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Short Trade on LIT

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14 Aug 2026 at 02:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_score)

With 80.99 LIT at 2.243$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3415 (4.41 %)

LIT SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 14 Aug 2026 02:10 → 05:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 2.2427$

Qty 80.9852 LIT

Size 181.6256$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 181.63$

SL 2.3415 (-4.41%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +0.92% / +1.67$ MAE -0.06% MFE +1.39% 0.3R expires 14 Aug 05:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 68888)
#43 / 45 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1689

Quality Score
0.424
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
16.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 02:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#43 / 45 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.41 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#43 / 45 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.41 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.18×ATR
4h near -1.32×ATR
1d clear 1.51×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

14/08 02:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

13/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

14/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

14/08 01:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear transition — +1
Tactical range range — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.80
Transition risk : 0.20
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.63
Snapshot évalué : 14/08 02:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.4238
Score SMA
0.4788
Rank
#43 / 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1689
Rank Norm SMA
0.3327
Calculé le
14/08/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3479 r1h: -0.240% · r4h: -0.620% · r1d: -6.37% · r3d: -9.39% · ema21_slope: -0.2481% · dist_ema21: -2.042%
Force Relative 25% 0.3451 rs_1h: -0.210% · rs_4h: -0.284% · rs_1d: -5.60% · rs_3d: -8.42% · beta_24h: 0.689
Volume 20% 0.1779 rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -0.818 · trend: -25.70%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6507 ADX: 23.6 (weak) · Chop: 43.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.639% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.405% (0.0988)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.977% 0.2R -0.058% 0.0R 16.8× 12
2h +0.977% 0.2R -0.058% 0.0R 16.8× 24
3h ★ +1.387% 0.3R -0.058% 0.0R 23.9× 36
4h +1.726% 0.4R -0.058% 0.0R 29.8× 48
8h +1.797% 0.4R -0.250% 0.1R 7.2× 96
12h +1.904% 0.4R -0.384% 0.1R 5.0× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.12
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 35% early — — — bear_high -4.59% +0.78 13/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range strong balanced expansion bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 36% mid near -1.3ATR — 0.30 bear_medium -1.11% -0.47 14/08 00:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 41% late near 0.2ATR — 0.32 range_low -0.74% -0.46 14/08 01:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced compression bear_medium
62%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.34 range_low -0.20% -0.04 14/08 01:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 11b — 1.752×ATR p0 +0.106×ATR p7
4h ↓ down mid 9b — 2.443×ATR p21 -0.986×ATR p62
1h ↓ down late 14b — 4.728×ATR p96 -1.278×ATR p73
15m ↓ down early 6b — 1.338×ATR p0 -0.187×ATR p16

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 2.34148344
  2. atr: 0.03292781
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-14T09:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 43
  2. total: 45
  3. score: 0.3479
  4. confidence: 0.955

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.2427 2.3415 4.2111
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.2427
  • Stop Loss: 2.3415
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.3415 - 2.2427 = 0.0988

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.2427 - = 2.2427

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.2427 / 0.0988 = 22.6994

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
181.6256 100 80.9852 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0988

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0988 = 80.97

Taille de position USD = 80.97 x 2.2427 = 181.59

Donc, tu peux acheter 80.97 avec un stoploss a 2.3415

Avec un position size USD de 181.59$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 80.97 x 0.0988 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 80.97 x 2.2427 = 181.59

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 181.59$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 80.97
  • Taille de position USD 181.59
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 181.59
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 22.6994

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 181.63 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.41 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
1.67 $ 0.92
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.058 % 1.32 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.2427 2.3415 4.2111
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.2427
  • Stop Loss: 2.3415
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.3415 - 2.2427 = 0.0988

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.2427 - = 2.2427

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.2427 / 0.0988 = 22.6994

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.405% (0.0988)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.977% 0.2R -0.058% 0.0R 16.8× 12
2h +0.977% 0.2R -0.058% 0.0R 16.8× 24
3h ★ +1.387% 0.3R -0.058% 0.0R 23.9× 36
4h +1.726% 0.4R -0.058% 0.0R 29.8× 48
8h +1.797% 0.4R -0.250% 0.1R 7.2× 96
12h +1.904% 0.4R -0.384% 0.1R 5.0× 144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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