Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 55858.12 PUMP at 0.00289$ per unit. Take profit: 0.003249 (12.38 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002748 (4.95 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 15:10:50
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 15:10
→ 03:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.002891$
Qty 55858.1204 PUMP
Size 161.4858$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.003249 (+12.38%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.002748 (-4.95%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.24%
/ +0.39$
MAE -2.18%
MFE +3.49%
0.7R
expires
14 Aug 03:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 68385)
#4 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 15:00
score du 13/08/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8467
Quality Score
0.625
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
28.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 15:02
13/08 15:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#4 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.40×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.81×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 15:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 15:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6248
Score SMA
0.5555
Rank
#4
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8467
Rank Norm SMA
0.6626
Calculé le
13/08/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6275 | r1h: 1.711% · r4h: -0.419% · r1d: 5.35% · r3d: 3.00% · ema21_slope: 0.1503% · dist_ema21: 2.016% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6834 | rs_1h: 1.608% · rs_4h: 0.587% · rs_1d: 5.63% · rs_3d: 4.06% · beta_24h: 1.527 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3575 | rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: -0.116 · trend: 26.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6280 | ADX: 28.2 (trend) · Chop: 51.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.058% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.946%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.346% | 0.1R | -1.211% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.346% | 0.1R | -1.418% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.280% | 0.3R | -2.179% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.494% | 0.7R | -2.179% | 0.4R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.494% | 0.7R | -2.179% | 0.4R | 1.6× | 143 |
| 24h | +3.494% | 0.7R | -4.635% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 288 |
computed 4 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.12
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.57 | bear_high | -5.12% | +1.00 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | — | — | 0.36 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.42% | +0.57 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.2ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.26 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.15% | +0.41 | 13/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.27 | range_low | -0.56% | +0.17 | 13/08 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 30b | — | 6.998×ATR | p89 | +2.125×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 1.788×ATR | p0 | +0.863×ATR | p51 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.87×ATR | p26 | +0.614×ATR | p38 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.092×ATR | p32 | +0.506×ATR | p45 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7763
- reason: up_bo width=1.84×ATR dur=48b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.00274778
- tp_price: 0.00324905
- atr:
- score: 0.77633781297116
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T07:10:43.151839
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.77633781297116
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0255
- obi_top10 : 0.0615
- micro_price : 0.00287531
- spread_pct : 0.069565
- mid_price : 0.002876
- bid_wall_price : 0.00286
- bid_wall_size : 77167153.6
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.00289
- ask_wall_size : 54001768.2
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0424
- obi_top5_std : 0.0272
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7051
- aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.002806
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.002701
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0027535
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786478400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786647600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.8352
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
48
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7763
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786644000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.002806
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7917
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4856
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
14
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 5.721E-5 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
48
inside_close_ratio
0.7917
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4856
Signaux confirmants (20)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:10 | 0.00289100 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:16 | 0.00289100 | 0% |
| 3 | 15:22 | 0.00285900 | -1.107% |
| 4 | 15:28 | 0.00285900 | -1.107% |
| 5 | 15:34 | 0.00285900 | -1.107% |
| 6 | 15:40 | 0.00286400 | -0.934% |
| 7 | 15:46 | 0.00286400 | -0.934% |
| 8 | 15:52 | 0.00288800 | -0.104% |
| 9 | 15:58 | 0.00288800 | -0.104% |
| 10 | 16:05 | 0.00288800 | -0.104% |
| 11 | 16:22 | 0.00288700 | -0.138% |
| 12 | 16:28 | 0.00288700 | -0.138% |
| 13 | 16:35 | 0.00288700 | -0.138% |
| 14 | 16:40 | 0.00287800 | -0.45% |
| 15 | 16:46 | 0.00287800 | -0.45% |
| 16 | 16:52 | 0.00289100 | 0% |
| 17 | 16:58 | 0.00289100 | 0% |
| 18 | 17:05 | 0.00289100 | 0% |
| 19 | 17:10 | 0.00286700 | -0.83% |
| 20 | 17:17 | 0.00286700 | -0.83% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7051ms
Confidence avant OB :
78%
→
78%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.026
avg 0.042
± 0.027
OBI Top 10
0.062
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0029
Micro Price
0.0029
Spread
0.0696%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0029
Size
77,167,153.60
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0029
Size
54,001,768.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002891 | 0.002748 | 0.003249 | 2.5 | 0.003847 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002891
- Stop Loss: 0.002748
- Take Profit: 0.003249
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002748 - 0.002891 = -0.000143
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002891 - 0.003249 = -0.000358
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000358 / -0.000143 = 2.5035
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161.4858 | 100 | 55858.1204 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.000143
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000143 = -55944.06
Taille de position USD = -55944.06 x 0.002891 = -161.73
Donc, tu peux acheter -55944.06 avec un stoploss a 0.002748
Avec un position size USD de -161.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -55944.06 x -0.000143 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -55944.06 x -0.000358 = 20.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.03$
Résumé
- Taille de position -55944.06
- Taille de position USD -161.73
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.03
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5035
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 12.38 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.95 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.39 $ | 0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1792 % | 44.06 % | 35 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002891 | 0.002748 | 0.003249 | 2.5 | 0.003847 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002891
- Stop Loss: 0.002748
- Take Profit: 0.003249
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002748 - 0.002891 = -0.000143
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002891 - 0.003249 = -0.000358
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000358 / -0.000143 = 2.5035
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.946%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.346% | 0.1R | -1.211% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.346% | 0.1R | -1.418% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.280% | 0.3R | -2.179% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.494% | 0.7R | -2.179% | 0.4R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.494% | 0.7R | -2.179% | 0.4R | 1.6× | 143 |
| 24h | +3.494% | 0.7R | -4.635% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 288 |
computed 4 weeks ago
Commentaires
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