Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 95.85 LIT at 2.236$ per unit. Take profit: 2.1799 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3193 (3.73 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 05:10:07
hyperliquid
LIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 05:10
→ 11:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 2.2358$
Qty 95.847 LIT
Size 214.2948$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 2.1799 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.36$
SL 2.3193 (-3.73%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.67
Status
win
PnL
+1.42%
/ +3.04$
MAE -0.56%
MFE +1.58%
0.4R
expires
14 Aug 11:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 69028)
#47 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 05:00
score du 14/08/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1306
Quality Score
0.414
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
15.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 05:02
14/08 05:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#47 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#47 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.26×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.53×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.33×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 05:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 14/08 04:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 14/08 05:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4144
Score SMA
0.4693
Rank
#47
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1306
Rank Norm SMA
0.2742
Calculé le
14/08/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3247 | r1h: -0.327% · r4h: -0.978% · r1d: -5.41% · r3d: -8.49% · ema21_slope: -0.2605% · dist_ema21: -2.101% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3879 | rs_1h: -0.169% · rs_4h: -0.080% · rs_1d: -3.97% · rs_3d: -6.45% · beta_24h: 0.754 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1533 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.700 · trend: -58.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5957 | ADX: 24.8 (weak) · Chop: 51.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.487% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.735%
(0.0835)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.422% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.422% | 0.4R | -0.157% | 0.0R | 9.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.422% | 0.4R | -0.559% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.579% | 0.4R | -0.559% | 0.2R | 2.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.601% | 0.4R | -0.693% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.601% | 0.4R | -1.194% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.09
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -4.90% | +0.75 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | near -1.5ATR | — | 0.30 | bear_medium | -1.75% | -0.69 | 14/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.32 | bear_low | -1.52% | -0.43 | 14/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.34 | bear_low_confirmed | -0.84% | +0.09 | 14/08 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 1.568×ATR | p0 | -0.043×ATR | p2 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 2.732×ATR | p30 | -1.093×ATR | p66 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 5.708×ATR | p98 | -1.558×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.572×ATR | p0 | -1.366×ATR | p72 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 2.31926634
- tp_price: 2.179905
- atr: 0.03338653
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T15:10:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 47
- total: 48
- score: 0.3247
- delta_2h: -0.0334
- extension_atr: -0.95
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1306
- confidence: 0.979
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:10 | 2.23580000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:10 | 2.22050000 | -0.684% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2358 | 2.3193 | 2.1799 | 0.67 | 4.0628 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.2358
- Stop Loss: 2.3193
- Take Profit: 2.1799
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3193 - 2.2358 = 0.0835
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.2358 - 2.1799 = 0.0559
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0559 / 0.0835 = 0.6695
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 214.2948 | 100 | 95.847 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0835
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0835 = 95.81
Taille de position USD = 95.81 x 2.2358 = 214.21
Donc, tu peux acheter 95.81 avec un stoploss a 2.3193
Avec un position size USD de 214.21$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 95.81 x 0.0835 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 95.81 x 0.0559 = 5.36
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.36$
Résumé
- Taille de position 95.81
- Taille de position USD 214.21
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.36
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6695
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.36 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.73 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.04 $ | 1.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5591 % | 14.97 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2358 | 2.3193 | 2.1799 | 0.67 | 4.0628 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.2358
- Stop Loss: 2.3193
- Take Profit: 2.1799
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3193 - 2.2358 = 0.0835
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.2358 - 2.1799 = 0.0559
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0559 / 0.0835 = 0.6695
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.735%
(0.0835)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.422% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.422% | 0.4R | -0.157% | 0.0R | 9.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.422% | 0.4R | -0.559% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.579% | 0.4R | -0.559% | 0.2R | 2.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.601% | 0.4R | -0.693% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.601% | 0.4R | -1.194% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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