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Short Trade on LIT

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14 Aug 2026 at 11:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_score)

With 90.82 LIT at 2.206$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2943 (3.99 %)

LIT SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 14 Aug 2026 11:10 → 14:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 2.2062$

Qty 90.8239 LIT

Size 200.3756$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 200.38$

SL 2.2943 (-3.99%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.24% / -2.48$ MAE -2.04% MFE +0.28% 0.1R expires 14 Aug 14:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 69312)
#46 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0378

Quality Score
0.388
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
16.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 11:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#46 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#46 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.61×ATR
4h clear 1.72×ATR
1d clear 1.24×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 3

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

14/08 06:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

13/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

14/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

14/08 10:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.3884
Score SMA
0.4490
Rank
#46 / 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0378
Rank Norm SMA
0.1728
Calculé le
14/08/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3110 r1h: -0.113% · r4h: -0.994% · r1d: -6.75% · r3d: -9.40% · ema21_slope: -0.2020% · dist_ema21: -1.798%
Force Relative 25% 0.3437 rs_1h: -0.250% · rs_4h: -0.870% · rs_1d: -5.02% · rs_3d: -7.81% · beta_24h: 0.493
Volume 20% 0.2110 rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: -0.493 · trend: -33.77%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4463 ADX: 28.0 (trend) · Chop: 73.7 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.402% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.993% (0.0881)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.281% 0.1R -2.044% 0.5R 0.1× 12
2h +0.281% 0.1R -2.044% 0.5R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.281% 0.1R -2.044% 0.5R 0.1× 36
4h +0.281% 0.1R -2.552% 0.6R 0.1× 48
8h +0.281% 0.1R -2.552% 0.6R 0.1× 96
12h +0.281% 0.1R -3.368% 0.8R 0.1× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.18
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 35% early — — — bear_high -5.66% +0.76 13/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range strong balanced normal bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 38% mid — — 0.30 bear_medium -2.10% -0.67 14/08 08:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 40% late near -0.6ATR — 0.29 bear_low_confirmed -1.48% -0.38 14/08 10:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_medium
57%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.29 range_low -0.69% -0.08 14/08 10:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 11b — 1.48×ATR p0 -0.131×ATR p9
4h ↓ down mid 11b — 3.104×ATR p49 -1.316×ATR p73
1h ↓ down late 23b — 6.435×ATR p100 -1.346×ATR p75
15m ↑ up early 4b — 0.533×ATR p0 -0.997×ATR p59

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 2.29428256
  2. atr: 0.02936085
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-14T18:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 44
  2. total: 47
  3. score: 0.311
  4. confidence: 0.935

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.2062 2.2943 4.5041
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.2062
  • Stop Loss: 2.2943
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.2943 - 2.2062 = 0.0881

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.2062 - = 2.2062

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.2062 / 0.0881 = 25.042

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
200.3756 100 90.8239 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0881

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0881 = 90.81

Taille de position USD = 90.81 x 2.2062 = 200.35

Donc, tu peux acheter 90.81 avec un stoploss a 2.2943

Avec un position size USD de 200.35$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 90.81 x 0.0881 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 90.81 x 2.2062 = 200.35

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 200.35$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 90.81
  • Taille de position USD 200.35
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 200.35
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 25.042

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 200.38 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.99 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-2.48 $ -1.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.0442 % 51.19 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.2062 2.2943 4.5041
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.2062
  • Stop Loss: 2.2943
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.2943 - 2.2062 = 0.0881

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.2062 - = 2.2062

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.2062 / 0.0881 = 25.042

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.993% (0.0881)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.281% 0.1R -2.044% 0.5R 0.1× 12
2h +0.281% 0.1R -2.044% 0.5R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.281% 0.1R -2.044% 0.5R 0.1× 36
4h +0.281% 0.1R -2.552% 0.6R 0.1× 48
8h +0.281% 0.1R -2.552% 0.6R 0.1× 96
12h +0.281% 0.1R -3.368% 0.8R 0.1× 144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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