Short Trade on CHIP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 10794.91 CHIP at 0.0224$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02055 (8.3 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02315 (3.3 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 11:12:05
hyperliquid
CHIP
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 11:12
→ 19:35
· 8 hours
Position
Entry 0.02241$
Qty 10794.9102 CHIP
Size 241.8816$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.02055 (+8.3%)
TP $ 20.08$
SL 0.02315 (-3.3%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-3.30%
/ -7.99$
MAE -5.44%
MFE +0.32%
0.1R
expires
14 Aug 23:11
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 69314)
#44 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 11:00
score du 14/08/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5802
Quality Score
0.447
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 11:02
14/08 11:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#44 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.37×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.52×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 06:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 14/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4470
Score SMA
0.5216
Rank
#44
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5802
Rank Norm SMA
0.5237
Calculé le
14/08/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3985 | r1h: -1.876% · r4h: -1.363% · r1d: -1.41% · r3d: -2.47% · ema21_slope: -0.0189% · dist_ema21: -1.897% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3871 | rs_1h: -2.013% · rs_4h: -1.239% · rs_1d: 0.33% · rs_3d: -0.88% · beta_24h: 2.817 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1814 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.278 · trend: -63.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6292 | ADX: 15.5 (weak) · Chop: 27.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.883% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.302%
(0.0007)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.317% | 0.1R | -0.763% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.317% | 0.1R | -1.794% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.317% | 0.1R | -2.579% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.317% | 0.1R | -2.936% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.317% | 0.1R | -5.440% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.317% | 0.1R | -13.789% | 4.2R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.23
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | — | bear_high | -5.66% | -0.97 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.36 | bear_medium | -2.10% | +0.32 | 14/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.21 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.48% | -0.05 | 14/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_medium |
55%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.00 | range_low | -0.69% | -0.19 | 14/08 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 38b | — | 8.53×ATR | p75 | -1.293×ATR | p52 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.081×ATR | p6 | +0.049×ATR | p4 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 2.095×ATR | p23 | -0.714×ATR | p46 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 3.736×ATR | p63 | -3.437×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8181
- reason: down_bo width=2.29×ATR dur=42b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.02314809
- tp_price: 0.02055427
- atr:
- score: 0.81805831272187
- expires_at: 2026-08-15T03:11:57.627498
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.81805831272187
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0113
- obi_top10 : 0.0793
- micro_price : 0.02239854
- spread_pct : 0.089326
- mid_price : 0.0224
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0225
- ask_wall_size : 1106729.8
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0054
- obi_top5_std : 0.025
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6895
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.0235665
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.0226495
- balance_zone_mid:
0.023108
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786572000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786719600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2873
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
42
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8181
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786716000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.0226495
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8571
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.6049
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.0004009 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
42
inside_close_ratio
0.8571
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6049
Signaux confirmants (12)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:12 | 0.02240700 | -0.013% |
| 2 | 11:17 | 0.02240700 | -0.013% |
| 3 | 11:23 | 0.02242100 | +0.049% |
| 4 | 11:29 | 0.02242100 | +0.049% |
| 5 | 11:36 | 0.02242100 | +0.049% |
| 6 | 11:41 | 0.02248400 | +0.33% |
| 7 | 11:47 | 0.02248400 | +0.33% |
| 8 | 11:53 | 0.02246000 | +0.223% |
| 9 | 11:59 | 0.02246000 | +0.223% |
| 10 | 12:06 | 0.02246000 | +0.223% |
| 11 | 12:12 | 0.02258100 | +0.763% |
| 12 | 12:18 | 0.02258100 | +0.763% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6895ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
82%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.011
avg 0.005
± 0.025
OBI Top 10
0.079
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0224
Micro Price
0.0224
Spread
0.0893%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0225
Size
1,106,729.80
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02241 | 0.02315 | 0.02055 | 2.51 | 0.03625 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02241
- Stop Loss: 0.02315
- Take Profit: 0.02055
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02315 - 0.02241 = 0.00074
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02241 - 0.02055 = 0.00186
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00186 / 0.00074 = 2.5135
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 241.8816 | 100 | 10794.9102 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00074
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00074 = 10810.81
Taille de position USD = 10810.81 x 0.02241 = 242.27
Donc, tu peux acheter 10810.81 avec un stoploss a 0.02315
Avec un position size USD de 242.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 10810.81 x 0.00074 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 10810.81 x 0.00186 = 20.11
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.11$
Résumé
- Taille de position 10810.81
- Taille de position USD 242.27
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.11
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5135
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.3 % | 20.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.3 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -3.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.369 % | 102.03 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02241 | 0.02315 | 0.02055 | 2.51 | 0.03625 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02241
- Stop Loss: 0.02315
- Take Profit: 0.02055
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02315 - 0.02241 = 0.00074
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02241 - 0.02055 = 0.00186
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00186 / 0.00074 = 2.5135
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.302%
(0.0007)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.317% | 0.1R | -0.763% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.317% | 0.1R | -1.794% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.317% | 0.1R | -2.579% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.317% | 0.1R | -2.936% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.317% | 0.1R | -5.440% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.317% | 0.1R | -13.789% | 4.2R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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