Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 391.15 ETHFI at 0.429$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4403 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4091 (4.75 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 02:10:08
hyperliquid
ETHFI
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 02:10
→ 08:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.4295$
Qty 391.1493 ETHFI
Size 168.0143$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4403 (+2.51%)
TP $ 4.22$
SL 0.4091 (-4.75%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 0.53
Status
loss
PnL
-0.42%
/ -0.7$
MAE -1.07%
MFE +2.50%
0.5R
expires
14 Aug 08:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 68875)
#3 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 02:00
score du 14/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9713
Quality Score
0.650
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
9.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 02:01
14/08 02:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#3 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.45×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.79×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.30×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 02:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 14/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 14/08 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 14/08 02:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6498
Score SMA
0.6877
Rank
#3
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9713
Rank Norm SMA
0.8165
Calculé le
14/08/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6997 | r1h: -0.896% · r4h: -2.634% · r1d: 12.39% · r3d: 10.07% · ema21_slope: 0.6773% · dist_ema21: 2.165% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6330 | rs_1h: -0.866% · rs_4h: -2.297% · rs_1d: 13.15% · rs_3d: 11.04% · beta_24h: 3.065 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2605 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.317 · trend: 11.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8633 | ADX: 43.6 (trend) · Chop: 30.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.001% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.750%
(0.0204)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.182% | 0.5R | -0.869% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.496% | 0.5R | -0.869% | 0.2R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.496% | 0.5R | -1.071% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.496% | 0.5R | -1.071% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.496% | 0.5R | -1.343% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.496% | 0.5R | -1.343% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.25
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 31% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -4.59% | +0.68 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.35 | bear_medium | -1.11% | +0.83 | 14/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | 0.30 | range_low | -0.74% | +0.81 | 14/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.21% | -0.10 | 14/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 3.349×ATR | p22 | +1.518×ATR | p83 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 4.825×ATR | p76 | +2.229×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 0.769×ATR | p2 | +0.897×ATR | p55 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.613×ATR | p0 | -1.183×ATR | p54 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.40908745
- tp_price: 0.4402785
- atr: 0.00818102
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T12:10:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 2
- total: 45
- score: 0.6997
- delta_2h: 0.0154
- extension_atr: 0.81
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9713
- confidence: 0.977
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4295 | 0.4091 | 0.4403 | 0.53 | 0.5922 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4295
- Stop Loss: 0.4091
- Take Profit: 0.4403
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4091 - 0.4295 = -0.0204
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4295 - 0.4403 = -0.0108
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0108 / -0.0204 = 0.5294
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 168.0143 | 100 | 391.1493 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0204
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0204 = -392.16
Taille de position USD = -392.16 x 0.4295 = -168.43
Donc, tu peux acheter -392.16 avec un stoploss a 0.4091
Avec un position size USD de -168.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -392.16 x -0.0204 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -392.16 x -0.0108 = 4.24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.24$
Résumé
- Taille de position -392.16
- Taille de position USD -168.43
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.24
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5294
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 4.22 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.75 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.7 $ | -0.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.071 % | 22.55 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4295 | 0.4091 | 0.4403 | 0.53 | 0.5922 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4295
- Stop Loss: 0.4091
- Take Profit: 0.4403
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4091 - 0.4295 = -0.0204
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4295 - 0.4403 = -0.0108
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0108 / -0.0204 = 0.5294
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.750%
(0.0204)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.182% | 0.5R | -0.869% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.496% | 0.5R | -0.869% | 0.2R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.496% | 0.5R | -1.071% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.496% | 0.5R | -1.071% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.496% | 0.5R | -1.343% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.496% | 0.5R | -1.343% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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