Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 31497.3 XPL at 0.0762$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07671 (0.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07595 (0.34 %)
Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 31497.3 XPL at 0.0762$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07671 (0.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07595 (0.34 %)
Position
Entry 0.07621$
Qty 31497.303 XPL
Size 2400.2835$ (margin 100$) (leverage 24)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07671 (+0.66%)
TP $ 15.75$
SL 0.07595 (-0.34%)
SL $ 8.19$
RR 1.92
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7110
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.79×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.96×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.03×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 14/08 16:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.223173 15m : 0.258136 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 14/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 14/08 16:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5209 | r1h: 0.339% · r4h: -0.473% · r1d: 3.17% · r3d: -1.76% · ema21_slope: 0.1074% · dist_ema21: 1.846% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5399 | rs_1h: 0.234% · rs_4h: -0.484% · rs_1d: 3.83% · rs_3d: -0.92% · beta_24h: 1.489 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2028 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.491 · trend: -23.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7473 | ADX: 29.7 (trend) · Chop: 35.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.019% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.074% | 0.2R | -0.928% | 2.7R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.074% | 0.2R | -1.302% | 3.8R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.227% | 3.6R | -1.302% | 3.8R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.250% | 6.6R | -1.302% | 3.8R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.250% | 6.6R | -1.302% | 3.8R | 1.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -5.26% | -0.57 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.43 | bear_medium | -1.56% | +0.19 | 14/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.39 | bear_low | -0.98% | +0.34 | 14/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.23% | +0.07 | 14/08 16:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 41b | — | 7.814×ATR | p91 | -0.441×ATR | p19 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 2.299×ATR | p17 | +0.542×ATR | p38 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 3.022×ATR | p66 | +1.498×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 1.16×ATR | p0 | +0.943×ATR | p47 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62922.3
-0.000211508
62909
0.223173
63067.9
-0.0025205
62909
0.258136
63473.5
-0.00890989
62908
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 20:00:00
[1] => 0.079313
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 06:00:00
[1] => 0.074999
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 14:00:00
[1] => 0.074596
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 18:00:00
[1] => 0.07616
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 22:00:00
[1] => 0.073061
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 07:00:00
[1] => 0.07591
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 16:00:00
[1] => 0.073546
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 22:00:00
[1] => 0.075494
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 08:00:00
[1] => 0.073551
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 15:00:00
[1] => 0.077425
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1675815305134
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.0380144389607
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.2670935813245
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 23:45:00
[1] => 0.075486
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 03:00:00
[1] => 0.074223
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 03:15:00
[1] => 0.075159
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 08:15:00
[1] => 0.073551
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 09:00:00
[1] => 0.074517
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 11:30:00
[1] => 0.075648
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 13:30:00
[1] => 0.074556
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 15:45:00
[1] => 0.077425
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 19:30:00
[1] => 0.077149
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 20:45:00
[1] => 0.076169
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2223100753088
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.048576192414231
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2866126639446
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 15:55:00
[1] => 0.077425
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 16:25:00
[1] => 0.076234
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 16:55:00
[1] => 0.077333
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 17:20:00
[1] => 0.076293
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 17:35:00
[1] => 0.076944
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 18:05:00
[1] => 0.076383
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 18:40:00
[1] => 0.076795
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 19:05:00
[1] => 0.076435
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 19:40:00
[1] => 0.077149
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 20:45:00
[1] => 0.076169
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2223100753088
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.048576192414231
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2866126639446
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.074556
192
0.6996
0.5005
0.3264
0.21
0.4217
0.5207
0.4931
0.7319
0.6159
0.796
0.5535
0.4386
0.1686
0.0683
1
1.1341
1.3767
0.45
0.55
1
22
1
0.5801
0.3948
3.2595
0.55
0.5207
1.6314
1.3767
0.719
0.34
0.66
0.3168
0.4906
0.4516
0.6534
0.4386
-5.5315
4.3223
1
0
2
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:46 | 0.07620600 | -0.005% |
| 2 | 16:52 | 0.07617500 | -0.046% |
| 3 | 16:58 | 0.07616500 | -0.059% |
| 4 | 17:05 | 0.07618400 | -0.034% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 15:55:00 | 0.077425 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 16:25:00 | 0.076234 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 16:55:00 | 0.077333 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 17:20:00 | 0.076293 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:35:00 | 0.076944 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 18:05:00 | 0.076383 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 18:40:00 | 0.076795 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:05:00 | 0.076435 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 19:40:00 | 0.077149 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 20:45:00 | 0.076169 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 23:45:00 | 0.075486 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:00:00 | 0.074223 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 03:15:00 | 0.075159 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 08:15:00 | 0.073551 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 09:00:00 | 0.074517 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 11:30:00 | 0.075648 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 13:30:00 | 0.074556 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 15:45:00 | 0.077425 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:30:00 | 0.077149 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 20:45:00 | 0.076169 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 20:00:00 | 0.079313 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:00:00 | 0.074999 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 0.074596 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 18:00:00 | 0.07616 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 0.073061 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 07:00:00 | 0.07591 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 0.073546 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 22:00:00 | 0.075494 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 08:00:00 | 0.073551 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 0.077425 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07621 | 0.07595 | 0.07671 | 1.92 | 0.08787 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07595 - 0.07621 = -0.00026
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07621 - 0.07671 = -0.0005
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0005 / -0.00026 = 1.9231
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2400.2835 | 100 | 31497.303 | 24.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00026 = -30769.23
Taille de position USD = -30769.23 x 0.07621 = -2344.92
Donc, tu peux acheter -30769.23 avec un stoploss a 0.07595
Avec un position size USD de -2344.92$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -30769.23 x -0.00026 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -30769.23 x -0.0005 = 15.38
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.38$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.66 % | 15.75 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.34 % | 8.19 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.19 $ | -0.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4776 % | 139.98 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07621 | 0.07595 | 0.07671 | 1.92 | 0.08787 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07595 - 0.07621 = -0.00026
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07621 - 0.07671 = -0.0005
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0005 / -0.00026 = 1.9231
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07671
[entry_price] => 0.07621
[stop_loss] => 0.075924
[rr_ratio] => 1.75
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 21:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07671
[entry_price] => 0.07621
[stop_loss] => 0.075898
[rr_ratio] => 1.6
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 21:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07671
[entry_price] => 0.07621
[stop_loss] => 0.075872
[rr_ratio] => 1.48
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 21:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07671
[entry_price] => 0.07621
[stop_loss] => 0.07582
[rr_ratio] => 1.28
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 21:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.074% | 0.2R | -0.928% | 2.7R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.074% | 0.2R | -1.302% | 3.8R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.227% | 3.6R | -1.302% | 3.8R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.250% | 6.6R | -1.302% | 3.8R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.250% | 6.6R | -1.302% | 3.8R | 1.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.