Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 785.85 ETHFI at 0.434$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4436 (2.24 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4237 (2.35 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 11:00:12
hyperliquid
ETHFI
LONG
momentum_pullback_v1
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 11:00
→ 15:10
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.4339$
Qty 785.8546 ETHFI
Size 340.9902$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4436 (+2.24%)
TP $ 7.62$
SL 0.4237 (-2.35%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.95
Status
win
PnL
+2.24%
/ +7.62$
MAE -0.92%
MFE +6.05%
2.6R
expires
14 Aug 23:00
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 69251)
#4 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 10:00
score du 14/08/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9241
Quality Score
0.644
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
10.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 10:46
14/08 10:46
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#4 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.01×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.04×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.13×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 06:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 14/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 14/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6443
Score SMA
0.7275
Rank
#4
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9241
Rank Norm SMA
0.9590
Calculé le
14/08/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7591 | r1h: 0.501% · r4h: 0.680% · r1d: 11.05% · r3d: 12.19% · ema21_slope: 0.2457% · dist_ema21: 0.882% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7839 | rs_1h: 0.530% · rs_4h: 0.785% · rs_1d: 12.60% · rs_3d: 14.46% · beta_24h: 1.908 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2248 | rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.259 · trend: -18.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5044 | ADX: 28.8 (trend) · Chop: 67.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.974% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.351%
(0.0102)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.583% | 0.3R | -0.698% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.583% | 0.3R | -0.915% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.968% | 0.4R | -0.915% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.050% | 2.6R | -0.915% | 0.4R | 6.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +6.050% | 2.6R | -0.915% | 0.4R | 6.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 3.54
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 30% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -5.66% | +0.58 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.38 | bear_medium | -2.10% | +0.81 | 14/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.28 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.48% | +0.19 | 14/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.15 | range_low | -0.68% | +0.16 | 14/08 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.794×ATR | p0 | +1.047×ATR | p62 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 1.69×ATR | p0 | +1.449×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 0.72×ATR | p0 | +0.706×ATR | p43 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +1.042×ATR | p50 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_pullback_v1 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.42373
- tp_price: 0.44357178
- atr: 0.00386471
- expires_at: 2026-08-15T03:00:12+00:00
Details
- rank: 2
- total: 47
- score: 0.7591
- avg_rank_8h: 2.9
- rank_velocity: -0.9
- pullback_depth_atr: 4.27
- trigger_price: 0.43352
- fip_24h: -0.083
- confidence: 0.978
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:00 | 0.43391000 | +0.002% |
| 2 | 11:15 | 0.43493000 | +0.237% |
| 3 | 11:45 | 0.43585000 | +0.449% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4339 | 0.4237 | 0.4436 | 0.95 | 0.5805 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4339
- Stop Loss: 0.4237
- Take Profit: 0.4436
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4237 - 0.4339 = -0.0102
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4339 - 0.4436 = -0.0097
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0097 / -0.0102 = 0.951
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 340.9902 | 100 | 785.8546 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0102
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0102 = -784.31
Taille de position USD = -784.31 x 0.4339 = -340.31
Donc, tu peux acheter -784.31 avec un stoploss a 0.4237
Avec un position size USD de -340.31$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -784.31 x -0.0102 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -784.31 x -0.0097 = 7.61
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.61$
Résumé
- Taille de position -784.31
- Taille de position USD -340.31
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.61
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.951
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.24 % | 7.62 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.35 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 7.62 $ | 2.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.915 % | 38.92 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4339 | 0.4237 | 0.4436 | 0.95 | 0.5805 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4339
- Stop Loss: 0.4237
- Take Profit: 0.4436
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4237 - 0.4339 = -0.0102
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4339 - 0.4436 = -0.0097
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0097 / -0.0102 = 0.951
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4543
[stop_loss] => 0.4237
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 19:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4594
[stop_loss] => 0.4237
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 19:50:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.351%
(0.0102)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.583% | 0.3R | -0.698% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.583% | 0.3R | -0.915% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.968% | 0.4R | -0.915% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.050% | 2.6R | -0.915% | 0.4R | 6.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +6.050% | 2.6R | -0.915% | 0.4R | 6.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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