Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 337.15 KAITO at 0.407$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3971 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4311 (5.84 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 07:10:04
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 07:10
→ 13:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.4073$
Qty 337.1457 KAITO
Size 137.3296$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3971 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.44$
SL 0.4311 (-5.84%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.43
Status
win
PnL
+1.64%
/ +2.26$
MAE -1.26%
MFE +2.03%
0.4R
expires
14 Aug 13:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 69117)
#48 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 07:00
score du 14/08/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0000
Quality Score
0.356
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
8.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 07:02
14/08 07:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#48 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#48 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.29×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 06:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 14/08 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3557
Score SMA
0.3845
Rank
#48
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.0692
Calculé le
14/08/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1806 | r1h: -0.168% · r4h: 0.176% · r1d: -10.75% · r3d: -36.73% · ema21_slope: -0.4724% · dist_ema21: -4.386% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2498 | rs_1h: -0.309% · rs_4h: 0.341% · rs_1d: -9.56% · rs_3d: -34.64% · beta_24h: 1.139 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1462 | rvol_20: 0.16× · zscore_50: -0.807 · trend: -51.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7321 | ADX: 40.0 (trend) · Chop: 50.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.469% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.843%
(0.0238)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.827% | 0.1R | -0.250% | 0.0R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.736% | 0.3R | -0.250% | 0.0R | 6.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.736% | 0.3R | -1.260% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.028% | 0.4R | -1.260% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.280% | 0.6R | -1.260% | 0.2R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.248% | 0.7R | -1.260% | 0.2R | 3.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.18
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.36 | bear_high | -4.90% | -1.00 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | — | -0.02 | bear_medium | -1.93% | -1.00 | 14/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | -0.03 | bear_low | -1.38% | -0.77 | 14/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.08 | range_low | -0.70% | -0.10 | 14/08 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 8.472×ATR | p83 | -3.199×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 76b | — | 28.201×ATR | p100 | -2.906×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 0.829×ATR | p0 | -2.225×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 2.579×ATR | p50 | -1.297×ATR | p60 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4073 | 0.4311 | 0.3971 | 0.43 | 0.2835 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4073
- Stop Loss: 0.4311
- Take Profit: 0.3971
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4311 - 0.4073 = 0.0238
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4073 - 0.3971 = 0.0102
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0102 / 0.0238 = 0.4286
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137.3296 | 100 | 337.1457 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0238
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0238 = 336.13
Taille de position USD = 336.13 x 0.4073 = 136.91
Donc, tu peux acheter 336.13 avec un stoploss a 0.4311
Avec un position size USD de 136.91$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 336.13 x 0.0238 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 336.13 x 0.0102 = 3.43
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.43$
Résumé
- Taille de position 336.13
- Taille de position USD 136.91
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.43
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4286
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.44 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.84 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.26 $ | 1.64 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2595 % | 21.55 % | 16 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4073 | 0.4311 | 0.3971 | 0.43 | 0.2835 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4073
- Stop Loss: 0.4311
- Take Profit: 0.3971
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4311 - 0.4073 = 0.0238
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4073 - 0.3971 = 0.0102
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0102 / 0.0238 = 0.4286
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.843%
(0.0238)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.827% | 0.1R | -0.250% | 0.0R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.736% | 0.3R | -0.250% | 0.0R | 6.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.736% | 0.3R | -1.260% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.028% | 0.4R | -1.260% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.280% | 0.6R | -1.260% | 0.2R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.248% | 0.7R | -1.260% | 0.2R | 3.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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