Short Trade on BTC (BosPullback)
With 0.025 BTC at 63350$ per unit. Take profit: 62556.3331 (1.25 %) & Stop Loss: 63667.4668 (0.5 %)
Short Trade on BTC (BosPullback)
With 0.025 BTC at 63350$ per unit. Take profit: 62556.3331 (1.25 %) & Stop Loss: 63667.4668 (0.5 %)
Position
Entry 63350$
Qty 0.0252 BTC
Size 1596.3876$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 62556.3331 (+1.25%)
TP $ 20$
SL 63667.4668 (-0.5%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5593
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.55×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.92×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.25×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 01:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+2) 14/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 00:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4871 | r1h: 0.133% · r4h: -0.222% · r1d: -0.41% · r3d: -0.95% · ema21_slope: -0.0151% · dist_ema21: -0.131% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1492 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.762 · trend: -51.49% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5634 | ADX: 13.4 (weak) · Chop: 44.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.352% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.109% | 0.2R | -0.079% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.658% | 1.3R | -0.079% | 0.2R | 8.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.058% | 2.1R | -0.079% | 0.2R | 13.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.214% | 2.4R | -0.079% | 0.2R | 15.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.305% | 2.6R | -0.079% | 0.2R | 16.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | — | — | — | — | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14/08 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near 0.5ATR | — | — | — | — | 14/08 01:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 24b | — | 2.703×ATR | p7 | -0.479×ATR | p31 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 2.532×ATR | p14 | -0.734×ATR | p40 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.107×ATR | p0 | -0.339×ATR | p22 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.174×ATR | p0 | -0.816×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63650
142
0.2921
0.5705
0.3799
0.2147
0.515
0.7335
0.32
0.3958
0.3183
0.169
0.5276
0.2155
-0.0379
-0.0439
0
-0.4447
-1.1726
0.35
0.65
-1
13
1
0.5705
0.4491
3.9598
0.6
0.7335
2.9045
-1.1726
0.3433
0.3204
0.02
-0.0645
0.4495
0.4845
0.4135
0.2155
-11.278
3.0979
1
0
1
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[price] => 63395
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[label] => HL
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Array
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[price] => 63615
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
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[time] => 2026-08-14 03:00:00
[price] => 63417
[kind] => low
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62816
63650
63650
62816
63129
62816
62972.5
0.4636
63953
63532
63742.5
0.8752
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:12 | 63350.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:24 | 63332.00000000 | -0.028% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63350 | 63667.4668 | 62556.3331 | 2.5 | 76515 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 63667.4668 - 63350 = 317.4668
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 63350 - 62556.3331 = 793.6669
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 793.6669 / 317.4668 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1596.3876 | 100 | 0.0252 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 317.4668 = 0.03
Taille de position USD = 0.03 x 63350 = 1900.5
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.03 avec un stoploss a 63667.4668
Avec un position size USD de 1900.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.03 x 317.4668 = 9.52
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 9.52$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.03 x 793.6669 = 23.81
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 23.81$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.25 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 1.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0789 % | 15.75 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63350 | 63667.4668 | 62556.3331 | 2.5 | 76515 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 63667.4668 - 63350 = 317.4668
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 63350 - 62556.3331 = 793.6669
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 793.6669 / 317.4668 = 2.5
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[take_profit] => 62715.0664
[stop_loss] => 63667.4668
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 08:30:00+00
[result] => win
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.109% | 0.2R | -0.079% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.658% | 1.3R | -0.079% | 0.2R | 8.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.058% | 2.1R | -0.079% | 0.2R | 13.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.214% | 2.4R | -0.079% | 0.2R | 15.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.305% | 2.6R | -0.079% | 0.2R | 16.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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