Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 415.37 ETHFI at 0.409$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4212 (2.98 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3897 (4.72 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 415.37 ETHFI at 0.409$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4212 (2.98 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3897 (4.72 %)
Position
Entry 0.409$
Qty 415.3686 ETHFI
Size 169.8692$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4212 (+2.98%)
TP $ 5.07$
SL 0.3897 (-4.72%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.63
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7463
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.70×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.44×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.02×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 13:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 13/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 13/08 12:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6593 | r1h: -0.018% · r4h: 5.922% · r1d: 6.07% · r3d: 3.16% · ema21_slope: 0.1465% · dist_ema21: 3.718% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7759 | rs_1h: 0.639% · rs_4h: 7.036% · rs_1d: 6.87% · rs_3d: 4.60% · beta_24h: 1.657 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9097 | rvol_20: 2.86× · zscore_50: 1.985 · trend: 269.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6649 | ADX: 19.8 (weak) · Chop: 22.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.752% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.355% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +5.819% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +6.445% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +10.389% | 2.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +10.389% | 2.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -4.24% | -0.69 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.37 | bear_medium | -1.13% | +0.40 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.31 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.55% | +0.62 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.30 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.03% | +0.59 | 13/08 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 22b | — | 4.084×ATR | p47 | -0.352×ATR | p27 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 3.523×ATR | p52 | +1.639×ATR | p81 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 0.789×ATR | p2 | +2.069×ATR | p88 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.24×ATR | p0 | +1.139×ATR | p55 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.409 | 0.3897 | 0.4212 | 0.63 | 0.7195 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3897 - 0.409 = -0.0193
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.409 - 0.4212 = -0.0122
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0122 / -0.0193 = 0.6321
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 169.8692 | 100 | 415.3686 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0193 = -414.51
Taille de position USD = -414.51 x 0.409 = -169.53
Donc, tu peux acheter -414.51 avec un stoploss a 0.3897
Avec un position size USD de -169.53$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -414.51 x -0.0193 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -414.51 x -0.0122 = 5.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.06$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.98 % | 5.07 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.72 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.07 $ | 2.98 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.409 | 0.3897 | 0.4212 | 0.63 | 0.7195 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3897 - 0.409 = -0.0193
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.409 - 0.4212 = -0.0122
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0122 / -0.0193 = 0.6321
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4476
[stop_loss] => 0.3897
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 21:40:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.355% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +5.819% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +6.445% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +10.389% | 2.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +10.389% | 2.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
Aucun commentaire.