Long Trade on PUMP

Previous Trade Next Trade

13 Aug 2026 at 23:10:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_score)

With 47069.9 PUMP at 0.00297$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002804 (5.72 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 13 Aug 2026 23:10 → 02:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.002974$

Qty 47069.8988 PUMP

Size 139.9859$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 139.99$

SL 0.002804 (-5.72%)

SL $ 8$

Status loss PnL -2.59% / -3.62$ MAE -3.16% MFE +0.47% 0.1R expires 14 Aug 02:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 68750)

#2 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9329

Quality Score

0.713

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

35.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 23:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#2 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+5 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.72 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#2 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+5 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.72 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	—
1d	near	-1.20×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
1d	↑ up	late	BLOCKED

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 23:00 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

13/08 23:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

13/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

13/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

13/08 22:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)

range compression range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	bear	transition	—	-1
Tactical	range	range	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.80

Transition risk : 0.20

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.63

Snapshot évalué : 13/08 23:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.7134

Score SMA

0.6008

Rank

#2 / 44

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9329

Rank Norm SMA

0.8297

Calculé le

13/08/2026 23:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7491	r1h: 0.168% · r4h: 2.259% · r1d: 8.30% · r3d: 6.07% · ema21_slope: 0.2587% · dist_ema21: 4.251%
Force Relative	25%	0.7206	rs_1h: 0.273% · rs_4h: 2.290% · rs_1d: 8.33% · rs_3d: 6.88% · beta_24h: 1.957
Volume	20%	0.5566	rvol_20: 1.48× · zscore_50: 1.292 · trend: 35.59%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6480	ADX: 29.7 (trend) · Chop: 50.5 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.023% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.716% (0.0002)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.471%	0.1R	-1.984%	0.4R	0.2×	12
2h	+0.471%	0.1R	-2.488%	0.4R	0.2×	24
3h ★	+0.471%	0.1R	-3.161%	0.6R	0.2×	36
4h	+0.471%	0.1R	-4.136%	0.7R	0.1×	48
8h	+0.471%	0.1R	-5.582%	1.0R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.471%	0.1R	-6.927%	1.2R	0.1×	144

computed 4 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60

ML Pullback Score: 0.22

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	near -1.2ATR	0.57	bear_high	-4.59%	+1.00	13/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 36%	late	—	—	0.36	bear_medium	-0.78%	+0.51	13/08 20:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	explosive	expansion	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	—	—	0.27	range_low	-0.56%	+0.49	13/08 22:00
15m	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	69%	noisy_chop 48%	late	—	—	0.26	range_low	-0.03%	+0.42	13/08 22:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	31b	—	7.816×ATR	p89	+2.282×ATR	p94
4h	↑ up	late	11b	—	2.981×ATR	p52	+1.677×ATR	p82
1h	↑ up	mid	9b	—	2.48×ATR	p49	+1.121×ATR	p64
15m	↑ up	late	1b	—	2.009×ATR	p29	+2.07×ATR	p93

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.00280404
atr: 5.665E-5
expires_at: 2026-08-14T06:10:05+00:00

Details

rank: 3
total: 46
score: 0.7491
confidence: 0.956

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.002974	0.002804			0.003663

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.002974
Stop Loss: 0.002804
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.002804 - 0.002974 = -0.00017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.002974 - = 0.002974
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.002974 / -0.00017 = -17.4941

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
139.9859	100	47069.8988	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.00017

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00017 = -47058.82

Taille de position USD = -47058.82 x 0.002974 = -139.95

Donc, tu peux acheter -47058.82 avec un stoploss a 0.002804

Avec un position size USD de -139.95$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -47058.82 x -0.00017 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -47058.82 x 0.002974 = -139.95

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -139.95$

Résumé

Taille de position -47058.82
Taille de position USD -139.95
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel -139.95
Risk-Reward Ratio -17.4941

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	139.99 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.72 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-3.62 $	-2.59

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.1607 %	55.29 %	4

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.002974	0.002804			0.003663

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.002974
Stop Loss: 0.002804
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.002804 - 0.002974 = -0.00017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.002974 - = 0.002974
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.002974 / -0.00017 = -17.4941

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.002974
            [stop_loss] => 0.002787
            [rr_ratio] => 15.9
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-14 03:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.002974
            [stop_loss] => 0.00277
            [rr_ratio] => 14.58
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-14 03:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.002974
            [stop_loss] => 0.002753
            [rr_ratio] => 13.46
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-14 03:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.002974
            [stop_loss] => 0.002719
            [rr_ratio] => 11.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-14 03:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.716% (0.0002)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.471%	0.1R	-1.984%	0.4R	0.2×	12
2h	+0.471%	0.1R	-2.488%	0.4R	0.2×	24
3h ★	+0.471%	0.1R	-3.161%	0.6R	0.2×	36
4h	+0.471%	0.1R	-4.136%	0.7R	0.1×	48
8h	+0.471%	0.1R	-5.582%	1.0R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.471%	0.1R	-6.927%	1.2R	0.1×	144

computed 4 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.