Long Trade on AVNT (CatchTheWave)
With 6539.47 AVNT at 0.106$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1088 (2.35 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1051 (1.13 %)
Long Trade on AVNT (CatchTheWave)
With 6539.47 AVNT at 0.106$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1088 (2.35 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1051 (1.13 %)
Position
Entry 0.1063$
Qty 6539.4739 AVNT
Size 695.3423$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1088 (+2.35%)
TP $ 16.35$
SL 0.1051 (-1.13%)
SL $ 7.85$
RR 2.08
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8173
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.21×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.03×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.41×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 14/08 15:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.076219 15m : 0.090206 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 14/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 14/08 14:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6915 | r1h: -1.365% · r4h: 5.785% · r1d: 2.81% · r3d: 16.18% · ema21_slope: -0.0431% · dist_ema21: 4.367% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7210 | rs_1h: -1.314% · rs_4h: 5.226% · rs_1d: 3.35% · rs_3d: 16.80% · beta_24h: 1.614 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1610 | rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.603 · trend: -49.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6497 | ADX: 32.7 (trend) · Chop: 53.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9442 | ATR%: 3.167% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.029% | 2.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.029% | 2.7R | -0.762% | 0.7R | 4.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.029% | 2.7R | -2.973% | 2.6R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.029% | 2.7R | -4.177% | 3.7R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.029% | 2.7R | -5.870% | 5.2R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -5.26% | +0.97 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.48 | bear_medium | -1.54% | +0.95 | 14/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.26 | bear_low | -1.04% | +0.17 | 14/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.06 | range_low | -0.35% | +0.62 | 14/08 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 4.219×ATR | p65 | +2.314×ATR | p94 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 1.914×ATR | p0 | +1.405×ATR | p81 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 3.055×ATR | p69 | +1.671×ATR | p78 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 1.913×ATR | p14 | +1.525×ATR | p67 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62916.3
-0.00102213
62852
0.076219
63051.5
-0.00367185
62820
0.090206
63476.2
-0.00995966
62844
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0.254
0.42
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0.4676
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0
0.6916
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1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 11:55:00 | 0.098761 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 12:25:00 | 0.09836 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 13:40:00 | 0.10168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 14:00:00 | 0.099951 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 14:45:00 | 0.10314 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:05:00 | 0.10141 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:45:00 | 0.11107 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 18:20:00 | 0.10727 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 18:40:00 | 0.10949 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:20:00 | 0.10633 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 22:00:00 | 0.11123 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:45:00 | 0.10525 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 0.11323 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 06:00:00 | 0.0985 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 07:45:00 | 0.098288 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 09:00:00 | 0.10103 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 09:45:00 | 0.099099 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 12:15:00 | 0.09836 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:45:00 | 0.11107 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:15:00 | 0.10634 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 0.091139 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 0.090778 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 20:00:00 | 0.095804 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.095985 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 0.088757 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 0.11489 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 18:00:00 | 0.10345 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 0.11323 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 07:00:00 | 0.098288 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:00:00 | 0.11107 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1063 | 0.1051 | 0.1088 | 2.08 | 0.09893 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1051 - 0.1063 = -0.0012
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1063 - 0.1088 = -0.0025
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0025 / -0.0012 = 2.0833
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 695.3423 | 100 | 6539.4739 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0012 = -6666.67
Taille de position USD = -6666.67 x 0.1063 = -708.67
Donc, tu peux acheter -6666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.1051
Avec un position size USD de -708.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -6666.67 x -0.0012 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -6666.67 x -0.0025 = 16.67
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.67$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.35 % | 16.35 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.13 % | 7.85 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.35 $ | 2.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1063 | 0.1051 | 0.1088 | 2.08 | 0.09893 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1051 - 0.1063 = -0.0012
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1063 - 0.1088 = -0.0025
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0025 / -0.0012 = 2.0833
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.029% | 2.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.029% | 2.7R | -0.762% | 0.7R | 4.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.029% | 2.7R | -2.973% | 2.6R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.029% | 2.7R | -4.177% | 3.7R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.029% | 2.7R | -5.870% | 5.2R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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