Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 4.82 XMR at 394.29$ per unit. Take profit: 397.6115 (0.84 %) & Stop Loss: 392.6292 (0.42 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 4.82 XMR at 394.29$ per unit. Take profit: 397.6115 (0.84 %) & Stop Loss: 392.6292 (0.42 %)
Position
Entry 394.29$
Qty 4.8171 XMR
Size 1899.3319$ (margin 100$) (leverage 19)
Risk Setup
TP 397.6115 (+0.84%)
TP $ 16$
SL 392.6292 (-0.42%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6074
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.33×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.23×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.02×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 15:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.045203 15m : 0.086282 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 13/08 14:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4872 | r1h: -0.926% · r4h: -2.121% · r1d: 0.24% · r3d: 1.12% · ema21_slope: 0.1088% · dist_ema21: -1.031% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4585 | rs_1h: -1.029% · rs_4h: -1.115% · rs_1d: 0.51% · rs_3d: 2.18% · beta_24h: 0.035 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2029 | rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: -0.818 · trend: -26.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6061 | ADX: 17.3 (weak) · Chop: 42.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.966% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.474% | 1.1R | -0.193% | 0.5R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.941% | 2.2R | -0.193% | 0.5R | 4.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.106% | 2.6R | -0.193% | 0.5R | 5.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.106% | 2.6R | -0.444% | 1.1R | 2.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.106% | 2.6R | -0.444% | 1.1R | 2.5× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
70%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -5.12% | +0.79 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.35 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.42% | +0.33 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.10 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.15% | +0.13 | 13/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.17 | range_low | -0.56% | -0.10 | 13/08 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 0.981×ATR | p0 | +1.836×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 3.181×ATR | p42 | +0.528×ATR | p31 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.447×ATR | p73 | -1.008×ATR | p59 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -2.389×ATR | p79 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63424.2
-0.000619004
63385
0.045203
63509.1
-0.00160784
63407
0.086282
63992.9
-0.00923517
63402
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409.24
191
0.5164
0.6358
0.328
0.2898
0.3592
1
0.1206
0.5454
0.6352
0.5659
0.6767
0.4905
-0.0518
0.0165
0.3333
-1.3506
-0.637
0.45
0.55
1
8
1
0.4204
0.5939
4.4003
0.55
2.9094
4.9116
-0.637
0.0325
0.2074
0.48
0.1168
0.6079
0.5153
0.5999
0.4905
-5.5216
5.3166
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:23 | 394.29000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:29 | 393.82000000 | -0.119% |
| 3 | 15:35 | 393.59000000 | -0.178% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 15:15:00 | 401.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:35:00 | 403 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 15:55:00 | 399.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 16:15:00 | 402.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:50:00 | 403.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 17:25:00 | 399.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 17:35:00 | 402.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 18:25:00 | 401.17 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 18:35:00 | 395.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 19:20:00 | 394 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 18:45:00 | 396.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 19:45:00 | 391.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 21:30:00 | 390.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 23:30:00 | 391 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 03:45:00 | 398.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 06:15:00 | 393.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:45:00 | 409.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 15:45:00 | 399.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 16:45:00 | 403.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 19:15:00 | 394.56 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 401.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 10:00:00 | 399.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 00:00:00 | 375.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 400.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 13:00:00 | 394.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:00:00 | 400.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 390.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 06:00:00 | 393.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 409.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 19:00:00 | 394.69 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 394.29 | 392.6292 | 397.6115 | 2 | 538.78 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 392.6292 - 394.29 = -1.6608
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 394.29 - 397.6115 = -3.3215
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.3215 / -1.6608 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1899.3319 | 100 | 4.8171 | 19.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.6608 = -4.82
Taille de position USD = -4.82 x 394.29 = -1900.48
Donc, tu peux acheter -4.82 avec un stoploss a 392.6292
Avec un position size USD de -1900.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4.82 x -1.6608 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4.82 x -3.3215 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.84 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.42 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.84 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1928 % | 45.77 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 394.29 | 392.6292 | 397.6115 | 2 | 538.78 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 392.6292 - 394.29 = -1.6608
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 394.29 - 397.6115 = -3.3215
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.3215 / -1.6608 = 1.9999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.474% | 1.1R | -0.193% | 0.5R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.941% | 2.2R | -0.193% | 0.5R | 4.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.106% | 2.6R | -0.193% | 0.5R | 5.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.106% | 2.6R | -0.444% | 1.1R | 2.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.106% | 2.6R | -0.444% | 1.1R | 2.5× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
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