Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 246.47 LINK at 8.727$ per unit. Take profit: 8.7918 (0.74 %) & Stop Loss: 8.6944 (0.37 %)
Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 246.47 LINK at 8.727$ per unit. Take profit: 8.7918 (0.74 %) & Stop Loss: 8.6944 (0.37 %)
Position
Entry 8.7269$
Qty 246.4738 LINK
Size 2150.9523$ (margin 100$) (leverage 22)
Risk Setup
TP 8.7918 (+0.74%)
TP $ 16$
SL 8.6944 (-0.37%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6558
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.08×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.86×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.55×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 12:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.622085 15m : 0.680334 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 13/08 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5757 | r1h: -0.583% · r4h: 1.250% · r1d: 0.20% · r3d: 5.95% · ema21_slope: 0.0395% · dist_ema21: 0.528% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5567 | rs_1h: -0.373% · rs_4h: 0.872% · rs_1d: -0.24% · rs_3d: 6.84% · beta_24h: 1.890 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4046 | rvol_20: 1.43× · zscore_50: -0.133 · trend: -1.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5620 | ADX: 15.5 (weak) · Chop: 46.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.727% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.175% | 0.5R | -0.596% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.583% | 1.6R | -0.596% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.168% | 3.1R | -0.596% | 1.6R | 2.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.010% | 5.4R | -0.596% | 1.6R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.010% | 5.4R | -0.596% | 1.6R | 3.4× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 32% | mid | — | near -1.6ATR | 0.85 | bear_high | -4.65% | +0.49 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.83 | range_medium | -0.54% | +0.73 | 13/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.66 | range_low | -0.44% | +0.02 | 13/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_low |
35%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.05% | +0.07 | 13/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 2.863×ATR | p12 | +1.224×ATR | p71 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 0.476×ATR | p0 | +1.468×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.943×ATR | p25 | +0.763×ATR | p54 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.077×ATR | p19 | +0.361×ATR | p19 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63697.3
-0.00469892
63398
0.622085
63604.9
-0.00325329
63398
0.680334
64023.7
-0.00502621
63702
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8.6711
195
0.7375
0.4993
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0.2806
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0.5407
0.7275
0.6631
0.6241
0.8732
0.0694
0.0606
1
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1.5522
0.75
0.25
1
10
1
0.4388
0.4016
3.1513
0.55
0.7087
2.2333
1.5522
0.5991
0.2221
0.62
0.1367
0.6046
0.5279
0.6774
0.8732
-1.3751
9.4717
1
1
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 09:10:00 | 8.6962 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 10:00:00 | 8.6878 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 8.7491 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:20:00 | 8.6711 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 13:05:00 | 8.8071 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 13:30:00 | 8.7554 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 13:40:00 | 8.8368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 14:05:00 | 8.7893 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 8.862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 8.7269 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 21:30:00 | 8.6271 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 00:15:00 | 8.7078 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 02:30:00 | 8.6142 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:15:00 | 8.8095 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 06:30:00 | 8.7404 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 07:45:00 | 8.7715 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 8.7491 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:15:00 | 8.6711 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 8.862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 8.7269 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 09:00:00 | 8.7117 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 8.4995 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:00:00 | 8.8224 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:00:00 | 8.6623 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 8.8874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 8.6913 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 02:00:00 | 8.6142 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 8.8095 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 8.6711 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 8.862 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.7269 | 8.6944 | 8.7918 | 2 | 11.612 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.6944 - 8.7269 = -0.032500000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.7269 - 8.7918 = -0.0649
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0649 / -0.032500000000001 = 1.9969
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2150.9523 | 100 | 246.4738 | 22.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.032500000000001 = -246.15
Taille de position USD = -246.15 x 8.7269 = -2148.13
Donc, tu peux acheter -246.15 avec un stoploss a 8.6944
Avec un position size USD de -2148.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -246.15 x -0.032500000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -246.15 x -0.0649 = 15.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.74 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.37 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4572 % | 122.77 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.7269 | 8.6944 | 8.7918 | 2 | 11.612 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.6944 - 8.7269 = -0.032500000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.7269 - 8.7918 = -0.0649
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0649 / -0.032500000000001 = 1.9969
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.175% | 0.5R | -0.596% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.583% | 1.6R | -0.596% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.168% | 3.1R | -0.596% | 1.6R | 2.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.010% | 5.4R | -0.596% | 1.6R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.010% | 5.4R | -0.596% | 1.6R | 3.4× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
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