +0.965×ATR | p65 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 4.935×ATR | p84 | +1.594×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 3.042×ATR | p62 | -1.139×ATR | p54 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63674.2
-0.00196643
63549
0.477348
63675.5
-0.00198691
63549
0.551751
64035.3
-0.00503454
63713
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6.2932
184
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0.6516
0.144
0.68
0.8878
0.1805
0.1067
1
1.6516
2.6981
0.5
0.5
1
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1
0.4956
0.6027
4.3236
0.55
0.9212
2.1226
2.6981
0.7554
0.2104
0.24
-0.3639
0.4438
0.5909
0.9094
0.8878
-1.2406
9.82
1
0
2
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:30 | 6.48460000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:00 | 6.49040000 | +0.089% |
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 07:10:00 | 6.5419 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 08:00:00 | 6.532 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 08:15:00 | 6.4916 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 09:40:00 | 6.4749 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 09:55:00 | 6.5028 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 10:45:00 | 6.5148 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:30:00 | 6.4799 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 12:10:00 | 6.5369 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 12:55:00 | 6.5481 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 13:30:00 | 6.4846 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 18:00:00 | 6.3963 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 19:45:00 | 6.3279 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 20:30:00 | 6.4194 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:45:00 | 6.2932 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 6.545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 06:15:00 | 6.5421 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:30:00 | 6.4749 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:30:00 | 6.4799 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 12:45:00 | 6.5481 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 13:30:00 | 6.4846 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 03:00:00 | 6.5553 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 6.1123 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 22:00:00 | 6.3297 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 07:00:00 | 6.2085 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 6.5403 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 20:00:00 | 6.4194 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 6.2932 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 6.545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:00:00 | 6.4749 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 12:00:00 | 6.5481 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4846 | 6.4673 | 6.5193 | 2.01 | 7.4608 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.4673 - 6.4846 = -0.017300000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.4846 - 6.5193 = -0.0347
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0347 / -0.017300000000001 = 2.0058
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2993.5233 | 100 | 461.6358 | 30.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.017300000000001 = -462.43
Taille de position USD = -462.43 x 6.4846 = -2998.67
Donc, tu peux acheter -462.43 avec un stoploss a 6.4673
Avec un position size USD de -2998.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -462.43 x -0.017300000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -462.43 x -0.0347 = 16.05
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.05$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.02 $ | 0.54 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4846 | 6.4673 | 6.5193 | 2.01 | 7.4608 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.4673 - 6.4846 = -0.017300000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.4846 - 6.5193 = -0.0347
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0347 / -0.017300000000001 = 2.0058
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.575% | 2.2R | -0.258% | 1.0R | 2.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.575% | 2.2R | -1.103% | 4.1R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.575% | 2.2R | -1.868% | 7.0R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.575% | 2.2R | -1.868% | 7.0R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.575% | 2.2R | -1.868% | 7.0R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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