Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 373.39 KAITO at 0.404$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3935 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.425 (5.3 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 12:10:04
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 12:10
→ 15:20
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 0.4036$
Qty 373.3923 KAITO
Size 150.6862$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3935 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.77$
SL 0.425 (-5.3%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.47
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +3.77$
MAE -0.58%
MFE +3.37%
0.6R
expires
14 Aug 18:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 69352)
#46 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 12:00
score du 14/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0027
Quality Score
0.329
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
7.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 12:02
14/08 12:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#46 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#46 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.32×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 06:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 14/08 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bear | expansion | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 14/08 12:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3292
Score SMA
0.3744
Rank
#46
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0027
Rank Norm SMA
0.0441
Calculé le
14/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1771 | r1h: -0.552% · r4h: -0.133% · r1d: -9.88% · r3d: -37.46% · ema21_slope: -0.4012% · dist_ema21: -2.864% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2042 | rs_1h: -1.153% · rs_4h: -0.342% · rs_1d: -9.26% · rs_3d: -36.52% · beta_24h: -0.515 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1525 | rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -0.713 · trend: -67.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6301 | ADX: 41.6 (trend) · Chop: 64.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.231% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.302%
(0.0214)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.130% | 0.2R | -0.577% | 0.1R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.157% | 0.2R | -0.577% | 0.1R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.370% | 0.6R | -0.577% | 0.1R | 5.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.370% | 0.6R | -0.577% | 0.1R | 5.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.370% | 0.6R | -1.184% | 0.2R | 2.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.370% | 0.6R | -1.184% | 0.2R | 2.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.36 | bear_high | -5.66% | -1.00 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | — | -0.02 | bear_medium | -2.10% | -1.00 | 14/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | -0.03 | bear_low | -1.05% | -0.44 | 14/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.4ATR | near 0.2ATR | 0.07 | range_low | -0.22% | -0.04 | 14/08 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 8.444×ATR | p83 | -3.207×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 77b | — | 29.405×ATR | p100 | -2.705×ATR | p93 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 0.713×ATR | p0 | -1.844×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.375×ATR | p3 | +0.131×ATR | p12 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4036 | 0.425 | 0.3935 | 0.47 | 0.2952 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4036
- Stop Loss: 0.425
- Take Profit: 0.3935
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.425 - 0.4036 = 0.0214
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4036 - 0.3935 = 0.0101
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0101 / 0.0214 = 0.472
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150.6862 | 100 | 373.3923 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0214
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0214 = 373.83
Taille de position USD = 373.83 x 0.4036 = 150.88
Donc, tu peux acheter 373.83 avec un stoploss a 0.425
Avec un position size USD de 150.88$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 373.83 x 0.0214 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 373.83 x 0.0101 = 3.78
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.78$
Résumé
- Taille de position 373.83
- Taille de position USD 150.88
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.78
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.472
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.77 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.3 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.77 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5773 % | 10.89 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4036 | 0.425 | 0.3935 | 0.47 | 0.2952 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4036
- Stop Loss: 0.425
- Take Profit: 0.3935
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.425 - 0.4036 = 0.0214
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4036 - 0.3935 = 0.0101
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0101 / 0.0214 = 0.472
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.302%
(0.0214)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.130% | 0.2R | -0.577% | 0.1R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.157% | 0.2R | -0.577% | 0.1R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.370% | 0.6R | -0.577% | 0.1R | 5.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.370% | 0.6R | -0.577% | 0.1R | 5.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.370% | 0.6R | -1.184% | 0.2R | 2.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.370% | 0.6R | -1.184% | 0.2R | 2.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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