Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 24.9 HYPE at 57.381$ per unit. Take profit: 58.0235 (1.12 %) & Stop Loss: 57.0597 (0.56 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 24.9 HYPE at 57.381$ per unit. Take profit: 58.0235 (1.12 %) & Stop Loss: 57.0597 (0.56 %)
Position
Entry 57.381$
Qty 24.9012 HYPE
Size 1428.8568$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 58.0235 (+1.12%)
TP $ 16$
SL 57.0597 (-0.56%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9521
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.49×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.84×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 12:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.630324 15m : 0.536238 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 13/08 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6561 | r1h: -0.215% · r4h: 1.755% · r1d: 2.69% · r3d: 6.87% · ema21_slope: 0.1590% · dist_ema21: 1.721% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6213 | rs_1h: -0.005% · rs_4h: 1.377% · rs_1d: 2.25% · rs_3d: 7.77% · beta_24h: 2.079 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7022 | rvol_20: 1.99× · zscore_50: 1.582 · trend: 69.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8446 | ADX: 41.6 (trend) · Chop: 38.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.892% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.805% | 1.4R | -0.134% | 0.2R | 6.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.805% | 1.4R | -0.134% | 0.2R | 6.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.941% | 1.7R | -0.664% | 1.2R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.941% | 1.7R | -0.664% | 1.2R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.941% | 1.7R | -1.525% | 2.7R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -4.65% | +0.05 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.54 | bear_medium | -1.13% | +0.67 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.53 | bear_low | -0.81% | +0.30 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
53%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.43 | range_low | -0.37% | +0.12 | 13/08 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 37b | — | 5.863×ATR | p79 | +0.367×ATR | p24 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 4.706×ATR | p72 | +2.071×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.305×ATR | p2 | +1.375×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.599×ATR | p48 | -0.114×ATR | p5 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63652.4
-0.00666748
63228
0.630324
63589.3
-0.00324574
63383
0.536238
64041.1
-0.0104494
63372
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58.5
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0.1168
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2.4667
0.75
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1
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0.4958
0.4489
2.9887
0.55
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2.4667
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0.2862
0.96
0.2146
0.5557
0.4911
0.9617
0.8319
-1.433
7.0904
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 09:00:00 | 57.098 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:10:00 | 56.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 09:55:00 | 57.755 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:40:00 | 56.951 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 13:25:00 | 57.392 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 13:45:00 | 58.048 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 14:05:00 | 57.492 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 14:35:00 | 58.345 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 15:20:00 | 58.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:35:00 | 57.381 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 22:15:00 | 56.444 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 23:15:00 | 55.896 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 56.365 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:15:00 | 57.383 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 07:00:00 | 57.476 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 08:15:00 | 56.805 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 09:45:00 | 57.755 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:30:00 | 56.951 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:15:00 | 58.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:15:00 | 57.591 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 55.244 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 16:00:00 | 53.947 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 20:00:00 | 56.079 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 54.765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 04:00:00 | 55.615 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 54.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 53.737 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 17:00:00 | 56.913 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 23:00:00 | 55.896 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 58.5 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.381 | 57.0597 | 58.0235 | 2 | 78.958 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 57.0597 - 57.381 = -0.3213
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 57.381 - 58.0235 = -0.6425
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.6425 / -0.3213 = 1.9997
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1428.8568 | 100 | 24.9012 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.3213 = -24.9
Taille de position USD = -24.9 x 57.381 = -1428.79
Donc, tu peux acheter -24.9 avec un stoploss a 57.0597
Avec un position size USD de -1428.79$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -24.9 x -0.3213 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -24.9 x -0.6425 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.12 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.56 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.664 % | 118.59 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.381 | 57.0597 | 58.0235 | 2 | 78.958 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 57.0597 - 57.381 = -0.3213
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 57.381 - 58.0235 = -0.6425
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.6425 / -0.3213 = 1.9997
Array
(
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[take_profit] => 58.0235
[entry_price] => 57.381
[stop_loss] => 57.02757
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 20:10:00+00
[result] => loss
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.805% | 1.4R | -0.134% | 0.2R | 6.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.805% | 1.4R | -0.134% | 0.2R | 6.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.941% | 1.7R | -0.664% | 1.2R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.941% | 1.7R | -0.664% | 1.2R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.941% | 1.7R | -1.525% | 2.7R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
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