Short Trade on ZEC (BosPullback)
With 1.32 ZEC at 490.67$ per unit. Take profit: 477.07 (2.77 %) & Stop Loss: 496.7242 (1.23 %)
Short Trade on ZEC (BosPullback)
With 1.32 ZEC at 490.67$ per unit. Take profit: 477.07 (2.77 %) & Stop Loss: 496.7242 (1.23 %)
Position
Entry 490.67$
Qty 1.3214 ZEC
Size 648.3689$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 477.07 (+2.77%)
TP $ 17.97$
SL 496.7242 (-1.23%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.25
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3436
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.79×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.13×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.03×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 19:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 13/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 13/08 19:00 Score : -1 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5339 | r1h: 0.948% · r4h: 1.212% · r1d: -0.04% · r3d: -1.17% · ema21_slope: -0.0578% · dist_ema21: 0.243% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5440 | rs_1h: 0.823% · rs_4h: 0.809% · rs_1d: -0.26% · rs_3d: -0.47% · beta_24h: 1.779 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3523 | rvol_20: 1.26× · zscore_50: -0.027 · trend: -26.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5032 | ADX: 16.6 (weak) · Chop: 54.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.885% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.320% | 0.3R | -0.330% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.416% | 0.3R | -0.416% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.416% | 0.3R | -0.793% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.190% | 1.0R | -0.883% | 0.7R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.190% | 1.0R | -0.883% | 0.7R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.095% | 1.7R | -0.883% | 0.7R | 2.4× | 288 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -5.12% | +0.04 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.64 | bear_medium | -1.00% | -0.14 | 13/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.8ATR | near -0.7ATR | 0.53 | range_low | -0.68% | -0.03 | 13/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.51 | range_low | -0.15% | +0.12 | 13/08 19:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 1.205×ATR | p0 | -0.451×ATR | p23 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 2.364×ATR | p18 | -0.246×ATR | p19 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.907×ATR | p28 | +0.387×ATR | p22 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.025×ATR | p21 | +2.028×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
482.56
142
0.4398
0.5732
0.3419
0.2057
0.4533
1
0.251
0.4756
0.2897
0.1358
0.6184
0.3949
-0.049
-0.0261
0.6667
0.5512
0.3903
0.3
0.7
-1
7
1
0.5885
0.6382
2.7747
0.5
1.5658
3.0217
0.3903
0.3785
0.2617
0.18
-0.2583
0.3937
0.4669
0.7617
0.3949
-9.2396
6.0288
1
0
0
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-09 22:00:00
[price] => 520.93
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-10 04:00:00
[price] => 505.46
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-10 08:00:00
[price] => 513.48
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-10 12:00:00
[price] => 499.31
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-10 14:00:00
[price] => 508.29
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-10 17:00:00
[price] => 493.59
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-10 19:00:00
[price] => 501.68
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 10:00:00
[price] => 483.65
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 11:00:00
[price] => 490.18
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 16:00:00
[price] => 466.8
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 06:00:00
[price] => 485.82
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 08:00:00
[price] => 474.21
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 12:00:00
[price] => 495.36
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 16:00:00
[price] => 483.13
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 17:00:00
[price] => 499
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 02:00:00
[price] => 484.17
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 05:00:00
[price] => 498.66
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 13:00:00
[price] => 487.55
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 14:00:00
[price] => 496.37
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 16:00:00
[price] => 482.56
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 00:00:00
[price] => 496.11
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 02:00:00
[price] => 484.17
[kind] => low
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 05:30:00
[price] => 498.66
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 09:15:00
[price] => 494.09
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 09:45:00
[price] => 497.41
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 12:00:00
[price] => 489.24
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 12:30:00
[price] => 492.32
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 13:30:00
[price] => 487.55
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 14:45:00
[price] => 496.37
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 16:30:00
[price] => 482.56
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 17:15:00
[price] => 487.95
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 18:15:00
[price] => 482.77
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 22:30:00
[price] => 491.21
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 23:15:00
[price] => 487.69
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
482.56
496.37
496.37
482.56
479.93
474.21
477.07
0.8573
496.37
487.55
491.96
0.8303
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:52 | 490.67000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:58 | 490.67000000 | 0% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 490.67 | 496.7242 | 477.07 | 2.25 | 1071.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 496.7242 - 490.67 = 6.0542
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 490.67 - 477.07 = 13.6
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 13.6 / 6.0542 = 2.2464
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 648.3689 | 100 | 1.3214 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 6.0542 = 1.32
Taille de position USD = 1.32 x 490.67 = 647.68
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.32 avec un stoploss a 496.7242
Avec un position size USD de 647.68$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.32 x 6.0542 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.32 x 13.6 = 17.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 17.95$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.77 % | 17.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.23 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6467 % | 133.45 % | 48 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 490.67 | 496.7242 | 477.07 | 2.25 | 1071.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 496.7242 - 490.67 = 6.0542
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 490.67 - 477.07 = 13.6
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 13.6 / 6.0542 = 2.2464
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.320% | 0.3R | -0.330% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.416% | 0.3R | -0.416% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.416% | 0.3R | -0.793% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.190% | 1.0R | -0.883% | 0.7R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.190% | 1.0R | -0.883% | 0.7R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.095% | 1.7R | -0.883% | 0.7R | 2.4× | 288 |
computed 4 weeks ago
Aucun commentaire.