14 Aug 2026 at 17:17:00 hyperliquid

Long Trade on WLFI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 9298.43 WLFI at 0.0561$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0583 (3.83 %) & Stop Loss: 0.05529 (1.53 %)

WLFI LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 14 Aug 2026 17:17 → 18:05 · 48 minutes

Position

Entry 0.05615$

Qty 9298.4332 WLFI

Size 522.0884$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)

Risk Setup

TP 0.0583 (+3.83%)

TP $ 19.99$

SL 0.05529 (-1.53%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -1.53% / -8$ MAE -2.98% MFE +2.50% 1.6R expires 15 Aug 05:16

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 69587)
#1 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5640

Quality Score
0.779
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
69 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 17:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#1 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
69 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.53 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
69 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.53 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.09×ATR
4h clear 5.66×ATR
1d clear 1.05×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1)

14/08 17:00

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

13/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

14/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

14/08 16:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression 0
Operational bear transition -1
Tactical bear expansion -1
Micro
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.80
Transition risk : 0.20
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
Impulse :
% Positive (universe)
15m
1h
4h
24h
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m
4h
24h
Dispersion :
Universe :
Regime confidence : 0.63
Snapshot évalué : 14/08 17:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.7794
Score SMA
0.5812
Rank
#1 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5640
Rank Norm SMA
0.6729
Calculé le
14/08/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6794 r1h: 2.178% · r4h: 1.717% · r1d: 2.20% · r3d: 2.23% · ema21_slope: 0.0054% · dist_ema21: 1.847%
Force Relative 25% 0.7025 rs_1h: 2.248% · rs_4h: 2.045% · rs_1d: 2.97% · rs_3d: 3.49% · beta_24h: 1.048
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 12.94× · zscore_50: 6.694 · trend: 501.95%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6665 ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: -2.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.242% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.532% (0.0009)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.842% 0.6R -2.978% 1.9R 0.3× 12
2h +0.842% 0.6R -2.978% 1.9R 0.3× 24
4h +0.842% 0.6R -2.978% 1.9R 0.3× 48
8h +2.096% 1.4R -2.978% 1.9R 0.7× 96
12h ★ +2.497% 1.6R -2.978% 1.9R 0.8× 144
24h +2.497% 1.6R -2.978% 1.9R 0.8× 288

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.16
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 37% early near 0.3ATR 0.40 bear_high -5.26% +0.02 13/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
48%
noisy_chop 35% late 0.15 bear_medium -1.56% +0.66 14/08 16:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 38% mid near 0.1ATR 0.08 bear_low -1.07% +0.31 14/08 16:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 48% late range_low -0.30% +0.42 14/08 16:30
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 5b 2.173×ATR p0 +0.174×ATR p17
4h ↑ up late 2b 4.331×ATR p82 +4.202×ATR p100
1h ↑ up mid 1b 1.76×ATR p18 +1.08×ATR p64
15m ↓ down late 2b 2.355×ATR p36 +4.133×ATR p97

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.6896
  3. reason: up_bo width=1.51×ATR dur=60b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.05528764
  5. tp_price: 0.05829891
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.6896376850542
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-15T09:16:52.378454
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.6896376850542
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0498
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0212
  15. micro_price : 0.05669343
  16. spread_pct : 0.052919
  17. mid_price : 0.056705
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.056
  19. bid_wall_size : 331903.4
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.0574
  22. ask_wall_size : 307035.6
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.0024
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0267
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7099
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.0001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.055879
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.0548345
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.05535675
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1786528800
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1786741200
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    1.5113
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    60
  43. balance_zone_quality: loose
  44. balance_zone_maturity: stretched
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.6896
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1786737600
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.055879
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.9167
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.3892
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    3
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    47
  59. regime : bull_high_confirmed
  60. atr_entry : 0.00069112
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
60
inside_close_ratio
0.9167
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3892

Signaux confirmants (4)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 17:17 0.05614800 -0.004%
2 17:22 0.05633900 +0.337%
3 17:28 0.05633900 +0.337%
4 17:35 0.05633900 +0.337%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7099ms Confidence avant OB : 69%69%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.050
avg 0.002 ± 0.027
OBI Top 10 0.021

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0567
Micro Price
0.0567
Spread
0.0529%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.0560
Size
331,903.40

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.0574
Size
307,035.60

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05615 0.05529 0.0583 2.5 0.0581
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05615
  • Stop Loss: 0.05529
  • Take Profit: 0.0583

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05529 - 0.05615 = -0.00086

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05615 - 0.0583 = -0.00215

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00215 / -0.00086 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
522.0884 100 9298.4332 5.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00086

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00086 = -9302.33

Taille de position USD = -9302.33 x 0.05615 = -522.33

Donc, tu peux acheter -9302.33 avec un stoploss a 0.05529

Avec un position size USD de -522.33$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -9302.33 x -0.00086 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -9302.33 x -0.00215 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -9302.33
  • Taille de position USD -522.33
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.83 % 19.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.53 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.53
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.1318 % 139.19 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05615 0.05529 0.0583 2.5 0.0581
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05615
  • Stop Loss: 0.05529
  • Take Profit: 0.0583

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05529 - 0.05615 = -0.00086

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05615 - 0.0583 = -0.00215

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00215 / -0.00086 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0583
            [entry_price] => 0.05615
            [stop_loss] => 0.055204
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-14 22:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0583
            [entry_price] => 0.05615
            [stop_loss] => 0.055118
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-14 22:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0583
            [entry_price] => 0.05615
            [stop_loss] => 0.055032
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-14 22:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0583
            [entry_price] => 0.05615
            [stop_loss] => 0.05486
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-14 22:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.532% (0.0009)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.842% 0.6R -2.978% 1.9R 0.3× 12
2h +0.842% 0.6R -2.978% 1.9R 0.3× 24
4h +0.842% 0.6R -2.978% 1.9R 0.3× 48
8h +2.096% 1.4R -2.978% 1.9R 0.7× 96
12h ★ +2.497% 1.6R -2.978% 1.9R 0.8× 144
24h +2.497% 1.6R -2.978% 1.9R 0.8× 288

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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