Short Trade on ZEC (BosPullback)
With 0.95 ZEC at 486.97$ per unit. Take profit: 465.8323 (4.34 %) & Stop Loss: 495.4251 (1.74 %)
Short Trade on ZEC (BosPullback)
With 0.95 ZEC at 486.97$ per unit. Take profit: 465.8323 (4.34 %) & Stop Loss: 495.4251 (1.74 %)
Position
Entry 486.97$
Qty 0.9462 ZEC
Size 460.7608$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 465.8323 (+4.34%)
TP $ 20$
SL 495.4251 (-1.74%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4894
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.78×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.40×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.54×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 03:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 14/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 14/08 02:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4769 | r1h: -0.273% · r4h: -0.421% · r1d: -1.37% · r3d: -0.15% · ema21_slope: 0.0026% · dist_ema21: -0.008% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5097 | rs_1h: 0.063% · rs_4h: 0.044% · rs_1d: -0.22% · rs_3d: 1.07% · beta_24h: 1.303 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1718 | rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.860 · trend: -33.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4272 | ADX: 12.3 (weak) · Chop: 59.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.802% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.440% | 0.3R | -0.150% | 0.1R | 2.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.440% | 0.3R | -0.649% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.440% | 0.3R | -0.860% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.351% | 0.8R | -0.860% | 0.5R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.351% | 0.8R | -1.259% | 0.7R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -4.90% | +0.32 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_medium | -1.17% | +0.04 | 14/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near -0.8ATR | near -0.9ATR | 0.53 | bear_low | -1.02% | +0.01 | 14/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | range_low |
37%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -0.8ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.49 | range_low | -0.48% | +0.04 | 14/08 02:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 1.67×ATR | p0 | -0.056×ATR | p5 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 3.019×ATR | p33 | +0.217×ATR | p17 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 2.131×ATR | p40 | +0.222×ATR | p10 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.221×ATR | p30 | -0.21×ATR | p7 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
495
148
0.2816
0.3987
0.3595
0.1429
0.5367
0.9008
0.2444
0.4143
0.292
0.2117
0.3142
0.3264
-0.0056
-0.0025
0
-0.6886
-0.7447
0.3
0.7
-1
15
1
0.7142
0.2269
3.0408
0.5
0.9008
2.4995
-0.7447
0.2948
0.2451
0.08
-0.0544
0.327
0.3942
0
0.3264
-10.9394
5.3016
1
0
1
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482.56
495
495
482.56
479.93
474.21
477.07
0.8573
496.37
487.55
491.96
0.8303
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:22 | 486.97000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:28 | 486.97000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 05:34 | 488.47000000 | +0.308% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 486.97 | 495.4251 | 465.8323 | 2.5 | 1102.7 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 495.4251 - 486.97 = 8.4551
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 486.97 - 465.8323 = 21.1377
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 21.1377 / 8.4551 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 460.7608 | 100 | 0.9462 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 8.4551 = 0.95
Taille de position USD = 0.95 x 486.97 = 462.62
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.95 avec un stoploss a 495.4251
Avec un position size USD de 462.62$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.95 x 8.4551 = 8.03
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.03$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.95 x 21.1377 = 20.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.08$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.34 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.74 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.74 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7927 % | 103.25 % | 23 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 486.97 | 495.4251 | 465.8323 | 2.5 | 1102.7 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 495.4251 - 486.97 = 8.4551
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 486.97 - 465.8323 = 21.1377
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 21.1377 / 8.4551 = 2.5
Array
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.440% | 0.3R | -0.150% | 0.1R | 2.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.440% | 0.3R | -0.649% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.440% | 0.3R | -0.860% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.351% | 0.8R | -0.860% | 0.5R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.351% | 0.8R | -1.259% | 0.7R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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