Short Trade on LIT

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14 Aug 2026 at 08:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_score)

With 85.58 LIT at 2.225$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3181 (4.2 %)

LIT SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 14 Aug 2026 08:10 → 11:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 2.2246$

Qty 85.5768 LIT

Size 190.3741$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 190.37$

SL 2.3181 (-4.2%)

SL $ 8$

Status win PnL +0.92% / +1.75$ MAE -0.90% MFE +1.08% 0.3R expires 14 Aug 11:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 69171)

#46 / 47 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1345

Quality Score

0.397

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

3 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

16.3M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 08:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#46 / 47 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.20 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#46 / 47 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.20 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.21×ATR
4h	near	-1.47×ATR
1d	clear	1.33×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 06:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 3

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

14/08 06:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 14/08 07:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

13/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

14/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

14/08 07:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.3969

Score SMA

0.4613

Rank

#46 / 47

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1345

Rank Norm SMA

0.2249

Calculé le

14/08/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3397	r1h: -0.130% · r4h: -0.184% · r1d: -5.76% · r3d: -10.03% · ema21_slope: -0.2332% · dist_ema21: -1.449%
Force Relative	25%	0.3622	rs_1h: -0.245% · rs_4h: -0.134% · rs_1d: -4.83% · rs_3d: -7.73% · beta_24h: 0.624
Volume	20%	0.1836	rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.442 · trend: -49.22%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4516	ADX: 26.7 (trend) · Chop: 71.7 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.451% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.203% (0.0935)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.548%	0.1R	-0.904%	0.2R	0.6×	12
2h	+0.998%	0.2R	-0.904%	0.2R	1.1×	24
3h ★	+1.083%	0.3R	-0.904%	0.2R	1.2×	36
4h	+1.106%	0.3R	-1.200%	0.3R	0.9×	48
8h	+1.106%	0.3R	-1.704%	0.4R	0.7×	96
12h	+1.106%	0.3R	-1.704%	0.4R	0.7×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 1.24

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 35%	early	—	—	—	bear_high	-4.90%	+0.75	13/08 20:00
4h	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	normal	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 36%	mid	near -1.5ATR	—	0.30	bear_medium	-1.94%	-0.67	14/08 04:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	explosive	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 40%	late	near -0.2ATR	—	0.32	bear_low	-1.33%	-0.52	14/08 07:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	weak	grind	normal	bear_medium	56%	noisy_chop 36%	early	near 0.3ATR	near -0.4ATR	0.32	range_low	-0.67%	+0.05	14/08 07:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	11b	—	1.568×ATR	p0	-0.043×ATR	p2
4h	↓ down	mid	10b	—	2.64×ATR	p27	-1.049×ATR	p64
1h	↓ down	late	20b	—	5.783×ATR	p98	-1.286×ATR	p73
15m	↓ down	early	2b	—	1.529×ATR	p3	-0.091×ATR	p8

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 2.31808332
atr: 0.03116111
expires_at: 2026-08-14T15:10:05+00:00

Details

rank: 45
total: 48
score: 0.3397
confidence: 0.936

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
2.2246	2.3181			4.209

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 2.2246
Stop Loss: 2.3181
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 2.3181 - 2.2246 = 0.0935
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 2.2246 - = 2.2246
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.2246 / 0.0935 = 23.7925

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
190.3741	100	85.5768	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0935

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0935 = 85.56

Taille de position USD = 85.56 x 2.2246 = 190.34

Donc, tu peux acheter 85.56 avec un stoploss a 2.3181

Avec un position size USD de 190.34$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 85.56 x 0.0935 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 85.56 x 2.2246 = 190.34

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 190.34$

Résumé

Taille de position 85.56
Taille de position USD 190.34
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 190.34
Risk-Reward Ratio 23.7925

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	190.37 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.2 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
1.75 $	0.92

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.9035 %	21.5 %	5

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
2.2246	2.3181			4.209

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 2.2246
Stop Loss: 2.3181
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 2.3181 - 2.2246 = 0.0935
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 2.2246 - = 2.2246
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.2246 / 0.0935 = 23.7925

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.203% (0.0935)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.548%	0.1R	-0.904%	0.2R	0.6×	12
2h	+0.998%	0.2R	-0.904%	0.2R	1.1×	24
3h ★	+1.083%	0.3R	-0.904%	0.2R	1.2×	36
4h	+1.106%	0.3R	-1.200%	0.3R	0.9×	48
8h	+1.106%	0.3R	-1.704%	0.4R	0.7×	96
12h	+1.106%	0.3R	-1.704%	0.4R	0.7×	144

computed 1 month ago

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