Short Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 452.75 ZRO at 0.778$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7586 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7957 (2.28 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 07:10:04
hyperliquid
ZRO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 07:10
→ 13:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.778$
Qty 452.7548 ZRO
Size 352.2477$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7586 (+2.49%)
TP $ 8.78$
SL 0.7957 (-2.28%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 1.1
Status
loss
PnL
-1.35%
/ -4.76$
MAE -1.53%
MFE +1.03%
0.5R
expires
14 Aug 13:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 69100)
#43 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 07:00
score du 14/08/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1090
Quality Score
0.441
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 07:00
14/08 07:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#43 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.28 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#43 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.28 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.49×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.53×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.36×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 06:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 14/08 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4413
Score SMA
0.4566
Rank
#43
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1090
Rank Norm SMA
0.1520
Calculé le
14/08/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3469 | r1h: 0.647% · r4h: -0.525% · r1d: -6.71% · r3d: -9.44% · ema21_slope: -0.1962% · dist_ema21: -1.717% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3833 | rs_1h: 0.505% · rs_4h: -0.359% · rs_1d: -5.51% · rs_3d: -7.35% · beta_24h: 1.945 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1772 | rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.710 · trend: -31.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7067 | ADX: 37.4 (trend) · Chop: 51.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.947% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.275%
(0.0177)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.288% | 0.1R | -1.069% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.363% | 0.2R | -1.069% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.028% | 0.5R | -1.069% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.028% | 0.5R | -1.535% | 0.7R | 0.7× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.028% | 0.5R | -2.672% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.028% | 0.5R | -3.126% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.6
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.47 | bear_high | -4.90% | -0.64 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near -1.5ATR | — | 0.26 | bear_medium | -1.93% | -0.70 | 14/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.25 | bear_low | -1.38% | -0.40 | 14/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_low |
50%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.70% | -0.05 | 14/08 06:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 1.541×ATR | p0 | -0.652×ATR | p39 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 3.795×ATR | p50 | -2.413×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 3.908×ATR | p75 | -2.042×ATR | p89 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.16×ATR | p19 | -1.462×ATR | p55 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.79567961
- tp_price: 0.75855975
- atr: 0.00706784
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T17:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 45
- total: 48
- score: 0.3469
- delta_2h: -0.0058
- extension_atr: -2.01
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.109
- confidence: 0.936
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:10 | 0.77801000 | +0.001% |
| 2 | 09:10 | 0.77749000 | -0.066% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.778 | 0.7957 | 0.7586 | 1.1 | 0.9723 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.778
- Stop Loss: 0.7957
- Take Profit: 0.7586
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7957 - 0.778 = 0.0177
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.778 - 0.7586 = 0.0194
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0194 / 0.0177 = 1.096
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 352.2477 | 100 | 452.7548 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0177
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0177 = 451.98
Taille de position USD = 451.98 x 0.778 = 351.64
Donc, tu peux acheter 451.98 avec un stoploss a 0.7957
Avec un position size USD de 351.64$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 451.98 x 0.0177 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 451.98 x 0.0194 = 8.77
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.77$
Résumé
- Taille de position 451.98
- Taille de position USD 351.64
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 8.77
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.096
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 8.78 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.28 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.76 $ | -1.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5347 % | 67.46 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.778 | 0.7957 | 0.7586 | 1.1 | 0.9723 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.778
- Stop Loss: 0.7957
- Take Profit: 0.7586
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7957 - 0.778 = 0.0177
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.778 - 0.7586 = 0.0194
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0194 / 0.0177 = 1.096
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.275%
(0.0177)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.288% | 0.1R | -1.069% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.363% | 0.2R | -1.069% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.028% | 0.5R | -1.069% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.028% | 0.5R | -1.535% | 0.7R | 0.7× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.028% | 0.5R | -2.672% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.028% | 0.5R | -3.126% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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